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Thread by @RealAmitBagaria: " 1 My two bits on why (I believe they will be held in 2018) will be very different from 2014 and how @ […]" #BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG #2019Elections #Gujarat

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#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 1

My two bits on why #2019Elections (I believe they will be held in 2018) will be very different from 2014 and how @BJP4India seems to be completely unprepared for an opposition onslaught ➕ revival of Anti @narendramodi @AmitShah forces within NDA
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 2

I was told in 2009-10 about the greatness of @narendramodi by 5 #Gujarat based businessmen, 3 of them #Muslims (important as I too, then, thought him to be responsible for 2002 riots) plus 2 people from #Bengaluru who had interacted with #NarendraModi
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 3

When 7 different people not related to or connected with each other - and all respected by me - praised @narendramodi so much, I had no choice but to start tracking his doings and sayings mostly on MSM at that time as I was not on @Twitter
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 4

Being fed-up with #SoniaGandhi and her EXTRA CONSTITUTIONAL #NAC & completely unimpressed by @OfficeOfRG like millions of others, I too was seeking something different but @BJP4India leaders were no different

For me now:
#NAC = #NeverAgainCongress
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 5

By 2012 I started getting attracted to @narendramodi as a potential @PMOIndia even though he was from a party whose several beliefs I was dead against

If this man could change a state, why not a party & a nation?

Was there another alternate? NO!
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 6

In 2013 I started lobbying for @narendramodi for PM amongst my social groups which mostly comprised convent educated liberals who are more #Left of Centre than #Right

I was helped by getting Data & Pics from 2 of the #Gujarat businessmen I wrote about
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 7

Given my persuasion skills, I managed to get 6 of these people to attend a @narendramodi election rally in #Bengaluru in Oct/Nov 2013

Rest is history. All 6 became instant @narendramodi #Bhakts

Between the 7 of us & few RW friends, we now had an Army
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 8

Without exaggeration, our small #ModiArmy managed to convert minimum 5000 @INCIndia voters to vote for @BJP4India in 2014 just to see @narendramodi as @PMOIndia

On counting day (was it 14 May?) we hosted about 45 people at home from 9am to 10pm
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 9

We were elated to hear our new @PMOIndia speak at #Gujarat and later at #Varanasi

What Energy this man had

The joy to see him as our PM was more than seeing #India win against #Pakistan or winning any of the #Cricket #WorldCup finals
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 10

Now please allow me to give a personal Report Card (hits & misses) of the 44-month reign of @narendramodi in which I give him (not his Govt.) 7.5/10 marks

IMHO his biggest achievement will be #ModiCare (see my separate thread on this subject on my TL
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 11

@narendramodi’s 2nd biggest achievement is his #Huglomacy which has made an #Indian count amongst the world’s 5 most recognised leaders 1st time in our nation’s history after MK Gandhi (not Mahatma for me)

Definitely more than #Nehru dynasty
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 12

From an African taxi driver in USA to a Ukranian waitress in London, a German florist, a cart-driver in Poland, a bartender in Czech Rep, a guard in Singapore, a #Pakistani in Ras al Khaima, a barber in Sri Lanka - everyone knew @narendramodi
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 13

The 3rd biggest achievement is @narendramodi fight against corruption, black money, etc. thru #Demonetisation #GST #eProcurement @UIDAI linking Direct Benefits Transfer & various other schemes

THIS WILL ALSO BE HIS BIGGEST CHALLENGE in #2019Elections
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 14

The 4th biggest #ModiSuccess is in making #Indians trust each other

An @Olacabs driver let me leave without paying since he didn’t have change & me no @Paytm

He SMS’d me A/C details so I could wire money later

Never in @INCIndia period
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 15

The 5th biggest #ModiSuccess is in in Citizen Contact whether it is @SushmaSwaraj or @nsitharaman @sureshpprabhu or @PiyushGoyal or @KirenRijiju or other Ministers, Officials or Departments

Only time @INCIndia listened was during PVN Rao reign in 90s
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 16

The 6th #ModiSuccess is in isolating #Pakistan in the world stage and making the world realize #Terroristan in global hub of #Jihad & #Terror - of course now with the help of @realDonaldTrump the most powerful person on earth
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 17

The 7th #ModiSuccess is reinvigorating our #ArmedForces - speak to few officers or jawaans - they will tell you morale is all-time high & they are all charged up to fight & defeat our enemies, credit also to @arunjaitley @manoharparrikar @nsitharaman
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 18

8th #ModiSuccess is #infrastructure with credit to @nitin_gadkari

The scale & pace of development is way beyond the imagination of any #Pappu and all this Govt. work is being done with minimum leakages from our exchequer!
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 19

9th #ModiSuccess is in quashing the money network of #Hurriyat and rendering them worthless

Although this has not stopped #Terror or #Jihad support in #Kashmir it is one good step in that direction

Of course much more needs to be done on #Kashmir
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 20

10th #ModiSuccess is in creating surplus #PowerSupply for which @PiyushGoyal worked hard and @RajKSinghIndia is continuing the good work

The @narendramodi emphasis on building #GreenEnergy Assets like #Solar is also laudable
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 21

11th #ModiSuccess is in building #Toilets especially in #Rural areas

Its a big boon to #women safety and #WomenEmpowerment as village girls did not go to Loo after dark in fear of being molested

It will be @swachhbharat when we have 95% ODF villages
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 22

12th #ModiSuccess is having the guts to bring a #TripleTalaqBill

Such chauvinistic & derogatory practices have no place in #NewIndia regardless of which religion/caste they are prevalent

Lots more needs to be done on other #WomenEmpowerment issues
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 23

13th #ModiSuccess is in almost doubling Taxpayer bade in 3½ years and full credit for this goes to @arunjaitley & entire @FinMinIndia team as well as @IncomeTaxIndia

If this can be doubled again by 2022 then #NewIndia will be a dream come true
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 24

14th #ModiSuccess is in reducing #FiscalDeficit from 4.5% to 3.5% despite almost doubling of #infrastructure expenditure and without increasing taxes

Congrats @arvindsubraman and the @FinMinIndia Team
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 25

15th #ModiSuccess is in #FinancialInclusion through @JanDhanYojana etc.

Proud that there are now 71 crore Accounts with less than 17% with Zero Balance

What was famous Economist #ManmohanSingh doing since 1991?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 26

16th #ModiSuccess has been in the 44% reduction in #Inflation and this is not based on Govt. figures alone

Hundreds of Urban as well as Rural folk agree that inflation is reducing
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 27

17th #ModiSuccess is in laying #OpticalFibre network - the work on this in #rural #India is just mind boggling

Unfortunately @airtelindia @BSNLCorporate @VodafoneIN @reliancejio @ideacellular still can’t give us proper network coverage in most cities
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 28

18th #ModiSuccess is the @PMUjjwalaYojana and the #LPG connection rate has gone up 483% annualised compared to 10 years of #SoniaGandhi #ManmohanSingh regime .... and @OfficeOfRG talks of #WomenEmpowerment #Shame
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 29

I’ve already talked of #infrastructure as a #ModiSuccess but this👇🏽is another mind blowing scheme of @RailMinIndia
THANKS @PiyushGoyal
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 30

I’ve thanked @nitin_gadkari for the #infrastructure initiatives of his Ministries but these figures need to be seen to be believed
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 31

Now I shall talk about what IMHO are #ModiFailure starting with what I consider to be the biggest failure of @narendramodi

By the way #HappyBirthdaySTR
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 32

IMHO biggest #ModiFailure is the @PMOIndia has hardly been able to develop leaders!

Apart from @PiyushGoyal @smritiirani @dpradhanbjp @myogiadityanath & few more, where are new leaders?

The true success of a #Leader is mentorship of future leaders
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 33

While the Govt. seems over dependent on @narendramodi and a handful of Ministers the party @BJP4India seems over dependant on #NarendraModi & @AmitShah

Is this not a #ModiFailure ?

Is there a shortage of capable people in #india ??
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 33

Why don’t we see more of @SushmaSwaraj @sureshpprabhu in the forefront?

Is @manoharparrikar so busy governing a small state that he can’t help in the national scene?

Where are the @BJP4Karnataka @BJP4Keralam @BJP4TamilNadu @BJP4Telangana leaders?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 34

2nd biggest #ModiFailure IMHO is poor performance of @mlkhattar @VasundharaBJP

BJP voters in #Haryana #Rajasthan have been fed-up with their CMs for a long time yet no action taken

He who can do #Demonetisation & #ModiCare can’t act against them?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 35

3rd biggest #ModiFailure is in #MarCom or Marketing and Communications

In 2012-13 leading up to 2014 #LokSabha #Polls all we got on @WhatsApp were @BJP4India propaganda

For past 6 months all we get is stuff like this obviously created by @INCIndia
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 36

Thousands of self-appointed volunteers helped @narendramodi become @PMOIndia in 2014 apart from @RSSorg & @BJP4India machinery, but >95% of them feel left out in last 44 months

Undeserving self-serving sycophants have been given important posts
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 37

While @narendramodi Ji explained on @TimesNow what he meant by #CongressMuktBharat the #CongressCulture of disloyalty, one-upmanship, back-stabbing, groupism & infighting has plagued the RW so badly that @BJP4India doesn’t need @INCIndia to beat it
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 38

On #SocialMedia especially on @Twitter RWs are fighting each other rather than fighting the #PPG or #PakistanPremiGang and other opponents of @narendramodi

Has anyone seen @JhaSanjay fight with @priyankac19 or @ShashiTharoor fight with @KapilSibal ?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 39

@narendramodi Ji & @AmitShah Ji must not forget that @BJP4India lost 2004 elections due to bad #Marcom & over-confidence

The #Gujarat & #RajasthanByPolls losses are a sign of things to come

Why over-dependence on #NarendraModi for election campaigns?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 40

Why are excellent orators like @SushmaSwaraj @nitin_gadkari @Swamy39 @JoshiPralhad Hukumdev Yadav @AnupamPkher @KirronKherBJP @sambitswaraj @NalinSKohli @gauravbh not used for campaigning?

Bring back @vpsbadnore to Party instead of wasting him as Gov.
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 41

4th biggest #ModiFailure is #Babudom - #Andhra Babus made @ncbn lose AP in 2004 & #Delhi Babus will try to do the same to @narendramodi in #2019Elections as he has taken away their Right to:
• Earn
• Enjoy
• Escape all responsibility
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 42

5th #ModiFailure is #Neighbours where #China has virtually taken over #Nepal #SriLanka #Maldives and of course #Pakistan from any #Indian influence

While @narendramodi has done well on Global stage, what has gone wrong with #SAARC countries?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 43

6th #ModiFailure is #NorthEast development the story is TOO LITTLE TOO LATE

While @BJP4India may have Govts in #Assam #ArunachalPradesh #Manipur and may even win in #Meghalaya & #Tripura it will be more to do with @INCIndia failure than #ModiSuccess
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 44

While @sarbanandsonwal and @himantabiswa may be doing a good job in #Assam #corruption thrives in other states with @BJP4India Governments & locals there still don’t feel #Indian - so no real change from @INCIndia days means #ModiFailure
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 45

7th #ModiFailure is #CORRUPTION

Though @narendramodi may have ended it in #Corrupt Ministries/Depts like @moefcc @RailMinIndia @moca_goi @DefenceMinIndia @MEAIndia @PetroleumMin etc. #WeThePeople still face daily #corruption & blame him for it
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 47

The 8th #ModiFailure is the inability to control many @BJP4India MPs & MLAs who often shoot their mouth off & instigate fear amongst minorities.

Elected representatives must exercise proper refrain & leave such politics to others!!!
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 48

The 9th #ModiFailure IMHO is @swachhbharat which has worked only in select cities in @BJP4India states such as #MadhyaPradesh #Gujarat and #Rajasthan

#UttarPradesh #Haryana #Maharashtra and most opposition states remain as dirty as ever.
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 49

10th #ModiFailure is @makeinindia as manufacturing investments in 44 months have been negligible

While foreign interest may have been created, without #Land and #Labour Reforms, manufacturing is unlikely to take off.
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 50

11th #ModiFailure is @startupindia

Having promoted a #StartUp myself, I am disappointed that whatever Incubators have been created with Govt. money, leadership has no clue how to run

Angel Funding yet to pick up pace like USA or even #Israel
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 51

12th #ModiFailure IMHO is tolerating all kinds of #AntiNational behaviour by Indians in the name of FOE/FOS

Even in most liberal USofA, it is #ForcesFirstNotPolitics but in India all kinds of crap is said against #IndianArmy / other Forces
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 52

In the most liberal democracies globally, you can say whatever you want against any Politician including Elected Officials but saying anything against their national forces amounts to TREASON of the highest order and does not go unpunished.
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 53

In India we discuss & debate #ArrestAfzalGang in USA such people will be immediately arrested under post-9/11 Acts such as #HomelandSecurity #PatriotAct #IRTPA and #FISA most of which give war-time powers to the civilian Federal Government
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 54

How many such honourable citizens would remain scot free to eulogise terrorists such as #AfzalGuru in the name/guise of FOE/FOS in USA, UK, France, Italy, Russia, China #Pakistan Dubai, Singapore or even Australia?
#BasEkAurSaal #EMPAvPPG 55

How many of such people win any election in the world’s oldest democracy USA leave alone becoming Ministers, CMs, etc.?

Anyone who understands the American political system knows THE ANSWER IS ZERO
#EMPAvPPG #2019vs2014 56

I will now start the Tweet thread on how the #2019Elections will be very different from 2014

To begin, I will share Analysis we have done at @myvotetoday on possible seat tally if #LokSabha Polls are held today
#EMPAvPPG #2019vs2014 57

10 states - 224 #LokSabha seats

NDA got 197 seats & UPA 16 seats in 2014

If #2019Elections held now @myvotetoday Analysis shows 158-168 seats for current NDA minus @Akali_Dal_ (loss of 29-39 seats) and 45-51 seats for UPA (gain of 29-35 seats)
#EMPAvPPG #2019vs2014 58

5 states - 129 #LokSabha seats

NDA got 37 seats & UPA 21 seats in 2014

If #2019Elections held now @myvotetoday Analysis shows 28-34 seats for current NDA minus @ncbn’s @JaiTDP (loss of 3-9 seats) and 16-22 seats for UPA (gain/loss of 1-5 seats)
#EMPAvPPG #2019vs2014 59

11 states - 102 #LokSabha seats

NDA got 25 seats & UPA 14 seats in 2014

If #2019Elections held now @myvotetoday Analysis shows 38-44 seats for current NDA (gain of 13-19 seats) and 7-11 seats for UPA (loss of 3-7 seats)
#EMPAvPPG #2019vs2014 60

3 states - 76 #LokSabha seats

NDA got 70 seats & UPA 6 seats in 2014

If #2019Elections held now @myvotetoday Analysis shows 42-50 seats for current NDA minus @ShivSena (loss of 20-28 seats) and 18-24 seats for UPA (gain of 12-18 seats)
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