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@rhonda_harbison @atrupar @howardlutnick 1).
โTariffs will indeed hurt farmers badly. Farm costs will rise. Farm incomes will drop. Under @realDonaldTrump's tariffs, farmers will pay more for fertilizer. They will pay more for farm equipment. They will pay more for the fuel to ship their products to market.
โTariffs will indeed hurt farmers badly. Farm costs will rise. Farm incomes will drop. Under @realDonaldTrump's tariffs, farmers will pay more for fertilizer. They will pay more for farm equipment. They will pay more for the fuel to ship their products to market.
@rhonda_harbison @atrupar @howardlutnick @realDonaldTrump 2).
When foreign countries retaliate, raising their own tariff barriers, American farmers will lose export markets.
When foreign countries retaliate, raising their own tariff barriers, American farmers will lose export markets.
@rhonda_harbison @atrupar @howardlutnick @realDonaldTrump 3).
Their domestic sales will come under pressure too, because tariffs will shrink Americansโ disposable incomes: Consumers will have to cut back everywhere, including at the grocery store.โ
April 2, 2025
@TheAtlantic archive.ph/pfFTv
Their domestic sales will come under pressure too, because tariffs will shrink Americansโ disposable incomes: Consumers will have to cut back everywhere, including at the grocery store.โ
April 2, 2025
@TheAtlantic archive.ph/pfFTv
In looking for another case, I came across two cases docketed today re immigration issues where filings aren't available: This one seeks release from INS Detection and this seeks an adjudication on a visa issue. 1/ 
2/ I'm interested in these cases because (other than the Alien Enemies Act) there is a very clear procedure for how to challenge immigration issues and it isn't in the district court. Rather, aliens must proceed through the administrative process, ALJ (Administrative Law Judge)
3/ Then to appeal before the BIA (Board of Immigration Appeal) and after that they can challenge to a federal circuit court. They cannot bring habeas or other challenges in a district court: Congress purposefully removed jurisdiction from district court to avoid flooding court
Duty free "de minimis" shipping is being eliminated from ALL countries as soon as the systems are ready. ย ๐งต
Buried in today's Executive Order on tariffs is a bombshell: The program that allows goods to be shipped duty free if they come direct from overseas to final consumers is going away for all countries.
Here's the full EO: whitehouse.gov/presidential-aโฆ
@RonFilipkowski 1).
โEconomists and economic historians have agreed that the passage of the SmootโHawley Tariff worsened the effects of the Great Depression [1].
โEconomists and economic historians have agreed that the passage of the SmootโHawley Tariff worsened the effects of the Great Depression [1].
@RonFilipkowski 2).
The depression worsened for workers and farmers despite Smoot and Hawleyสผs promises of prosperity from high tariffs; consequently, Hawley lost re-nomination, while Smoot was one of 12 @GOP Senators who lost their seats in the 1932 elections,
The depression worsened for workers and farmers despite Smoot and Hawleyสผs promises of prosperity from high tariffs; consequently, Hawley lost re-nomination, while Smoot was one of 12 @GOP Senators who lost their seats in the 1932 elections,
@RonFilipkowski @GOP 3).
with the swing being the largest in Senate history (being equaled in 1958 and 1980). Nations other than Canada that enacted retaliatory tariffs included Cuba, Mexico, France, Italy, Spain, Argentina, Australia, New Zealand, and Switzerland [2].โ
with the swing being the largest in Senate history (being equaled in 1958 and 1980). Nations other than Canada that enacted retaliatory tariffs included Cuba, Mexico, France, Italy, Spain, Argentina, Australia, New Zealand, and Switzerland [2].โ
THREAD: Last year, ProPublica started receiving tips from an unusual kind of source: flight attendants.
They said they'd worked on deportation flights for ICE, and they could tell us what it was really like on board. 1/
They said they'd worked on deportation flights for ICE, and they could tell us what it was really like on board. 1/
Most of the flight attendants hadn't knowingly signed up to help deport people. When they took their jobs, theyโd expected to fly VIPs to glamorous locales.
Then the airline started working for ICE, and many or most of their passengers were detainees, people in chains. 2/
Then the airline started working for ICE, and many or most of their passengers were detainees, people in chains. 2/
We spoke with 7 current and former Global Crossing Airlines crew members. Their accounts were consistent with one another and aligned with whatโs in legal filings and other records about ICE Airโimportant because neither GlobalX nor ICE answered any of ProPublica's questions. 3/
Many yet to clock that this is Cold War 2 with all elements of US policy now directed at containing and confronting the rise of China.
โMake America Great Againโ means shifting USA from a consumption based economy to a production based economy (as in WWII). 1/n
โMake America Great Againโ means shifting USA from a consumption based economy to a production based economy (as in WWII). 1/n
Trump sees tariffs as the ideal tool to achieve this policy aim because they are a tax on consumption of imported goods that provides a subsidy to domestic production. 2/n
If you understand that closing the gap in productive capacity to China is *THE* policy priority for the USA for national security reasons, you understand the world we are now living in. 3/n
Good morning .
10% Universal Tariffs are the Baseline
Country specific tariffs from 54% ( in all) on China to 26% on India .
Stocks are down with Japan opening down 4%
Indian futures are down more than 1%.
This has been a worse than worst case scenario.
10% Universal Tariffs are the Baseline
Country specific tariffs from 54% ( in all) on China to 26% on India .
Stocks are down with Japan opening down 4%
Indian futures are down more than 1%.
This has been a worse than worst case scenario.
Crude oil has sold off sharply on risks to energy demand. In the US, benchmark West Texas Intermediate dropped toward $69 a barrel, shedding as much as 3.4%. Brent is down by more than 3%.
Base metals have taken a punch, too. On the London Metal Exchange, copper and aluminum have both shed more than 1%.
@RonFilipkowski 1).
โ @NancyMace (@RepNancyMace) accused James McIntyre of Illinois, a national foster care advocate, of accosting her during a Dec. 10 reception celebrating the 25th anniversary of the passage of the Foster Care Independence Act of 1999.โ
April 2, 2025
โ @NancyMace (@RepNancyMace) accused James McIntyre of Illinois, a national foster care advocate, of accosting her during a Dec. 10 reception celebrating the 25th anniversary of the passage of the Foster Care Independence Act of 1999.โ
April 2, 2025
@RonFilipkowski @NancyMace @RepNancyMace 2).
@thehill thehill.com/homenews/houseโฆ
@thehill thehill.com/homenews/houseโฆ
@RonFilipkowski @NancyMace @RepNancyMace @thehill Please unroll @threadreaderapp. Thank you in advance ๐
Let's look at how Trump's recent round of tariffs could impact your spending on clothing. ๐งต
I should note this thread makes two assumptions. First, that tariff will be fully passed down to the consumer. This may or may not be true, but is likely true in the long run. Second, that the manufacturing info I found online reflects current sourcing.
According to their public filings, 39% of Adidas shoes are made in Vietnam, including these Sambas.
Currently, they sell for $100. With the new 46% tariff, they will cost $46 moreโor $146.
Currently, they sell for $100. With the new 46% tariff, they will cost $46 moreโor $146.
The 6 math formulas every trader needs to know (explained simply):
1. Expected value
1. Expected value
The backbone of trading.
Positive EV is what you're after if you want to succeed in trading.
You will want to calculate this for every strategy.
Positive EV is what you're after if you want to succeed in trading.
You will want to calculate this for every strategy.
2. Risk of Ruin.
This calculates the probability of losing your entire trading capital.
It's the cold, hard math behind why proper position sizing is key.
Survival is everything in trading.
This calculates the probability of losing your entire trading capital.
It's the cold, hard math behind why proper position sizing is key.
Survival is everything in trading.
๐งตThread Read All Parts Please.
๐จElection Night Analysis๐จ
The whole thing started with Tesla takedown.
Let's examine the facts surrounding the recent election events in a clear and objective manner:
1- Brad Schimel's campaign struggled significantly until the final moments, receiving limited attention and support. The Republican National Committee (RNC) and several prominent Republican figures did not prioritize or effectively promote the campaign, resulting in minimal publicity.
2- Only a handful of influential MAGA-aligned accounts, such as @ScottPresler and @DataRepublican actively engaged in supporting this campaign. Many others focused primarily on sharing memes and casual posts to boost their own visibility, opting not to invest effort or resources into the campaign.
3- In the Florida races, Democratic candidates outspent their Republican counterparts by a ratio of 10 to 1, yet they still suffered double-digit losses.\
4- The Wisconsin Supreme Court maintained its existing 4-3 Democratic-leaning majority. While Republicans did not lose a seat, they were unable to secure an additional one to shift the balance.
5- The passage of Voter ID legislation represents a positive development for election integrity.
6- From a strategic perspective, Democrats likely prioritized gaining two seats in Florida over securing the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat due to the fact they pumped in so much money that they out spent the republican 10 to 1.
๐จElection Night Analysis๐จ
The whole thing started with Tesla takedown.
Let's examine the facts surrounding the recent election events in a clear and objective manner:
1- Brad Schimel's campaign struggled significantly until the final moments, receiving limited attention and support. The Republican National Committee (RNC) and several prominent Republican figures did not prioritize or effectively promote the campaign, resulting in minimal publicity.
2- Only a handful of influential MAGA-aligned accounts, such as @ScottPresler and @DataRepublican actively engaged in supporting this campaign. Many others focused primarily on sharing memes and casual posts to boost their own visibility, opting not to invest effort or resources into the campaign.
3- In the Florida races, Democratic candidates outspent their Republican counterparts by a ratio of 10 to 1, yet they still suffered double-digit losses.\
4- The Wisconsin Supreme Court maintained its existing 4-3 Democratic-leaning majority. While Republicans did not lose a seat, they were unable to secure an additional one to shift the balance.
5- The passage of Voter ID legislation represents a positive development for election integrity.
6- From a strategic perspective, Democrats likely prioritized gaining two seats in Florida over securing the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat due to the fact they pumped in so much money that they out spent the republican 10 to 1.
๐งต2/ How did this happen.
1- The movement started with Tesla take down.
That was the initial first step for amplifying the noise.
2-By coordinating efforts to oppose government spending cuts, we can highlight how such reductions would impact millions of people, including those who benefit from payments that may involve fraudulent activity. My previous exposรฉs on government spending have already demonstrated how funds are misdirected and funneled improperly.
3- Maintain the current momentum for several weeks leading up to the special election day, then strategically assign a senator to deliver a 24-hour, nonsensical speech on the Senate floor to sustain liberal enthusiasm and engagement.
1- The movement started with Tesla take down.
That was the initial first step for amplifying the noise.
2-By coordinating efforts to oppose government spending cuts, we can highlight how such reductions would impact millions of people, including those who benefit from payments that may involve fraudulent activity. My previous exposรฉs on government spending have already demonstrated how funds are misdirected and funneled improperly.
3- Maintain the current momentum for several weeks leading up to the special election day, then strategically assign a senator to deliver a 24-hour, nonsensical speech on the Senate floor to sustain liberal enthusiasm and engagement.
๐งต3/ What's Next?
Here's what we can do.
1- Have a coordinated message by prominent big accounts to shed light on what's current and important. Some of these account are @GuntherEagleman @nicksortor @matt_vanswol @catturd2 @charliekirk11 @bennyjohnson @benshapiro @glennbeck @megynkelly and bunch of other accounts. Put your money where your mouths are.
2- Have a coordinated message to release to combat the left and the rhetoric.
3- DOJ should absolutely investigate voter fraud, if they do this they will discover some very interesting things.
4- Keep pushing the GOP for the mediate we gained in Nov 2024
5- Message coordination against big media. Also if you have Facebook or other outlet push that message on there as well.
FYI Facebook still have a massive audience that we can capitalize on.
Finally, I highly recommend everyone read the book "let them call me rebel" By Saul Alinsky. This book will help you understand the left tactics...
@DataRepublican @elonmusk @data_republican @MarioNawfal
Here's what we can do.
1- Have a coordinated message by prominent big accounts to shed light on what's current and important. Some of these account are @GuntherEagleman @nicksortor @matt_vanswol @catturd2 @charliekirk11 @bennyjohnson @benshapiro @glennbeck @megynkelly and bunch of other accounts. Put your money where your mouths are.
2- Have a coordinated message to release to combat the left and the rhetoric.
3- DOJ should absolutely investigate voter fraud, if they do this they will discover some very interesting things.
4- Keep pushing the GOP for the mediate we gained in Nov 2024
5- Message coordination against big media. Also if you have Facebook or other outlet push that message on there as well.
FYI Facebook still have a massive audience that we can capitalize on.
Finally, I highly recommend everyone read the book "let them call me rebel" By Saul Alinsky. This book will help you understand the left tactics...
@DataRepublican @elonmusk @data_republican @MarioNawfal
