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Five Thesis on Afghanistan:

1. It’s always possible to find things to criticize when events go worse than one might have hoped. But this is the reality Joe Biden faced: The Trump administration negotiated with the Taliban for American withdrawal by May 1, 2021.
Biden pushed it back a few months, both because of logistical challenges and because he hoped it would go well enough to have withdrawal folded in a positive way into 20th anniversary stories about 9/11.
The latter was a blunder for which Biden will pay an indeterminate political price. But reneging on the withdrawal was not an option w/o a new surge, because the Taliban would have stopped holding back on attacking American troops. 3,000 soldiers wouldn’t have been nearly enough.
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