The price cap is what a typical average household will pay annually based on use. For some they will pay less, other more.
Ministers will talk about the Ukraine war, that is a factor. But reducing coal use over the past 40 years and reducing North Sea gas has left us exposed.
Additionally the #cop26#netzero goals signed up to by countries means that more countries around the world are competing for gas, which pushes up demand and pushes up price.
So the UK drive to hit #netzero without an adequate energy security policy is behind the rising bills
In 2021 the UK used more imported gas than domestically produced for the first time ever
Countries around the world continue to expand their use of coal with China increasing its use to generate electricity by 2000% since 1985.
The United States emits 13.8% of the world’s carbon dioxide but has just 4.2% of the population, so a ratio of 3.3 times over what you would expect if every country emitted in line with population size.
It’s worse than China on a population basis.
If the UK got to net zero overnight, it would make negligible difference to world Co2 emissions, in particular if countries such as China continue to produce and use coal to fuel its economy.
Need to sort out energy security urgently as people will die due to fuel poverty.
The analysis looks at weeks 12 to 32 of 2022, for the 75+ age group there have been 152,571 registered deaths among those aged 75+. In the same weeks in 2015/19 it was 136,767, so 15,804 more deaths.
But we have 5.5 million 75+ in 2022 vs 4.85m over 2015/19, 700k more.
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Basic arithmetic would tell you that when you have 14% more people in those in age groups most likely to die, you would get more deaths in 2022 vs 2015/19.
If you take death rates in 2015/19 applied to 2022 population you would expect 151,841 deaths.
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Stats here on the leading causes of death in England in 2022, unknown causes, defined as symptoms, signs and ill defined conditions are up as are Covid (which did not exist pre pandemic) when you look across all age groups.
Data here from the Office for Health Disparities that compares deaths mentioning certain causes vs a prediction of how many they expect. This over the last 12 weeks to early August.
🚨 | 10,355 deaths registered across England and Wales for week 32 of 2022.
💥 This is 4.8%, or 475 deaths higher than what you would expect based on pre-pandemic death rates.
➡️ Deaths up in 2022 for 30-59 year olds, with heart issues a factor.
My recent thread and blog look at the higher-than-expected deaths we have seen across 2022.
Also explain it's better to look at expected deaths using death rates applied to the 2022 population structure, not to compare to numbers pre-pandemic.
The Office for Health Improvement and Disparities (OHID) dashboard indicates higher than expected deaths linked to circulatory diseases, which include conditions such as a heart attack as well as heart disease and heart failure. Diabetes is another cause above expectation.
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Across 2015/19, there were 531,214 deaths on average per year, and applying death rates from this period to the 2022 population profile, we would expect to see 577,000 deaths, around 46,000 more, or 880 per week. This is because the population is on average older.
🚨 | ‘Deaths in 10-14 year olds are 11.7% above average, 30-34 are 11% above average, 35-39 are 12.5% with double digit above average in 55-64 year olds’