Aaron Derfel Profile picture
Sep 29, 2020 12 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1) Three months after reopening bars in the #pandemic, Premier François Legault is closing them again in the greater Montreal area and two other regions. He said he's doing so for the sake of our schools. In this thread, I'll suggest what more needs to be done to protect schools.
2) In placing Montreal, Quebec City and Chaudière-Apallaches on red alert, Legault imposed a series of new restrictions. But he spoke of no new measures to shield the province’s more than 3,000 public and private schools from #COVID19. That must change quickly.
3) The experience of other countries is demonstrating that schools can become major sources of #COVID19 outbreaks. In France, one-third of new clusters under investigation have been traced to schools and universities.
4) In the Czech Republic, the major of Prague has gone so far as to describe schools as “COVID trading exchanges” after a surge in cases. As Australian epidemiologist @DrZoeHyde has pointed out, students in the Czech Republic are not required to wear masks in the classroom.
5) On Monday, the Education Ministry did not provide a promised update on schools affected in the #pandemic. According to covidecolesquebec.org, 578 schools have had at least one student or employee testing positive as of Monday night. That is nearly 19% of Quebec's schools.
6) In Montreal Herzliah High School will stay closed until Oct. 5 because of a #COVID19 outbreak. In Longueuil, École secondaire Gérard-Filion will remain shuttered until Oct. 13 after 26 students and seven teachers tested positive for the #coronavirus.
7) One of the opposition parties is recommending class sizes be cut to 15 students max in red zones. Although no one can be against such an idea, it could prove difficult to implement, given the current shortage of teachers. But there are two simple and inexpensive alternatives.
8) Quebec should heed the pleas of parents and schools in requiring that students wear masks in the classroom to protect themselves against the airborne #coronavirus. The other idea is to finally authorize the use of the COVID Alert app, an option that’s now under consideration.
10) Meanwhile, Montreal posted 245 #COVID19 cases Monday, down from 375 the day before. Please look at the rising orange line in the chart below. Nonetheless, the city’s seven-day average climbed to 114.84 cases per million population, positioning the city in red-alert territory.
11) At the neighborhood level, I continue to be astonished by the extent to which the centre of the city is posting the biggest daily #COVID19 numbers, as the chart below shows. It appears Côte-des-Neiges, Park-Extension and downtown are now forming the city’s new epicenter.
12) The number of hospitalizations has dipped by five in the past two days. The McGill University Health Centre is observing an uptick in the last few days after hardly any cases more than a week ago, according to the chart below. Obviously, this is something to keep monitoring.
13) In addition to schools, Quebec’s hospitals need protecting, especially the overflowing emergency rooms. (See the chart below). For minor ailments, people should go see their family doctor instead — if they have one. End of thread. Practice #PhysicalDistancing and wear a mask.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

Mar 13
1) On Tuesday, the Quebec government unveiled its 2024-2025 budget, with the biggest expenditure to be made on health and social services. In this Twitter thread, I assess whether this "Health/Education Priorities" budget lives up to its hype, especially when it comes to seniors.
2) As you can see from the chart below, the lion's share of spending in the budget is for health and social services, pegged at $61.9 billion — up by 4.17% from the year before. In contrast, spending on education — so vital to Quebec's future — will rise 9.35% to $22.3 billion. Image
3) But as far as health and social services is concerned, Tuesday's budget may be indulging in a bit of spin. The chart below states that Quebec will spend an extra $3.7 billion over the next five years to "support a humane and effective organization of health care." Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 5
1) "The pandemic is far from over," one of the preeminent experts on #COVID19, Dr. Eric Topol, declared today, Jan. 4, 2024 — three years after the world first learned of a novel virus that was killing people in China. In this thread, I take stock of what's going on in Quebec.
2) "The pandemic is far from over, as evidenced by the rapid rise to global dominance of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2," Topol noted in a Los Angeles Times op-ed. In Quebec, nearly one in two genetic samples collected was from JN.1 as of two weeks ago. It's likely higher now. Image
3) "Clearly this virus variant, with its plethora of new mutations, has continued its evolution ... for infecting or reinfecting us," Topol added. Although the updated booster is considered 60% protective against hospitalization, only 17% of the Quebec population has taken it.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 17, 2023
1) BREAKING: By every major indicator, Quebec's health-care system is now arguably the worst it's ever been. Please click on my story below on Quebec wait lists for cancer and other surgery setting record highs — again. via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) Although Quebec has made it a priority to tackle wait lists for cancer surgery, more than 4,400 oncology patients are still waiting for their operations. More than 600 are waiting longer than the medically acceptable delay of 57 days, potentially putting their health at risk. Image
3) Even the wait list for so-called non-urgent surgery has now swelled to nearly 164,000 people. Almost 14,000 Quebecers today have been waiting more than a year for their surgery. At a year's wait, a non-urgent surgery starts to become urgent. Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6, 2023
1) BREAKING: Quebec, like other jurisdictions across North America, is now in the midst of a new #COVID19 resurgence — nearly 4 years into the #pandemic. In this thread, I will assess the implications of this latest wave of infections, likely driven by a new SARS-CoV-2 variant. Image
2) On Dec. 5, Quebec declared a total of 2,214 hospitalizations with and for #COVID. Please note this increase also reflects a change in the way Quebec's public health institute has been compiling such hospitalizations. But make no mistake: Quebec is still facing a resurgence. Image
3) The United States is also facing a #COVID hospitalizations resurgence, with 20,000 new admissions per week, according to preeminent expert @EricTopol. In the U.S., the JN.1 variant is becoming dominant, with wastewater levels surging with SARS-CoV-2. See Topol's tweet below. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13, 2023
1) BREAKING: Jewish-owned businesses in Montreal are being targeted and vandalized with antisemitic profanity. Please click below to read my report.
via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) "Last weekend, they put swastikas on the … menus downtown and they wrote FUCK THE JEWS," a Jewish business owner told me. I have also seen a list of Jewish businesses that is circulating, provoking not only boycotts but vandalism.
3) The Gazette has decided not to publish these disturbing images, as the Jewish business owners are fearful of reprisals.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16, 2023
1) BREAKING: A month after Japan downgraded #COVID19 to the seasonal flu, the country is now beset with a 9th wave of infections. In this thread, I will explore the persistence of the #pandemic that everyone — especially politicians — wants to forget. Image
2) First, it's worth noting that the number of #COVID hospitalizations in the nation of 125 million rose to 4,330 from 4,122 a week before. The seven-day average for the number of patients in intensive care units was 79, according to the Japan Times.
3) It appears that XBB subtypes of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are driving the latest wave of infections in Japan. Meanwhile, China has recorded a more than five-fold surge in the number of people diagnosed with COVID in hospitals since April. China is also bracing for another wave. Image
Read 7 tweets

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