I find emotional reaction to the last🧵 interesting. Hundreds of people try to outscream each other about how impossible would be for a father to kill his child or even consent to such a murder
Well, criminal statistics says otherwise. It's very common. So why are you screaming?
Emotional denial "It's impossible!" of something that is not only possible, but indeed very common suggests that:
1. You are defending. And you are not defending Dugin. You are defending the positive image of *yourself* 2. You know perfectly well there is a reason to defend
If the outraged audience did *really* think that the described scenario is ridiculous, they would just pass by. Your aggressive reaction suggests you do not find it ridiculous after all. You find it very plausible. And that's exactly why you are screaming
Let's make a thought experiment. If I said something truly ridiculous, like:
"Lukashenko killed Darya to destabilise Russia and eliminate a competitor on the potassium market"
Nobody would scream in anger. They'd walk away. Because they'd *genuinely* think that's implausible
But when I say something like:
"Dad was most probably informed they're gonna kill his daughter. I wouldn't be surprised if he proposed it himself"
You scream in outrage. Because you do not find that ridiculous at all. You find it believable. Hence, your outrage and denial
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Regarding Darya Dugina. Many are calling her a "child". But she wasn't. She was a 30 years war old propagandist calling for "tougher", "less forgiving" mode of war. Publicly she acted as an aspiring Julius Streicher, trying to surpass her dad. Privately she mocked all this agenda
Let me show you some more innocent children to cry about later. This 62 year old child is Russian war propagandist Sergey Mardan
Scientific rationality is overrated, evolutionary rationality is underrated. If such behaviour is common, it suggests it is evolutionary stable = rational
Tribe needs mythology to unite it. And mythology must be dumbed down for the entire tribe to get it, otherwise it won't work
It is absolutely rational to believe in some dumbed down crap. Reality is incomprehensible in all of its complexity anyway. And when you start adding 1st nuance, 2nd nuance, 3rd nuance, it can't unite the tribe anymore. Working tribal mythologies are very dumb. Hence, rational
That's a common mechanism of social changes. When a party is small, its myth is nuanced, complicated. But once it expands, it *must* dumb it down to unite everyone. As a result, the old core (inner party) has a nuanced myth and the newcomers (outer party) have dumbed down version
"There is destructive energy in the air this month and it will manifest someway. So I must take preemptive action and trigger a crisis *of my choice*. All the bad energy gonna flow there and voila, it's all gone"
That's very easy to understand. In some countries they trigger forest fires for this very reason. There's lots of dry wood in the forest, so we create a controllable fire artificially. Otherwise, we'd have to wait for the uncontrollable one, which is more dangerous
In other places they provoke the avalanches with special cannons for this very reason. There's *objectively* lots of snow on the mountains, so if we just let it lie there, it will go down in an uncontrollable avalanche. Creating a controllable one artificially is way better
Most analysts would dismiss a hypothesis that numerology plays a big role in Russian scheduling of key events (invasion, important political assassination, etc)
While it is almost certainly true.
Russia is run by state security. Who are not "rational"
Let me get it straight. There are plenty of absolutely "rational" (Western-style) people in Russian bureaucracy. They're smart, they're following the recent Western intellectual fashion, mimic the language, the conceptual framework
But they're not rulers. They're servants
Russia has high ranked officials who would easily communicate with people on the US campuses and fit in well. *These people do not make decisions*. They follow orders, that's it. When hearing an order they consider dumb/counterproductive/dangerous, they just bow and execute it
For high quality investigative journalism from Russia I strongly recommend following the Агентство (Agentstvo) media. They're not super big or super famous, and that's good. World famous media do not feel evolutionary pressure to do their homework. These guys do, and do it well
Their first material - on Shoygu was the work of art. Strongly recommended
This one may be even more interesting. On the Putin's mortality. What do we know of his health, of which doctors visit him and how often, which procedures he is taking (including baths from deer antlers), what and how is reported in media
Some are asking, why should even care about Darya Dugina's assassination? Because:
1. It is almost certainly the FSB false flag operation 2. Most likely, it will be used as a pretext for strikes that had been already pre-scheduled for the Ukrainian Independence Day this Thursday
Once again. Strikes later this week are highly likely, they have must been prescheduled long ago. Most probably, on Thursday-Friday. It's quite probable that Putin wants to scale up and sacrificed Dugina to needs justify future strikes as counter-terrorist action or sth like that
Assuming this is true, why was Dugina chosen as a sacrificial lamb? Presidential plenipotentiary Schegolev's speech on her funerals gives some idea:
1. Alexander (and Darya) Dugina were nobody in the Russian system of power 2. But the West believed they were somebody