David Turver Profile picture
May 24 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The UK government loves celebrating how it has halved emissions since 1990. But is it real… or just clever accounting? My new thread exposing how official claims of emissions reduction are cooking the books. (1/8) Image
Official figures show ~49% territorial CO₂ cuts. But look at consumption emissions (what we actually use, including imports): only ~27% reduction. (2/8) Image
Much of the “success” comes from destroying UK industry. Industrial energy use down over 40%. We’re not greening the economy — we’re de-industrialising and both energy and electricity generation are down sharply. (3/8) Image
Then there’s biomass. Drax burns wood pellets (more CO₂ per MWh than coal) but it’s counted as “zero carbon” renewable. Adjusting for this wipes out more of the claimed reductions. (4/8) Image
Electricity imports are rising — and Ed Miliband says count them as zero-carbon even if they come from coal or gas abroad. Another convenient accounting trick that reduces energy security. (5/8) Image
Net trade emissions have nearly tripled since 1990. Net imports are now more than half our territorial emissions. This isn’t climate leadership — it’s Enron-style off-balance-sheet tricks. (6/8) Image
The destruction of jobs, investment and reliable energy to chase headline numbers should be a source of shame, not celebration. Real emissions accounting tells a very different story. (7/8)
If you enjoyed this thread, please like and share. You can sign up for free to read the full article on the link below (8/8):
davidturver.substack.com/p/fake-account…Image
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More from @7Kiwi

May 17
UK energy policy is economic self-harm. Labour banning new North Sea drilling licences + fracking — right as the Strait of Hormuz crisis hits. Yet oil & gas extraction is one of our MOST productive industries. A thread (1/10) Image
UK per capita energy consumption has fallen 2.4% per year — faster than most G7 countries. Result? GDP per capita growth is a miserable 0.4% annually. Energy is the foundation of modern economies. Without abundant supply, we stagnate. (2/10) Image
Globally, GDP per capita grows ~2% with rising energy use. Asia boomed by embracing energy-intensive growth. Britain chose “energy austerity” instead — and now uses less energy per person than Poland or Malaysia. This is a self-inflicted wound. (3/10) Image
Read 11 tweets
May 10
Renewables funds like Greencoat UK Wind (UKW), Octopus Renewables (ORIT) & The Renewables Infrastructure Group (TRIG) market themselves as low-risk investments. But plunging share prices and wide discounts to NAV suggest management in denial. A thread (1/11) $UKW, $ORIT and $TRIG in denial about the risks of net zero energy policy changes.
Labour govt changes: ROC indexation cut (RPI to CPI) & Carbon Price Support removal in 2028. Funds took NAV hits but downplayed them. New Wholesale CfDs offered as partial offset. These are minor vs. what could come from Reform & Tories. (2/11)
Bigger risks: Tories & Reform pledge to scrap Net Zero elements. Remove CPS + ETS (carbon taxes boosting wholesale prices), abolish ROC scheme early. This would slash revenues for ROC-dependent assets far more than current tweaks, further impacting NAV & share prices. (3/11) Plunging share prices for ORIT, TRIG and UKW
Read 12 tweets
May 8
Yesterday, @EnergyUKcomms caught a bad case of Net Zero Derangement Syndrome by claiming that removing carbon taxes will increase bills. A thread (1/n) Image
They first claimed that decarbonisation and economic growth go hand-in-hand. But data from OWID shows that faster decarbonisation leads to slower growth (2/n) Image
They went on to claim that scrapping the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) would increase gas demand by 25%. This claim would mean almost doubling the amount of gas used for electricity, which is implausible (3/n) Image
Read 9 tweets
May 3
The Government said they reduced the indexation rate for renewables because they'd been over-compensated. That's not even half the story.
New analysis shows wind farms have already received more in subsidy than the build cost, enriching overseas investors. A thread (1/n) Image
Starting with the six offshore wind farms that have received most subsidies under the ROC scheme: Greater Gabbard, Gwynt y Mor, London Array, Race Bank, Sheringham Shoal and West of Duddon Sands (WODS). (2/n) Greater Gabbard, London Array, Race Bank, Sheringham Shoal and West of Duddon Sands (WODS) wind farms received more in subsidy that it cost to build them
Greater Gabbard has received £2.2bn in subsidies but it only cost £1.4bn to build it (exc. OFTO sale proceeds). London Array has received £2.9bn in subsidies but net cost as ~£2.3bn. WODS received £1.8bn subsidies vs £1.1bn net cost (3/n)
Read 11 tweets
Apr 26
🚨UK Net Zero & energy subsidies have exploded to £585 BILLION 🚨

Our taxes funding unreliable renewables, backups, carbon capture & subsidies to use the expensive energy. A new update to the Subsidy Control Database exposes the scale of the madness. (1/11) Image
Breakdown of the insanity:
- Renewables Obligation (ROCs): £104bn
- Contracts for Difference (CfDs): £102bn inc. £40bn for AR7
- £31bn for FiTs

In total over £260bn to subsidise renewables that don’t produce when we need it most, or FIVE Hinkley Point C’s (2/11)
Wind and solar are intermittent, so we pay another £72bn for the Capacity Market – backup power for when the wind doesn’t blow or sun doesn’t shine. And a further £1bn to subsidise making turbines. (3/11)
Read 12 tweets
Apr 19
Ember, the people who came up with Miliband's promise to cut bills by £300 have been torturing the data to claim renewables saved money in March. Record CfD subsidies for March of £258m tell a different story. We're witnessing the dying embers of Net Zero propaganda (1/n) Image
It's true that gas prices spiked in March at the opening of hostilities with Iran, and electricity prices rose too (2/n) Image
But gas prices didn't rise by as much as 2022, and the impact on electricity prices was muted by a reduction in carbon costs, as Ember should know, because it's in their data (3/n) Image
Read 11 tweets

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