The same exit polls show Trump +83% among Republicans meaning
Republican Voters in PA:
91.50% Trump vs 8.5% other
so 21% of Republicans voting for Trump is out of the question
Let's give Biden 11% of Republican ABs in case there was a margin of error in Trump's favor
The same exit poll on Independents
Biden by 51 percent to 43 percent for Trump
So there is no way Biden gets 80% of the Independent vote
Let's be nice and bump it up (😉) to 55% of Independents voting for Biden
So with this super favorable percentage of votes for Biden:
-95% of Democrat Absentee Ballots
-11% of Republican Absentee Ballots
-55% of Independent Absentee Ballots
He would still be -143K votes short of his actual total
But if we input WaPo's real exit poll data?
Biden is -213K vote shy of his actual total
Some may say that absentee ballot voters behave differently than day of election voters
The problem is that we are dealing with very large data sets here
The probability that 21% of Republicans and 80% of Independent voters would vote for Biden is outside the margin of error
But maybe you insist that there is just something about voting from home that makes both Republicans and Independents more likely to vote for Biden
Fair enough, but now you have to prove it - no "theories"
I've shown a clear irregularity that needs to be investigated
Or you can just use common sense and realize that this doesn't make sense
It's not a complicated analysis - anybody can do it
And I'm using Pennsylvania Secretary of State data for anybody that wants to check my numbers
Deepdive: I watched the Pennsylvania Voter Irregularity hearing
A few thoughts
-Mostly anecdotal evidence, but powerful testimony to Trump supporters
-Trump supporters believe 110% that he was robbed
-Those State Senators, who flubbed on the no-excuse absentee ballots, will..
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...never get re-elected if they are percieved as the reason for this outcome
-There is alot of pressure from their constituents
-Politicians tend to act in their own best interests...always
-Democrats and MSM are making a huge mistake by ignoring the allegations of fraud
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-People don’t realize this, but elections are carried out at the local level and ultimately the state senators have the final say in what happens with electors
-Republicans control the State Senate in all contested swing states except Nevada
Public Health may never recover from its failures during this pandemic
Why? - They are making the Exact same mistakes they made during the 1980’s AIDS crisis
“Blame and Shame” is NOT how you educate people
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Heavy-handed mandates with no rhyme or reason. Bringing a sledgehammer when a small scalpel is needed
Arbitrary triggers for various NPI’s. Why are we still using % positive as a guide for NPIs? (Following the viral levels in sewage waste actually makes more sense.)
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School closure seems to be a PECULIARLY American thing at this point