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Feb 10 29 tweets 7 min read Read on X
1/ Life after Starlink is proving to be difficult and frustrating for the Russian army. Russian warbloggers appear to be going through the stages of grief, expressing anger and alarm at the crisis and concern that Ukraine will exploit it. One anticipates "24/7 fucking". ⬇️ Image
2/ Further instances of price-gouging are being reported, with the cost of US-made Ubiquiti WiFi bridges – illegally imported into Russia – doubling overnight. 'Strong Word' complains: Image
3/ "Elon is certainly a real jerk. But we have some real assholes in the rear who decided to ride the wave and make money off their own soldiers. Wi-Fi bridges instantly doubled in price. It's maddening, some are spilling blood, and others are making a living off of it."
4/ Scammers are targeting soldiers with false promises that for a modest fee, they can get Starlink working again. 'Callsign OSETIN' warns:

"I'll write this again, comrades. Remember this. Don't trust anyone who offers to restore your Starlinks by any means necessary."
5/ "Starlinks are definitely out of stock for us now; it's impossible to reactivate them."

'Two Majors' extols the Russian army's signallers, who are working overtime trying to plug the gap left by Starlink:
6/ "To the signalmen, guys, we're sending you words of overwhelming support from our entire two-major family.

Now that the enemy has shut down "the internet for everyone" (Elon Musk is a fascist and a bastard), we know how much you're working in the cold.
7/ Pulling wholesale, fixing bridges, producing tapiks [field telephones] and Soviet-style switches. And all of this is urgent, just yesterday, because it's necessary.

Because the "just was/will be soon" communications situation is unacceptable.
8/ "Unit command and combat command signals depend on you.

We bow deeply to you, my dears. Everyone is counting on you, even if they curse you constantly."
9/ 'TopaZ Speaking' anticipates Ukraine exploiting the shutdown:

"Now, of course, the enemy will, at great expense, attempt to attack the stations and equipment connected to the backup communications systems that replace the vanished American satellite internet."
10/ "If these facilities aren't protected to the utmost, those responsible for their defence will be even greater geniuses than those who allowed the fighting army to become dependent on enemy communications.
11/ "Even greater geniuses than those who failed to take advantage of the time we had while we were relying on that American network to develop our own working equivalent."
12/ 'Kiba's Signalman's Diary' warns Russian Starlink users that the Ukrainians are obtaining locational data from the shut-down systems, which could in principle assist with artillery targeting:
13/ "Attention, EVERYONE, urgently!!!! Immediately disconnect all Starlink satellite stations from power and remove them from open skies. Positioning data from inactive devices is being collected."
14/ 'NGP raZVedka' confirms this:

"There are technical reasons to believe that Starlink has begun collecting information on the locations of inactive stations and systematizing this data.

To avoid this, we recommend disabling this useless piece of furniture."
15/ 'VORON FPV' adds:

"This also applies to active "trophies" and "bypass" dishes! [i.e. ones captured from the Ukrainians]"
16/ "According to unconfirmed reports, all data from the dishes is now integrated with [Ukrainian data systems] Delta and Nettle. In other words, the enemy is verifying data by position."
17/ The blogger doesn't rate highly the Russian MOD's chances of closing the gap, now that it is being forced to resurrect previously deprecated communications solutions:
18/ "The 24/7 fucking is about to begin, the accelerated process of restoring something that never existed.😁

May Vaseline help them."

'Veterans' Notes' anticipates problems on the front line due to the shutdown:
19/ "Information is coming in from various sources that the enemy could take advantage of the shutdown of unregistered Starlink terminals to launch counterattacks on several front lines.

We must be as prepared as possible for such a scenario."
20/ Maxim Kalashnikov says that frontline soldiers are already reporting adverse operational impacts:

"From the front, they write: “…There are already major problems in the Dnipropetrovsk region. The front isn’t exactly crumbling, but it is destabilising.”
21/ “We took measures in advance…, but many didn’t…

And once again, I’m shocked by the “intelligence” of our higher-ups. Who couldn’t launch at least a couple hundred satellites for more or less stable communication.
22/ “Not like Musk’s, but at least decent for voice, images, and text. 30 MB/sec. That would be enough. But…”

And the Ukrainian Armed Forces will soon have Starlinks working. And then we’ll be covered in blood.
23/ "We’re facing another spectacular failure. Do we have a State Defence Committee that concentrates all power in the country during a war? And one headed by the president, not just another “bad boyar”? No.
24/ "There is no interdepartmental coordination, rapid feedback, or flexible response to the situation. And it turns out that in the Russian Federation, they were developing TWO alternatives to Musk's Starlink! Both Sphere and Rassvet.
25/ "Ultimately, neither was built during the war. A spectacular management failure. One of [many] during that ill-fated war. So, what happened?"

Rybar and others report that overnight Ukrainian advances in the Zaporizhzhia region are directly linked to the Starlink shutdown:
26/ "Although the enemy has managed to penetrate relatively deep into the Russian Armed Forces' control zone in some areas, there are no critical issues yet. The difficulties are primarily related to problems with the Starlink terminals and adverse weather conditions."
27/ 'Archangel Spetsnaz' says that the Russian army's communications have been set back three or four years: "Communication issues are a further challenge, as work is being carried out as if it were 2022-2023—station-by-station." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Feb 12
1/ Why does the Russian government appear to be so clueless about the role Telegram plays in military communications? The answer, one warblogger suggests, is that the military leadership doesn't want to admit its failure to provide its own reliable communications solutions. ⬇️ Image
2/ Recent claims by high-ranking officials that Telegram isn't relevant to military communications have prompted howls of outrage and detailed rebuttals from Russian warbloggers, but have also pointed to a deeper problem about what reliance on Telegram (and Starlink) represents.
3/ In both cases, the Russian military has failed abysmally to provide workable solutions. Telegram and Starlink were both adopted so widely because the 'official' alternatives (military messngers and the Yamal satellite constellation) are slow, unreliable and lack key features.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 12
1/ Telegram is deeply embedded into Russian military units' internal communications, providing functionality that MAX, the Russian government's authorised app, doesn't have. A commentary highlights the vast gap that is being opened up by the government's blocking of Telegram. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Two Majors Charitable Foundation writes that without Telegram, information exchange, skills transfer, and moral mobilisation work within the Russian army will be crippled:
3/ "I'd really like to add that for a long time, we've been gathering specialized groups in closed chats, including those focused on engineering and UAVs, to share experiences and build a knowledge base. Almost everyone there is a frontline engineer.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 12
1/ Russia's Federal Customs Service is seeking to prosecute Russian volunteers who are importing reconnaissance drones from China to give to frontline troops. It's the latest chapter in a saga of bureaucratic obstruction that is blocking vital supplies to the Russian army. ⬇️ Image
2/ Much of the army's equipment, and many of its drones, are purchased with private money by volunteer supporters or the soldiers themselves. High-tech equipment such as drones and communications equipment is purchased in China or Central Asia and imported into Russia. Image
3/ However, the Federal Customs Service has been a major blocker. Increased customs checks on the borders have meant that cargo trucks have suffered delays of days or even weeks, drastically slowing the provision of essential supplies for the Russian army.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 12
1/ Leaked casualty figures from an elite Russian special forces brigade indicate that it has suffered huge losses in Ukraine, equivalent to more than half of its entire roster of personnel. Scores of men are listed as being 'unaccounted for', in other words having deserted. ⬇️ Image
2/ The 10th Separate Guards Special Purpose Brigade (military unit 51532) is a special forces (spetsnaz) unit under the GRU. It is a 2002 refoundation by Russia of a Soviet-era spetsnaz unit that, ironically, passed to Ukraine when the Soviet Union broke up in 1991.
3/ Since the invasion of February 2022, the brigade has been fighting on the Kherson front, which has seen constant and extremely bloody fighting over the islands in the Dnipro river and delta. Russian sources have reported very high casualties.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 11
1/ Russian warbloggers are continuing to provide examples of how Telegram is used for frontline battlefield communications, to refute the claim of presidential spokesman Dmitri Peskov that such a thing is "not possible to imagine". ⬇️ Image
2/ Platon Mamadov provides two detailed examples:

"Example number one:

Aerial reconnaissance of Unit N spotted a Ukrainian self-propelled gun in a shelter in the middle of town N."
3/ "Five minutes after the discovery, the target's coordinates and a detailed video were uploaded to a special secret chat group read by all drone operators, scouts, and artillerymen in that sector of the front.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 11
1/ The Russian army faces a crisis with obtaining aid for its soldiers, who are dependent on volunteers to provide them with everything from socks to Starlink terminals. Russian warbloggers say that the blocking of Telegram will wreck voluntary assistance efforts. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'It's time ZOV to go home' writes:

"Since 2022, Telegram has become the primary source of funds for the front. Numerous units and volunteers have created their own channels."
3/ "This has enabled us to address a colossal number of issues that needed to be addressed right then and there. It's impossible otherwise: when a fundraising campaign begins, it means the fundraising item was needed yesterday, and there's no time to waste.
Read 15 tweets

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