Thread by @kamilkazani

Yes, ofc. Many Western policy makers would like Russia to turn on China. In reality it's more likely to turn against its own Muslims:

1. @navalny and the bulk of "liberals" view Muslims as a problem
2. In the modern world Muslims are the most acceptable target for violence

https://twitter.com/_fluoW/status/1543989238043115521

Muslims here should be read as "ethnic" rather than practicing Muslims. It's not so much about whether you go to mosque or not, but whether you identify with a historically Islamic/Islamicate ethnicity or culture. That's what makes you a problem in their eyes

Let me get this straight, @navalny team consider other minorities as inferiors, too. Like Buryats, for example. Still, I don't think they're gonna actively target them. They don't really hate Buryats or Yakuts. With Muslims it's completely different

In case of "liberals" taking power, new Chechen war is nearly guaranteed. Kadyrov is widely hated in Chechnya. That's why he never sleeps outside of his palaces. That's also why Chechen road policemen are notified of his cortege coming like 4-5 minutes in advance. He has enemies

Much of this hate takes forms that could be considered racist. Like about the intellectual inferiority of his teip (clan) or about his family secretly having Russian roots. That's very typical. When Chechens quarrel with other Chechens they accuse them of having Russian ancestry

Many Chechens talk about the overthrowal of Kadyrov and destruction of Hosi-Yurt (nobody really buys its new name). But I never ever met anyone who would view @navalny or his movement even neutrally. They are hated and feared, seen as a huge threat. For an obvious reason

In case of Putin losing his power, Kadyrov is almost certainly doomed. Lord, Patriot, Delimkhanov and tons of Kadyrov's supporters, too. Kadyrov's henchmen are basically required to kill their kinsmen as a proof of loyalty. And killing your kin is really frowned upon in Chechnya

But. With many Chechens dreaming about the destruction of Kadyrov, I saw zero enthusiasm for the @navalny movement. Because he is not seen as Kadyrov-hater. He is considered as Muslim & Caucasians hater. He doesn't talk much on that later, but his team does. The end