It remains unclear to me whether there is a path forward in the big Blue cities out of Covid myopia. Most of these cities have extremely high vaccination rates--certainly anyone that wants one has received it--yet only 20-30% of workers are back in offices.

1/8
New York City has not even recovered half of the ~1.1m jobs lost due to the lockdowns.

2/8
Having spent time in these cities myself over last yr or having friends/family residing there, you could effectively use the below (job losses) as a ranking for Covid monomania (though I think SF worse than NY. DC is Covid crazy but of course has thrived during the madness)

3/8
Compare restaurant reservations in SF and NYC to both Miami and other International cities. Miami way above 2019 levels; Toronto & London basically back to normal.

SF and NY have plateaued and no light at the end of the tunnel.

4/8
Despite the popular narrative being that voters support the lockdown measures, people vote with their wallets and data would suggest otherwise. SF rent has collapsed, NY and DC are just getting back to normal, and Florida has surged. I thought everyone had died there?

5/8
Allowing tourism to return would certainly be helpful to these areas while we await triple boosted, triple masked, 20 & 30-something office workers feeling "safe" to come back to the office. Although tourists would have to be confident they would not be shot or stabbed.

6/8
I guess we can just keep borrowing infinity $$. It will ultimately fall not on the Boomers doing the borrowing but on kids anyway, and they won't know any better since we deprived them of education and human connection for 2 years despite being at literally ~zero risk.

7/8
None of these "measures" were necessary or made a diff. other than to decimate urban areas primarily impacting the already disadvantaged. Entire response has been a complete & utter disgrace

COVID was always sadly here to stay. Its time to get back to life

If not now, when?
8/8

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More from @the_brumby

10 Sep
Even in the Zerocovid police states of Australia& NZ, pediatricians talk more sense than those in USA regarding child Delta:

"Its important to note that many [child hospitalizations] were for social reasons..so hospitalisation statistics do not provide a good marker of severity"
We "would like to reassure children and their parents that while the COVID delta variant has shown that
children are able to be infected and transmit COVID-19, COVID-19 is and generally remains a
mild infection in children."
"children are affected by...restrictions causing impacts on education and mental health.”

"Although one death has been recorded, the child in question was a 15-year-old boy who
was being treated for pneumococcal meningitis"
Read 5 tweets
9 Sep
As predicted, nothing in Biden's plan will accomplish anything other than to further & dangerously divide the nation

Interestingly, some data from the UK came out today that refutes everything in his plan (other than increasing treatments which is of course good)

Let's look...
1. "Vaccinating the Unvaccinated" (mandates for workplaces)

Case rates are comparable or higher in vaccinated adults than unvaccinated.

Seems like it should be a personal choice given it clearly doesn't stop transmission.
2. "Protecting the Vaccinated"

Ugh, isn't that what the vaccine is for?

Anyway, the data looks decent, though nothing like what we were promised.

As the prior chart demonstrates, transmission is not stopped by the vaccine anyhow, meaning it offers personal protection only.
Read 7 tweets
8 Sep
When COVID hit, I began hearing rumblings of a book called Unrestricted Warfare, written by 2 former Chinese Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) senior colonels & published by PLA

In short, it describes what war will look like in a post-nuclear, mutually assured destruction, age
1/17
I read the book cover to cover and I thought you might be interested in some quotes/passages I highlighted, which I encourage you to read w current events in mind.

“the media has become an immediate and integral part of warfare”

2/17
“China can pump propaganda into the American media while restricting American media’s access to the Chinese media landscape”

A non-military attack could “cause the enemy nation to fall into social panic, street riots, and a political crisis”

3/17
Read 17 tweets
30 Aug
Another day, another European country embarrassing the US with its rational child COVID policies (this time courtesy of Norway):

First, and most importantly: "Children under 12 years are not recommended to use face masks"

1/10
"Children who play together do not have to keep a distance. Children can have friends for sleepovers if everyone is well"

"Leisure activities are important for the physical & mental well-being of children & adolescents. Therefore, leisure activities should be maintained"

2/10
"Transmission in schools and childcare centres contributes only to a small extent in the spread of COVID-19 in the society"

"in areas where adults are mainly vaccinated, it is expected that an increasing proportion of all cases will occur among the child population"

3/10
Read 10 tweets
26 Aug
A brief meandering thread
1/6

1. Many argue over the cost-benefit analysis of COVID measures (eg lockdowns, masks). This is jumping the gun: first, an actual benefit must be established, which has not occurred for either masks or lockdowns. So all we have are the immense costs.
2. "Odious debt" is a legal theory that sovereign debt incurred to oppress a population is unenforceable

Govts have spent $trillions locking ppl in their homes, promoting an environment of fear, closing schools & businesses, & banning worship, dating, & visitation of the ill 🤔
3. If Im being pessimistic, it strikes me we r basically in same place as 18 mths ago despite having implemented catastrophic lockdowns & administered billions of vax doses: w a virus that hits the elderly/comorbid very hard but which all others overcome w minor, if any, symptoms
Read 6 tweets
20 Aug
On Wed, Biden said he'll "say a lot more about children & schools next week"

I think a Natl mask mandate is coming. Why? To prevent disenrollment in pub schools & to prevent data frm showing it makes no difference

Consider this study on disenrollment bc of remote learning:
1/4
Just released today:

"Specifically, our estimates suggest that offering remote-only instruction increased disenrollment by
42 percent... relative to in-person instruction"

The same will hold for masks IF other options are available

2/4

nber.org/system/files/w…
Biden and the US left's continuing demand for masks on kids in schools is a complete world outlier. There is ZERO evidence of effectiveness (let alone cost-benefit analysis). It's pure sunk cost fallacy at this point given how rabid the debate has been.

3/4
Read 4 tweets

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