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Observing misconceptions
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3 Aug
A Guide To Miss Conceptions Charts Threads


(& more: other people & their work)

Hopefully this will make it easier for anyone looking for data / charts.

e.g. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง vs ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พ
๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ top ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰
Just a list of charts to browse
Similar / related analysis from others
1st: a thread started at the beginning of June 2021 that looked at then (around 31st May) most highly ๐Ÿ’‰ countries in the ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒŽ.

How do we compare them pre & post๐Ÿ’‰ launch ๐Ÿš€ date๐Ÿ“… on the measure of Covid ?

Used the theme of a 'quiz' with 1 question.

A similar kind of thead but from April.

The top ๐Ÿ’‰countries & territories on this thread were:

Read 9 tweets
2 Aug
Around the end of May we started looking at the then fastest ๐Ÿ’‰ countries in the ๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ
One of those then was Seychelles ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ โšฐ๏ธ are now much higher.
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช at the beginning of June.
Read 39 tweets
25 Jul
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ISRAEL ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

๐Ÿคฎ Severely Ill with Covid ๐Ÿคฎ

๐Ÿง‘โ€โš•๏ธMinistry of Health Data๐Ÿง‘โ€โš•๏ธ

DESPITE the GREAT SUCCESS of the ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ’‰ campaign.., 70% of the severely ill are ๐Ÿ’‰.. (another.. increase).

Sources, Links to data & how to calculate VE (๐Ÿ’‰Efficiency) to follow in thread.

First seen on a @dfeinstein58 tweet (see translation from Hebrew below).

Translations of the column headings and where to find the ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Ministry of Health data to follow.

Also, later in the thread, as an extra treat for Cult Covidians - how to calculate VE (๐Ÿ’‰ efficiency)!
Here is a helpful translation from @RanIsraeli and he has a very helpful link to the source (see next tweet).
Read 6 tweets
23 Jul
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ MONGOLIA ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ has one of the highest ๐Ÿ’‰ rates in the whole ๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ.

DESPITE that (and coincidentally), 99.7% of their confirmed Covid โšฐ๏ธ have occurred SINCE their ๐Ÿ’‰ launch date on 23rd Feb 2021.

Experts assure us that post hoc ergo propter hoc is a FALLACY!

๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ Image
Where Mongolia ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ stands on ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰. Image
Here's how the ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ณ Mongolia picture looked in April 2021. Image
Read 5 tweets
21 Jul
๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ SOUTH AFRICA ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

This is a graph from @OutsideAllan - I just added some big ๐Ÿน & words.

๐Ÿ’‰ are ๐Ÿ†™โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ in ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ—๏ธ

Has that resulted in a huge โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿ“‰in โšฐ๏ธโ“ (Just like in Narnia).

Let's examine the ๐Ÿ“Š very ๐Ÿ” to checkโ—๏ธ

Please ask a cult covidian to read the graph to you.

๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’‰ Image
Let's link to more in this thread:

2. a wider southern Africa thread with ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฒ, ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ด(from memory) & maybe some others),

3. we can also do a link to wider ๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ data.

4. A thread on cases (not โšฐ๏ธ)

But first let me link to Allan's thread

Here's a short thread with some southern African countries. We will need to add South Africa to that thread.
Read 7 tweets
20 Jul

Don't cry for me Argentina


Link to more @OutsideAllan in the thread. Thx @OS51388957 for pointing it out.


What's that other thing that is trending up as ๐Ÿ’‰ trend up? I'll have to look closely and read the labels.

๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Image
There are several threads with similar coincidences...

I will try to list some.
Read 8 tweets
10 Jul

๐Ÿ’‰โœ… vs ๐Ÿ’‰โŒ

๐Ÿ”ฅ New admissions to ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿฅ are mainly the double-๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰ed. ๐Ÿ”ฅ

The ratio seems to be changing between ๐Ÿ’‰ & un-๐Ÿ’‰entering ๐Ÿฅ.

Seen via @barakshalev

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ cases data used to calculate Vaccine Efficiency may be of interest.

Calculations by Israeli Data scientist, @MatanHolzer consulting help from Israeli Professor Emeritus (Public Health), Dr of Medicine & Master of Epidemiology: @prof_shahar
Read 9 tweets
4 Jul
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ NAMIBIA ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

๐Ÿ’‰ arrived in ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ on 17th March 2021.

DESPITE this (and coincidentally) after the rate of ๐Ÿ’‰ increase the โšฐ๏ธ rose also.

However, experts have assured us that 'Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc' is a FALLACY!!!

Earlier, @LaraRodr1guez produced a chart for ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ & cases.
Read 6 tweets
29 Jun

โšฐ๏ธ DEATHS โšฐ๏ธ


When looking at the official All Cause โšฐ๏ธ Mortality data why are โšฐ๏ธ so much higher in 2021?

Data collated by @OS51388957

The โšฐ๏ธ from the mass casualty event are excluded from this data.
Here is the tweet where you can follow up the data & sources.

However, please follow this thread to learn more about ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšฐ๏ธ data.

Are there any parallels at all with ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง data? Surely ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ & ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง should be two of the most healthy countries in the ๐ŸŒŽ because of... you know... ๐Ÿคญ๐Ÿคซ
Oh look. Here is something we looked at earlier.

I wonder if anyone else has looked at ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšฐ๏ธ?
Read 9 tweets
11 Jun
'The mRNA-based BNT162b2 vaccine from Pfizer/BioNTech...'

Study seen via Prof Shahar @prof_shahar & Ben Marten @BenMarten

Preprint: 'reprograms immune responses'
'induces complex functional reprogramming of innate immune responses..'
Prof Shahar expresses how the last sentence should read.
Read 7 tweets
2 Jun
โ‰๏ธ QUIZ TIME โ‰๏ธ

Which is the only country (among the top 10 ๐Ÿ’‰ in the ๐ŸŒŽ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ) to have fewer โšฐ๏ธ since their respective ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿš€ dates than before?

TOP 10 ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰
TOP 10๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰

Have a go yourself (without looking it up) & ask a cult covidian to see if they know!!

โ‰๏ธ Image
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ SEYCHELLES ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ

The most ๐Ÿ’‰ country in the ๐ŸŒ is NOT the answer to the above question in this thread.

97.6% of the ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ Covid โšฐ๏ธ are SINCE the ๐Ÿš€ date of the ๐Ÿ’‰ there.

Fortunately experts assure us that there is no causal relationship & post hoc ergo propter hoc is a FALLACY!! Image

Before we leave ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ–๏ธโ›ต๏ธ๐ŸŒž to look at the 2nd most ๐Ÿ’‰ country in the ๐ŸŒ (to check how they are doing) we should remind ourselves of an earlier ๐Ÿ“ˆ with ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ a news ๐Ÿ“ฐ item from ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ Image
Read 26 tweets
8 May
Theโ›ฐ๏ธin daily ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 1st doses was 20th March.

The 7 day average for๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 1st Dose ๐Ÿ’‰ started trending downwards on 22nd March after a high of just over 500,000.

The 7 day moving average broke below the 28 day moving average on 28th March signalling a trend downturn or even a crash.
The ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 2nd dose chart seems to show a plateau or trend change on the 28 day moving average.

The 7 day moving average peaked on 29th April & then saw a sharp drop. A large part of the drop seems to be the low numbers on 2nd & 3rd May which were the lowest since 5th April.
Read 5 tweets
8 May
Some1 asked me for a charts thread.

I should've done it a while ago, so this is an attempt at a chronological look at charts.

I think what was meant was charts that provide examples of where experts inform us that post hoc ergo propter hoc = fallacy.

From Feb: Gibraltar ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Image
Seychelles in the first half of Feb. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ Image
Someone was interested in the charts and asked me to look at Monaco. ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡จ Image
Read 87 tweets
8 May
๐Ÿ”ฅ Ct value <= 28? ๐Ÿ”ฅ

Claims that breakthrough cases will test with lower CT than some previous tests.


Links / sources in thread
I cannot link to the article that has the link to the document.

Have been helpfully advised that the link is potentially harmful. Good that we were warned. Helps us to check out the facts.
Read 4 tweets
4 May
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ISRAEL ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšฐ๏ธ for ages 20-29

According to this graph (sources on image) from @OS51388957, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โšฐ๏ธ in this age range were higher in early 2021 than in any time previously on this graph (goes back to late 2014).
There seems to be some consistency with this also.
Read 10 tweets
1 May

๐Ÿ”ฅ 500 MILLION ๐Ÿ’‰ doses have now been administered in Asia. ๐Ÿ”ฅ

DESPITE this, and coincidentally, the number of โšฐ๏ธ in Asia has โ†—๏ธ.

In Dec, Jan, Feb, Asia โšฐ๏ธ numbers โ†˜๏ธ.

๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿซ Correlation โ‰  causation & post hoc ergo propter hoc is a FALLACY! ๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿซ
๐ŸŒ ASIA (cont.) ๐ŸŒ

Asia ๐Ÿ’‰ numbers have reached 500 million.
Some previous charts from individual Asian countries.
Read 9 tweets
25 Apr

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บis a (or the)๐ŸŒleader on no. of different๐Ÿ’‰s approved.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บbeat other ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ countries on the ๐Ÿš€ ๐Ÿ—“๏ธof the๐Ÿ’‰by not waiting for the joint๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บis 1 of the๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿ’‰countries in๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ

DESPITE this ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ has one of the highest โšฐ๏ธ rates in the ๐ŸŒ& 2/3 โšฐ๏ธ since ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

Correlation โ‰  Causation Image

Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a FALLACY. ๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿซ

So please do not read into this any significance in the โ›ฐ๏ธ date for ๐Ÿ’‰ doses and the โ›ฐ๏ธ date for โšฐ๏ธ.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Image
Read 7 tweets
20 Apr

Who is leading?

In position No. 1 is Gibraltar ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ or #FastJabGib

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ is No. 1 for๐Ÿ’‰ administered relative to population.

DESPITE this & coincidentally ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ is No. 1 in the world for โšฐ๏ธ / million, not connected ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ govt. confirmed.

Over 80% ofโšฐ๏ธsince๐Ÿ’‰launch Image
๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿ’‰ The ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ’‰ Race ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿƒ

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ Seychelles is now No. 2 on our list ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ

DESPITE the๐Ÿ’‰ rollout in ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ, 96% of their Covidโšฐ๏ธ are since the๐Ÿ’‰ launch ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

However, 'post hoc ergo propter hoc' is a fallacy & experts assure us: no causal relationship.

Also, the๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ data set is too small. Image
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ SEYCHELLES ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ

When ๐ŸŒ No. 2* ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ launched ๐Ÿš€ their ๐Ÿ’‰ they had only 1 (ONE) Covid โšฐ๏ธ

Clearly their data set is too small for any firm conclusions.

*๐Ÿ’‰ doses administed as a % of population.

Correlation โ‰  causation Image
Read 7 tweets
19 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ INDIA ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ

DESPITE the launch of the๐Ÿ’‰in๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ more than 3 months ago their cases have coincidentallyโ†—๏ธmore than 12 fold.

The era of 'Ivermectin India' is over. The era of 'Jab India' has begun.

(Aug 2020: Bihar & Uttar Pradesh adopted IVERMECTIN).

Correlation โ‰  causation etc. Image
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ INDIA ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ

โšฐ๏ธ DEATHS โšฐ๏ธ

When ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ launched their ๐Ÿ’‰ on 15th January they were averaging 218 Covidโšฐ๏ธ/ day.

MORE THAN THREE MONTHS LATER they are averaging more than 1,200 โšฐ๏ธ / day.

Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a fallacy & correlation โ‰  causation.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ’‰ Image
Read 7 tweets
12 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ, after a slow start, accelerated it's ๐Ÿ’‰ on 19th February 2021. *

*Our World In Data
Despite the rapidโ†—๏ธin the no. of๐Ÿ’‰ given the average number of dailyโšฐ๏ธrose from 30 / day to over 120 / day.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌhas risen in the๐ŸŒ league table ofโšฐ๏ธ / million to 7th place (see next tweet ๐Ÿ‘‡).

Experts assure us, theโ†—๏ธinโšฐ& the โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ’‰are unrelated.

Correlation โ‰  causation
Sadly๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌhas risen to Number 7 in the๐ŸŒ on the Deaths / Million table illustrated by Worldometers.

#FastJabGib ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ is No. 1 for both Covidโšฐ๏ธAND Covid ๐Ÿ’‰adjusted for population size. Experts assure us that this is a coincidence.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ'sโšฐ๏ธ:๐Ÿ’‰correlation is also not causal, experts.
Read 4 tweets
4 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ has one of the lowest โšฐ๏ธ rates with Covid-19 in the whole ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ's largest news publisher by reach, bdnews24, reported ' The government started the mass immunisation on Feb 7..'
In order to get the context of how low the ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉโšฐ๏ธ rate has been it is useful to compare with ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งโšฐ๏ธ with Covid.

This graph is population adjusted.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ has been country wide adoption of Ivermection according to IVM Status dot com.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง uses ๐Ÿ”’lockdowns๐Ÿ”’ & ๐Ÿ’‰, NOT Ivermectin..
The Ivermectin Bangladesh๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ vs ๐Ÿ”’Lockdown &๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง reminds us all of...

Ivermectin India๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ vs ๐Ÿ”’Lockdown & ๐Ÿ’‰ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

What's the score... is it close?
Read 4 tweets