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unseen1 @unseen1_unseen
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1. The turnout for the GOP in FL should worry the Dems. Their entire strategy for taking back the house rests on a higher turnout for the Dems and a depressed turnout for the GOP. Now in three (maybe 4 once AZ is fully counted) GOP turnout has been above normal. (FL,TN,TX)
2. During normal midterms GOP voters usually turn out higher than Dem voters. If the GOP is now matching the higher Dem turnout numbers in primaries, that won't end well for the dems if it continues into the general.
3. It seems the impeachment talk and the statements from the dems talking about undoing all the great economic progress Trump has made is firing up the GOP base. Now tonight, the Dems added to that message by going full socialist in FL of all places. FL isnt Queens NY.
4. Looking into the short term the dems stand a chance of having several events occur that will naturally depress their turnout.
Confirmation of Kavanaugh and loss of SCOTUS for a generation tops that list but there are several more that could depress them.
5. Some off the top of my head:
No further action by SC
Great GDP numbers
Great job numbers
Additional trade deals announced
Palace coup plot goes mainstream
IG report
Arrests of coup plotters
Record stock market
Passage of wall funding
Spending bills passed
Prison reform passed
6. Icould go on but you get the picture. Lots of upside on the GOP side. Economy looks strong. So what could depress the GOP vote at this point? Trump hate? Been there , done that. Some indictment of a no name that knew Trump 12 yrs ago &has nothing to do with Russia? Been there.
7. I suppose the gope passing some kind of amnesty or omnibus bloated spending bill could do it. Some major scandal of several GOP candidates, maybe. But the deck is stacked at this point where the biggest risk of depressing turnout is directed at the Dem side. Dems should worry.
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