Alright, I didn't want to do this one, but I honestly cannot stand how contrived this is, so here we go.
@SeattleLGBTQ commission wants @mayorofseattle Wilson to declare a civil emergency for trans refugees fleeing red states. The case rests on a single headline number: 400,000 nationally. That number does not survive five minutes of arithmetic.
/1
Source: a MAP/NORC survey. Trans and nonbinary sample: 111 adults. 9% said they had moved due to LGBTQ politics. That's about ten people. The 400K extrapolation uses a population base roughly 2x what the Williams Institute actually publishes for trans adults. /2
Local check. Gender Justice League's own impact report: 7 relocations last year. 5 the year before. TRACTION says "500 in communication to move." Mayor Wilson, in her response: specific numbers on trans migration to Seattle have not been studied. /3
SMC 10.02 requires extraordinary measures to prevent death or injury and protect public peace. Past triggers: a confirmed COVID outbreak, a structurally failing bridge, thousands sleeping outside in a single night. The Commission itself concedes there is no local count. /4
The ask reduces to: declare the emergency, count later. Wilson, facing a $175M deficit, declined. The honest version of this letter is a budget request. The submitted version leans on a 2x-inflated headline, a survey base of ten, and a Lemkin Institute "genocide" alert standing in for evidence. /fin
h/t @LCRofWashington, appreciate your asking the question.
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