And that’s why you shouldn’t trust the reputable sources blindly. Many of them tend to distort facts when it suits their political agenda. The very systematic whitewashing of @Navalny by the media establishment is a good example
Consider a “good and balanced” account of @navalny politics quoted by Grozev. This is Masha Gessen’s article in the New Yorker. Notice how this reputable journalist is describing one of Navalny’s debut video clips:
“One was a forty second argument about gun rights”
Seriously?
Watch it yourself and make your own judgment on whether the “forty seconds argument on gin rights” description fits well to this video. You can make your own conclusions on the impartiality and trustworthiness of the quoted article
The established media do have a problem. We see them as an impartial “objective” institution, playing a fact-checker role. In reality though they often engage in political entrepreneurship, investing their capital (credibility) in hope of political returns
Supposedly impartial institutions that ought to provide society with verified facts may not be as impartial as we presume. They may be actively taking sides and actively distorting facts in favor of a side they have chosen
The reputable media allowed @navalny to get away with the most blatant, easily verifiably lies. See this interview with @albats. He denies "comparing immigrants with cockroaches", dismissing the (factually correct) criticism as Putinist propaganda
He's never been called out
Do not trust the reputable media too blindly. They may not be always as objective as they claim to be. They too often act as the political entrepreneurs, taking sides, making reputational investments and expecting political returns. They may not be as impartial as we presume
Established facts are not necessarily established by the objective, impartial observers unaffected by the earthly interests and tribal biases. They may be often established by the players who have already made their stakes in a game. These stakes may be guiding their judgement
This may be true for the personal reputations as well. Some are being studied under a microscope. Others are given a blank check by the established media who simply refuse to call them out. Fortunately, now one can call them out directly, bypassing the institutional censorship
I'm going to publish a 🧵 on @navalny and the Russian "liberal opposition" on the first week of January
Happy New Year
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Writing boringly is a powerful skill that moves you up many, many professional hierarchies. Life is unfair though. Some were blessed with a natural gift for writing unreadably, others should learn it
The first concept we need is the level of abstraction🧵
Three principles of boring writing:
1. Stay on the same level of abstraction 2. Stay on the same level of abstraction 3. Do not give reader any explicit or implicit hints he could use to get to another level of abstraction on his own. Lock him on his level and throw away the key
Imagine you are describing empirical evidence. Give one example, two examples, three examples, give as many as you can. But never include any hint or clue on how these examples may reflect more general and (God forbid!) nontrivial patterns. Lock the reader and throw away the key
Every theory has its limits of applicability. "Kremlin guys are crooks" theory, too. This narrative is so successful, because it appeals to the meanest humans instincts, in particular - to the envy. Envious people tend to overuse this idea far, far beyond any reasonable limits
Like, ok, I understand that you're poor, constantly stressed about money and necessity to pay the bills. I also understand that you're envious about yachts and villas. That doesn't mean that "they're crooks" theory is all explaining. If they were, this war just wouldn't start
"They're just crooks" narrative is not successful, because it is so true. It is so successful, because people are obsessed with their unreflected envy and cannot distance from it. If this war is going on, it means they're not *just* crooks. They're something else, too
It is also convenient to talk about personal guilt, it just won’t get you anywhere. I know many Ukrainians will hate to hear this, but I don’t think this war will end with any sort of moral catharsis at all. Meanwhile much of Ukrainian discourse seems to be catharsis-oriented
Consider the “reparations”. This idea is not completely unrealistic. Ukraine may have a chance to use some of the Russian gov/oligarch assets abroad for post-war reconstruction. Should Russia collapse, Ukrainians may also have a chance to enter Russia and take what they want
But that’s not what is being proposed (for the most part). For the most part ppl seem to imagine reparations as Russia paying trillions bazillions dollars *over a long period* to pay for the harm it inflicted. I think this plan is madness and potentially suicidal madness
I very much liked your question because it shows a very widespread fallacy. Take “commonsensical” assumptions and deduce conclusions out of them. Meanwhile, much better of commonsensical wisdom is just propaganda that doesn’t stand the test of reality
Assume that much of what you consider to be “facts” is false, and often completely false
@elonmusk, as a Twitter user I see this as a highly arbitrary decision. You may say: you don't care how I see it. Fair enough. Unfortunately, arbitrary rule affects everyone's personal strategies. If you are subject to it, you can't realistically plan anything long-term
From a user's perspective, planning anything in the long term requires predictable rules. If the rules are unpredictable, long term thinking is just stupid. You either:
- Reduce your planning horizon here
or
- Transfer to more predictable jurisdictions
Some may combine both
I was always sceptical about the prospect of you "destroying Twitter", assuming that you won't destroy it in a technical sense -> most of the community will stay. But now I see a very real possibility of people living *preventively* because of the atmosphere of unpredictability
Georgi Derluguian once told a story. He studied at the Institute of Asian and African Countries in Moscow. For obvious reasons his classmates with "historian-orientalist" degrees are very-well represented in Russian elites. Many years later he met a Very Rich Classmate and asked
- Your palace is *really* nice. But how did you get so rich? Where is all of this money coming from?
- Das Kapital, Volume 1, Chapter 26. Just look up, everything is written down there. Let's remain friends
I find this anecdote very telling
Having studied in Soviet unis, emerging Russian elites were well-aware of Marx's criticism of capitalism. In fact, their understanding of capitalism was shaped by Marx's criticism. They could not think of the capitalism otherwise than in (somewhat reductionist) Marxist terms