1/ When Cyan Banister writes a check, other investors pay attention. Her track record with Uber, SpaceX, Niantic, Postmates (and many more) speaks for itself—and the industry knows it. Her support can make a round.
So, what are the DOs and DON’Ts of pitching Cyan?
2/ DO make sure you’re the right fit. Founders must be genuinely passionate about solving the problem they’re tackling—so if you’re just in it for the money, you should probably go elsewhere.
As she told fellow early Uber investor Jason Calacanis on his podcast:
3/ DO be ready to talk about yourself.
Instead of wasting the time before a pitch meeting on small talk, Cyan likes to ask founders about themselves. She looks for founders who have faced adversity of some kind—even better if that experience connects you to your chosen problem.
4/ Cyan knows firsthand how hardship can shape a person’s life, instilling resilience and work ethic.
When she was 14, she became homeless after her mom abandoned her with $20 and a note reading “good luck.”
5/ DO consider how your personality makes you a good fit for the market problem you’re solving.
She lives by the founder-market fit doctrine. Her Uber investment is a prime example. When she first met Travis Kalanick, she thought:
6/ Later, when she heard him pitch Uber, her research on the taxi industry told her that he would be the ideal fit.
7/ DO be ready for her to move quickly if she likes the opportunity. She says you can determine if founders are the right ones to back in under an hour.
After she heard TK pitch Uber, she pulled the trigger without hesitation.
8/ Cyan decided to invest in Carta/eShares, when they were still onstage pitching the company.
9/ If you’re a co-founding team, DO be prepared to answer questions about your relationship.
HQ Trivia, one of her former portcos, was torn apart by founder conflict. She now asks every team to explain how long they’ve known each other and how they resolve conflicts.
10/ DO explain how your product will fundamentally change behaviors. From Uber changing how people get around cities—and allow many to live without cars—to Postmates changing how users spend their evenings, she’s looking for companies that change the way people live their lives.
11/ DO bring Cyan opportunities for decentralized, small-batch, custom manufacturing.
12/ DO bring Cyan opportunities that decentralize industries or break down barriers to entry.
1/ 3Q21 $BABA earnings were released this morning. The stock is down 11% today, bringing total losses to -36% YTD.
This quarter could be thesis changing and potentially evidence that the bears were right with their concerns. A short thread below.
2/ Aggregate revenue excluding their Sun Art (1P retailer) acquisition is +16% y/y vs +22% y/y last Q. There are many pieces to BABA, but we will split it up into 4: China core commerce, China non-core commerce, international, and cloud.
3/ Right off the bat we can say cloud looked fine, +33% y/y, reaccelerating 300bps sequentially as the (assumed) Bytedance contract rolls off. Their international businesses looked okay with BABA adding 20mn international buyers to 285mn and...
1/ $BILI reported 3Q21 earnings today ended the day down 9% to $81-- almost half the price it traded at in February. Was this reaction warranted? A quick business update on Bilibili is below.
2/ Net revenues were +61% y/y to $800mn, a slight deceleration from last Q’s +72% and <1% miss vs. consensus. We will walk through their 4 segments: mobile games, VAS, advertising, and Ecom. & other.
But first on platform health...
3/ MAUs grew to 267mn, representing q/q user growth of 30mn. This is the largest growth since 1Q20 (in the crux of covid) and more than 2x as many users as they added last q. Their DAU/MAU ratio remains below peer social media though at ~27%, +50bps sequentially.
1/ $SE reported 3Q21 earnings today and is down 5% after opening around flat in early morning trading. A quick business update on how our Sea thesis is holding up and how investors should think about this quarter.
A short $SE thread below.
2/ GAAP revenue was +122% y/y to $2.7bn which is a deceleration from last Q’s +159% y/y rate. However, keep in mind they are working against the law of large numbers, and this still represents a ~$200mn beat vs consensus.
Digging into ecommerce first…
3/ GMV grew 81% y/y to $16.8bn or $1.8bn higher than last quarter (consensus $16.5bn). However, 3Q21 is usually seasonally stronger than 2Q. This is still a >$60bn run-rate, 3x higher than what they were generating pre-covid.
1/ $CPNG was down 7% this morning on 3Q21 earnings.
Is this a case of investors getting ahead of themselves with high expectations or is there something wrong with the direction of the business?
A short update on Coupang below 🧵.
2/ Their 1P business, “Net Retail Sales” was +43% y/y to $4.1bn, down from +65% y/y last quarter. This 2300bps sequential deceleration is on very tough comps though and still good in absolute with $CPNG growing more than 2x as fast as the Korean ecommerce market.
3/ Active customers increased to 16.8mn, for the 15th consecutive quarter of 20%+ growth. However, active buyers in 2Q21 were 17mn. This sequential decrease is what is likely spooking the market.
1/ Society benefits the most when entrepreneurs focus on solving problems before monetizing the solution.
But solving a problem doesn’t equate to creating a great business.
2/ $GRAB has unlocked tremendous consumer value in ride-hail, but their decade-long slog in the most difficult sector in consumer interment has them squeezing out just 6 dimes of revenue out of each ride (optimistically less than 2 dimes of mature profit).
3/ So how do you navigate turning an objectively terrible business characterized by fickle customers and razor thin margins into sustainable earnings power?
You have to parlay your competitive position in one of your businesses in hopes of achieving meaningful profits in another