Jamie Jenkins Profile picture
Apr 27 4 tweets 2 min read
🚨🚨 Boris Johnson @ #PMQs ‘Employment is going up by record amounts. 500k more people in paid employment now than before the pandemic

FACT CHECK

➡️ This is false. The total number of people in employment 600k LOWER than before the pandemic ❌❌

He is misleading the house ❌
The data on employment comes from the ONS where there was an estimated 32.5 million people in employment in the 3 months to Feb 22. It was 33.1 million in the 3 months to Feb 20.

ons.gov.uk/employmentandl…
The number of employees has risen since before the pandemic (those are people who work for someone else). But the number of people who are self-employed has fallen dramatically 800k - as Government policies of lockdowns hit these workers.
I worked on these numbers for the ONS for over 7 years when Head of Labour Market Analysis and his team will be well aware that he is misleading.

He is using data taken from those on HMRC payrolls that exclude the self-employed.

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More from @statsjamie

Apr 26
A GB News presenter made the claim your three times more likely to die if you have the booster.

I challenged that in a thread on here and he invited me on.

YouTube removed the video of me challenging the false claims because it talks about false claims about covid vaccines.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 24
Just had the Labour Party election leaflet for the local elections through in Wales.

They claim they were pleased to support sports clubs through the pandemic - nonsense ❌

The children I coach had their outdoor sports banned for several months stifling development. Image
Leaflet talks of how important it is for children and young families to have safe playgrounds to play.

Again the Labour Party closed the playgrounds through the pandemic. Image
Talks of building the local bypass and adding in active travel cycle routes. A good move as a safe route through the village is much needed.

But the Labour Party have at the moment for a ban on new roads due to climate change. Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 23
🚨🚨 GB News presenter ‘The booster shot is making it thrice as likely that your going to be deadsville’

FACT CHECK

➡️ This claim is nonsense and the comparisons made highly misleading. To explain needs a thread as not enough characters.

❌❌

Thread 👇
The presenter shows data that around half the population had booster, so half have not. He then uses this to imply you can then compare the two groups.

This is the first mistake - vaccination rates differ hugely by age and so does chance of death from any cause ❌❌

2/
People are most likely to die from any cause in older age groups, and very unlikely to die at younger age groups, especially in children

Booster uptake in people 70+ is over 90% and % falls as you go down the age groups

So booster group heavily skewed to people who will die

3/
Read 10 tweets
Mar 29
🚨🚨 Since April 2009, 24,675 potential child victims of modern slavery (under the age of 18 years at the time of exploitation) have been referred to the Home Office National Referral Mechanism.

We have seen an increase in referrals over time
Of children assessed as reasonably likely to be a victim of modern slavery) in the year ending Dec 2021:

◾️ (79%) were boys and one in five (21%) were girls

◾️ Boys were most likely to have experienced criminal exploitation (62%) and girls’ sexual exploitation (42%)
As modern slavery is often a hidden crime, many cases will go unreported and therefore National Referral Mechanism (NRM) data will always be an undercount of the true number of victims.

Trends may not reflect underlying changes & may be related to changes in awareness.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 28
🚨🚨 There has been little movement in the number of patients with #Covid19 on ventilated beds over the past few months.

The vast majority of patients on ventilators in Wales are not with Covid, and currently 3.6 times as many empty beds as there are beds with a Covid patient
Patients in general beds with Covid have been rising over the past month but most of the patients in hospitals with the virus are not actively being treated for the virus.

The number of patients being actively treated stands at around 117.
The recent rises in Covid-19 positive PCR tests in Wales have shown signs of leveling off. Currently, around 38.6% of tests carried out are coming back positive.

Testing dropped in January with new protocols on testing.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 22
🚨🚨 BBC Wales News - ‘There are over 1200 Covid19 in hospitals patients across Wales.. the highest level since last March’

FACT CHECK

➡️ On 21 March there were 130 patients actively being treated for Covid. The number quoted includes anyone in hospital who had a +ve test

The BBC journalist is spouting out the same line the Welsh Health Minister gave at a press briefing earlier on. I know some of the journalists there understand the numbers so disappointing stuff like this gets broadcast.
The 1200 includes anyone with a positive test regardless of reason for being in hospital, and those who no longer have Covid but are recovering, or may be ready for discharge but no care in community.

Also includes those who caught the virus in hospital.
Read 5 tweets

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