Asfandyar Mir Profile picture
Aug 19, 2020 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The DoD IG’s latest quarterly report on Afghanistan provides a good review of the state of the peace process. Here are highlights on some old and new new observations on levels of violence, Taliban ties with al-Qaida and the role of Russia, Iran and Pak. media.defense.gov/2020/Aug/19/20…
1. Afghan Taliban maintained ties with al-Qaida: Image
2. Afghan Taliban and the US military complied with the ceasefire towards each other but Taliban increased violence against the ANDSF: Image
3. Russia provides “limited support to the Taliban” but also supports peace/reconciliation efforts: Image
4. Iran engaged Kabul and also provided “lethal aid” to the Taliban: Image
5. Pakistan “encourage[d]” Afghan Taliban, including Haqqani Network, to reduce violence to avoid jeopardizing the peace process: Image

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More from @asfandyarmir

Jul 31, 2022
There is now growing chatter that the two strikes this morning in Kabul were drone strikes, likely against ISIS-K targets.
Now @SYSSFZ is quoting a Taliban security officer that the strikes (?) were drone strikes against ISIS-K leaders:
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Jul 29, 2022
Interesting and unusual interview of Chinese consul general in Karachi Li Bijian on Pakistan’s political situation, challenges facing Chinese investors and security situation. Some highlights: geo.tv/latest/430300-…
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Offers political advice to the coalition government: ImageImage
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Jul 29, 2022
After Pak missed the July 2 IMF board meeting & the currency started crashing, it was overdetermined that Pak will not be able to wait till the next meeting in August & ask for an early disbursal of the IMF tranche. So in that sense I am not surprised this happened. But…
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We will see if the US gov’t is able (& willing?) to do anything. Still overall the US has been working with Pak on various issues since late last year — despite shadow of the US withdrawal from AFG, memory of Pak’s support of Taliban, as well as Khan’s regime change theatrics.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 20, 2022
How bad is the economic crisis in Pakistan? Here is what I am tracking:
.@FaseehMangi watches Pak's access to int'l capital market, which is looking grim:
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Jul 19, 2022
[Thread] Highlights from the UN 1267 sanctions committee monitoring team’s latest report on Al-Qaeda and ISIS: documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/…
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Al-Qaeda has a committee called the Hittin Committee, which manages global leadership. Next in line for the group after Zawahiri are core’s Adl, Maghrebi, AQIM’s Yazib Mebrak and Shabaab’s Diriye; Idlib-based Hurras leader Suri is also on the committee. Hittin has demoted AQAP.
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May 31, 2022
.@IKPeshawar reports Pak & TTP have "agreed to extend the ceasefire and continue peace talks following separate meetings with Mullah Muhammad Hassan Akhund, Acting Prime Minister of the ‘Islamic Emerate of Afghanistan (IEA)’ at his office the other day." dawn.com/news/1692383/i…
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"...days of “intense and extensive negotiations” in the Afghan capital attended by senior level delegations from the two sides that at one point seemed close to breakdown...Sirajuddin Haqqani, who is the central mediator, helped bring the talks back on track, sources said."
Read 6 tweets

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