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@splendid_pete Excellent analysis.
I'd add one more thing. Obstruction is not anything that delays or might possibly in the future somehow prevent an officer from doing some task. To define it as such would include a waitress taking too long to deliver the breakfast check that morning ... 1/3
I'd add one more thing. Obstruction is not anything that delays or might possibly in the future somehow prevent an officer from doing some task. To define it as such would include a waitress taking too long to deliver the breakfast check that morning ... 1/3
@splendid_pete because it slowed down the agent and prevented him from getting to his law enforcement task.
Or bumping into the agent on the sidewalk which caused him to slip on the ice and fall down and delayed by 2 minutes his getting to his vehicle to drive to his immigration ... 2/3
Or bumping into the agent on the sidewalk which caused him to slip on the ice and fall down and delayed by 2 minutes his getting to his vehicle to drive to his immigration ... 2/3
@splendid_pete activity. Maybe the agent had to wait behind two people in line for the restroom. Gosh, gee, that impeded his ability to do his job. Stopping in the road while traffic is going by is not impeding the ice agent any more than the above examples are. 3/3
Dr. Benjamin Bikman is a world-leading expert in insulin resistance and fat loss.
He just did a 2-hour podcast with Steven Bartlett.
It's hit about 1 Million views in 4 days.
Here are the top 10 lessons that go against everything mainstream health advice taught you 🧵
He just did a 2-hour podcast with Steven Bartlett.
It's hit about 1 Million views in 4 days.
Here are the top 10 lessons that go against everything mainstream health advice taught you 🧵
1. Insulin is massively underrated.
It controls what every cell does with energy.
From your brain to your bones, insulin dictates whether you burn or store fat.
When insulin is high, your body is in storage mode.
It literally cannot burn fat.
It controls what every cell does with energy.
From your brain to your bones, insulin dictates whether you burn or store fat.
When insulin is high, your body is in storage mode.
It literally cannot burn fat.
2. Calories matter less than you think.
Dr. Bikman explains that two meals with identical calories produce completely different results based on insulin response.
The low-carb meal increases metabolic rate.
The high-carb meal tanks it.
Same calories, opposite outcomes.
Dr. Bikman explains that two meals with identical calories produce completely different results based on insulin response.
The low-carb meal increases metabolic rate.
The high-carb meal tanks it.
Same calories, opposite outcomes.
1/ The Streeting experiment steadfastly ignores evidence from the Tavistock that 80-90% of the teens there were same sex attracted and around 30% autistic. The strength of feeling against this live experiment on vulnerable young people is expressed in sheer weight of numbers here
2/ There was a dark joke at the Tavistock "soon there will be no gay people left". It was obvious to staff that what was happening was wrong and obvious to them that around 90% who take PBs go on to cross sex hormones and sterility.
3/ This experiment is a con. It takes a group of children and teenagers groomed into believing they have the wrong body and gives half of them puberty blockers now and half later. Then it asks them if they are happy having got what they wanted. That isn't science, it's politics.
What do experts and superforecasters think about the future of AI research and development?
In Wave 4 of the Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP), we asked top AI experts to forecast progress in AI R&D, hiring, company valuations, data center buildout, and more.
Here’s what you need to know 🧵
In Wave 4 of the Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP), we asked top AI experts to forecast progress in AI R&D, hiring, company valuations, data center buildout, and more.
Here’s what you need to know 🧵
📈 AI benchmark progress is advancing faster than experts expect
AI performance on hard coding tasks is a useful indicator of potential capability increases in self-improving AI R&D: when models take an active role in improving AI itself.
The median forecaster significantly underestimated progress on LiveCodeBench Pro—a benchmark that tracks performance on tough programming tasks.
The median expert in our sample predicted state-of-the-art performance on LiveCodeBench Pro (Hard) of 14% in 2026 and 33% by the end of 2030. Since the survey closed, GPT-5.2 has already hit 33% on the benchmark.
A quarter of experts and superforecasters expect major progress on this coding benchmark, providing 50th percentile forecasts of at least 60% accuracy by 2030.
We plan to identify which forecasters were most accurate on questions like this to see what they believe about other topics.
AI performance on hard coding tasks is a useful indicator of potential capability increases in self-improving AI R&D: when models take an active role in improving AI itself.
The median forecaster significantly underestimated progress on LiveCodeBench Pro—a benchmark that tracks performance on tough programming tasks.
The median expert in our sample predicted state-of-the-art performance on LiveCodeBench Pro (Hard) of 14% in 2026 and 33% by the end of 2030. Since the survey closed, GPT-5.2 has already hit 33% on the benchmark.
A quarter of experts and superforecasters expect major progress on this coding benchmark, providing 50th percentile forecasts of at least 60% accuracy by 2030.
We plan to identify which forecasters were most accurate on questions like this to see what they believe about other topics.
🧑💻 Entry-level tech hiring may stay low for decades
Experts predict that the share of new hires with ≤1 year of experience at top tech firms will remain around 7% through 2040. Some respondents point to AI tools reducing the need for junior roles.
This is well below the 15% share of entry-level hires reached in 2019 and 2023.
Experts predict that the share of new hires with ≤1 year of experience at top tech firms will remain around 7% through 2040. Some respondents point to AI tools reducing the need for junior roles.
This is well below the 15% share of entry-level hires reached in 2019 and 2023.
In Europe, the future of #fertilizers' inclusion in CBAM was thrown into doubt barely a week after the new regulations came into force, as France and Italy pushed for an exemption for crop-nutrient imports. India closed its first #urea import tender of the year... (1/3)
...securing around 1 Mt, which has supported prices, while in Europe trade dried up due to the confusion over CBAM. #Ammonia prices are expected to weaken significantly in the coming weeks as new US supply comes onstream and Middle East plants return from extended outages (2/3)
Last month's news that China will restrict DAP, MAP and NP exports until August has emboldened some bulls in the market, though overall spot demand for #phosphates remains lacklustre. #Sulphur continues to forge higher with supply severely constrained in Russia (3/3) #fertilizer
Can't get to the gym?
You can get lean and strong at home.
Here are my Top 5 Body Weight exercises you can use to hit every muscle group at home:
(Videos of each included)
= Thread =
1. Push Ups
You can get lean and strong at home.
Here are my Top 5 Body Weight exercises you can use to hit every muscle group at home:
(Videos of each included)
= Thread =
1. Push Ups
Push ups:
Muscles targeted:
⚬ Chest
⚬ Delts
⚬ Triceps
Tips:
⚬ Shoulder width hand position
⚬ Slow eccentric (avoid momentum)
⚬ Lower until sternum hits the ground
⚬ Explode back to the top and repeat
(Start with knees if full reps are too much)
Muscles targeted:
⚬ Chest
⚬ Delts
⚬ Triceps
Tips:
⚬ Shoulder width hand position
⚬ Slow eccentric (avoid momentum)
⚬ Lower until sternum hits the ground
⚬ Explode back to the top and repeat
(Start with knees if full reps are too much)
2. Squats:
Muscles targeted:
⚬ Quads
⚬ Glutes
Tips:
⚬ Feet flat on floor
⚬ Drop hips down
⚬ Work toward femur hitting parallel with floor
*Squat to a chair if starting out.
Muscles targeted:
⚬ Quads
⚬ Glutes
Tips:
⚬ Feet flat on floor
⚬ Drop hips down
⚬ Work toward femur hitting parallel with floor
*Squat to a chair if starting out.
NVIDIA just did something wild 👀
They released top-tier AI & tech courses — 100% FREE.
No payment required.
Here are the must-take NVIDIA courses for 2026: 👇
They released top-tier AI & tech courses — 100% FREE.
No payment required.
Here are the must-take NVIDIA courses for 2026: 👇
1. Generative AI Explained
Learn the basics, applications, challenges, and opportunities in AI.
You’ll learn:
• How Generative AI works
• Applications of Generative AI
• Challenges and opportunities
Learn the basics, applications, challenges, and opportunities in AI.
You’ll learn:
• How Generative AI works
• Applications of Generative AI
• Challenges and opportunities
2. Introduction to AI in the Data Center
You’ll learn:
• Basics of AI, ML, and deep learning
• Training and inference in deep learning workflows
• GPU architecture vs. CPU and their role in AI
You’ll learn:
• Basics of AI, ML, and deep learning
• Training and inference in deep learning workflows
• GPU architecture vs. CPU and their role in AI
Jane Sissmore, MI5’s first female officer, led its Soviet espionage unit by 1929.
Her MI6 career was derailed when double agent Kim Philby sidelined her, fearing she would expose his treachery.
Let's explore:
(🧵)
Her MI6 career was derailed when double agent Kim Philby sidelined her, fearing she would expose his treachery.
Let's explore:
(🧵)
Kathleen Jane Sissmore, later Mrs Archer, joined MI5 as a clerk in 1916 at 18, rising swiftly due to her determination.
Described as ‘a strong character, very straight, well-principled, industrious’ by her headteacher, she trained as a barrister while working full-time.
Her organisational skills earned her an MBE in 1923, and by 1924, she was called to the Bar.
In 1928, she became controller of MI5’s Registry, a remarkable feat in a male-dominated field.
(continued)
Described as ‘a strong character, very straight, well-principled, industrious’ by her headteacher, she trained as a barrister while working full-time.
Her organisational skills earned her an MBE in 1923, and by 1924, she was called to the Bar.
In 1928, she became controller of MI5’s Registry, a remarkable feat in a male-dominated field.
(continued)
By 1929, Sissmore led MI5’s Soviet espionage department, earning praise from Vernon Kell in 1935 for her ‘brilliant and devoted efforts.’
Marrying Wing Commander John Archer in 1939, she became MI5’s only female officer during wartime.
In 1940, her interrogations of Soviet defector Walter Krivitsky at London’s Langham Hotel produced a model report, offering MI5 its ‘first insight into the machinery of the Russian Secret Service.’
(continued)
Marrying Wing Commander John Archer in 1939, she became MI5’s only female officer during wartime.
In 1940, her interrogations of Soviet defector Walter Krivitsky at London’s Langham Hotel produced a model report, offering MI5 its ‘first insight into the machinery of the Russian Secret Service.’
(continued)
The bad thing about everything the gangsters do is that they always pursue several goals with one measure. Like Putin. 🧵
Putin waged war in Syria not only to keep his ally in place, but also to create a refugee crisis in Europe.
Putin starts a war in Ukraine not only to get Ukraine "back", but to humiliate the rest of Europe.
Etc.
Now 🍊 ⬇️
2/
Putin starts a war in Ukraine not only to get Ukraine "back", but to humiliate the rest of Europe.
Etc.
Now 🍊 ⬇️
2/
🍊 ICEs people not only to terrify them, but also to be able to call the insurrection act and cancel the elections. At the same time his buddies make money with private detention centers.
3/
3/
Weekly update on the work fo the sbs-group.army
Enemy personnel
Ru🇷🇺 is not slowing down in its efforts to throw men into the meat grinder. They are systematically running into death. The daily footage is overwhelming, as shown by the graph. There is no need for a Ukrainian offensive; the Russians are coming themselves.
Total hit by drones: 2.181
Killed: 1262
Wounded: 919
Enemy personnel
Ru🇷🇺 is not slowing down in its efforts to throw men into the meat grinder. They are systematically running into death. The daily footage is overwhelming, as shown by the graph. There is no need for a Ukrainian offensive; the Russians are coming themselves.
Total hit by drones: 2.181
Killed: 1262
Wounded: 919
Same for the Ru🇷🇺 UAV launch points identical to the number of killed personnel.
Men on Motorbikes down, likely to cold.
R.I.P. GOOGLE FLIGHTS IN 2026.
R.I.P. BOOKING DOT COM IN 2026.
R.I.P. SKYSCANNER IN 2026.
$1,412 flight. I paid $186.
These 7 ChatGPT prompts quietly break airline pricing:
R.I.P. BOOKING DOT COM IN 2026.
R.I.P. SKYSCANNER IN 2026.
$1,412 flight. I paid $186.
These 7 ChatGPT prompts quietly break airline pricing:
1. Hidden Route Scanner
Prompt: Act as a professional flight pricing analyst. Break my route into hidden city tickets, nearby departure and arrival airports, and multi-leg combinations airlines don’t surface. Compare direct vs split routes, explain the price gap, and rank the cheapest legal options.
Prompt: Act as a professional flight pricing analyst. Break my route into hidden city tickets, nearby departure and arrival airports, and multi-leg combinations airlines don’t surface. Compare direct vs split routes, explain the price gap, and rank the cheapest legal options.
2. Price Manipulation Detector
Prompt: Analyze how airlines raise prices using repeated searches, cookies, browser data, device type, IP location, and time-based demand signals. Explain exactly which behaviors trigger price inflation and give a precise step-by-step search method to avoid it.
Prompt: Analyze how airlines raise prices using repeated searches, cookies, browser data, device type, IP location, and time-based demand signals. Explain exactly which behaviors trigger price inflation and give a precise step-by-step search method to avoid it.
Looking at the first 12 days of January, there have been no mass attacks involving 500+ drones accompanied by missiles. A total of 13 Iskander-M missiles were launched on the 9th, eight of which were intercepted. The interception ratio saw a gradual improvement.
The average total number of #Schahed attacks by Russia is decreasing, contrary to predictions.
The number of 'real' Shahed going down since beginning of Decemer 2025.
