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Sep 23 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
More donation links. Mortar men of the Ukrainian 58th brigade collect money for Ford vehicles

Bank: JSC UNIVERSAL BANK
City: KYIV, UKRAINE
Swift: UNJSUAUKXXX
IBAN: UA403220010000026204329575932
Account: 26204329575932
Receiver: PARFONOV HLIB
PayPal gleb.parfenov95@gmail.com
(Continuation - Ford vehicles for the mortar men, but in crypto)

BTC bc1qsksu2x0lnqs09yv3qtsdlxgxjsmqecdqrmjhvy
ETH 0x08447D07152d7E2d566ecD7462dC862262850636
These guys are collecting money for the deported Ukrainians in a certain Russian city (I don't name it, but I know them). They're buying clothes, medicine and helping them to leave to third countries (Europe mostly)

Сбер: 2202201880672395
PayPal: displacedukrainians@gmail.com
As I said, mobilisation is asymmetric. It's partial for big Russian cities, but total for the low-status and low-income rural minorities. This group is collecting money for the Oirat Kalmyks relocating from Kalmykia to Kazakhstan to escape mobilisation paypal.com/paypalme/asian…
That's for relocation of Astrakhan Kazakhs to Kazakstan. As the lowest status ethnic group in the region, Kazakhs would probably be mobilised disproportionately

PayPal: todarpruss@gmail.com

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More from @kamilkazani

Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 24
With everything. Police, National Guard, FSO, FSB. Everything centralised & obedient to Moscow. This year they disbanded the last governors' bodyguard services and put National Guard. Like, even few dozens armed guys responsible directly to the governor is too much. Must be zero
Russia has few millions Siloviki: an internal army which is *far* larger than the normal army and is focused on keeping control. It's all responsible to the Kremlin. Its true size is difficult to estimate, partially because it also consists from the "private military companies"..
... that have no legal status in Russia. We talk of "private military companies" such as Wagner, Redut, etc. but this category just does not exist in the Russian law. Some of them just don't exist in a legal sense. Other have a status of "Private security company" on paper
Read 6 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 22
I disagree. I think this is not about "fascist rivals" (he deeply despises the public politics) but about the need to restore control over the ruling clique. Show them all he is still in charge, that he still commands obedience. Otherwise, why do his own henchmen need him?
I would also hypothesise that mobilisation may result from Putin's isolation in Samarkand. Why is Putin even special from the rest? In the past, he had special relations with the Western leaders. "Tony Blair talks with me"-style representation was a major factor of legitimisation
Then he lost it, but at least he had special relations with the leaders of great Asian powers. That's something. But Samarkand may have shown that he doesn't have it anymore. Even leaders of smaller Central Asian countries openly disrespect him. That's almost complete isolation
Read 5 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 22
Sabotage and assault reconnaissance group "Rusich" posted on their Telegram channel an instruction for "recycling the Ukrainian POWs". I translated it in full as it is quite informative Image
That is Milchakov, commander of "Rusich" group
That's how he first got publicity in 2011 btw. Future commander of Rusich and then afootball fan Milchakov recorded killing and eating a puppy and uploaded it all in the internet Image
Read 8 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 20
Regarding mobilisation, Putin can declare it, indeed. But it will be a risky decision. The USSR maintained a massive infrastructure for the total mobilisation which has been mostly dismantled in post-Soviet Russia. Mobilisation is more likely to trigger political chaos

short🧵
Imagine, the government declared a total mobilisation and millions of young males are drafted into the army. What next? Now you need to:

1) test & allocate them (who goes where)
2) train & arm them
3) quarter & feed them
4) place them under the capable officers and NCOs
In order to execute 1-4 in case of the war, you need to maintain massive *excessive* capacities in the peace time. And the Soviet Union, did. One reason why Soviet army was so horribly excessive is that it maintained enormous excessive capacities just in case of mobilisation
Read 32 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 19
Under Putin Russian social structure has been turning more and more rigid. It is recruiting too few ambitious upstarts, mostly in its economic agencies. Putin increasing and increasing retirement age for high officials means that option of "joining the table" doesn't really exist
That is why a significant number of the ambitious endorsed the war with Ukraine wholeheartedly. They hoped that artificial crisis will create the window of opportunities. Imagine if much of the current elite is purged for corruption/lack of patriotism? So many new vacancies
There is a nice study (unpublished) on the diverging regional strategies regarding mobilisation. Some governors are mobilising for the war unironically. Others are bullshiting and faking it. And there's clear correlation between the age and the BS/non-BS approach to mobilisation
Read 7 tweets
Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Sep 17
I'm looking for an editor. I need to polish a 25 000 words long study on a certain military industrial complex. So, I am looking for a:

- Native English speaker
- Preferably with media/academia/other relevant experience
- Preferably familiar with defence/tech/manufacturing
In the beginning I will give you a general introduction in what it is all about. Most probably, in the course of work we'll have to organise further one-two calls with my team. Compensation is negotiable. Please DM me, if interested
PS I think I could offer around 1500-2000 usd for a well-qualified candidate with relevant experience and competences. If you've heard about AutoCAD or SolidWorks for example that certainly gonna be a plus point
Read 4 tweets

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