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Nov 13
🧵1/2 - Who Could Come to Power in Ukraine if Zelensky Loses His Position: Possible Forces and Scenarios

The crisis triggered by the scandal surrounding one of Zelensky’s closest allies, Timur Mindich, has predictably undermined the Ukrainian president’s position.
The “Mindich case” has become part of a broad situational coalition against the president, comprising the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) and the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO), institutions previously aligned with the U.S. Democratic Party, major opposition figures, and select representatives of the former oligarchic elite — from Poroshenko to the disgruntled Kolomoysky, who feels betrayed by Zelensky.

What is the strategy of the “anti-Zelensky coalition”?
The scenario unfolds in two phases:
1) Strip Zelensky of real power, reducing him to a ceremonial figure akin to the British monarch—deprived of control over the government, parliament, and security structures.
2) Force his resignation if he refuses to accept the role of a nominal head of state.

So far, Zelensky has not demonstrated resistance, and within political circles, there is a growing sense that the countdown to his loss of power has already begun. However, this impression may be premature: Zelensky still retains control over security structures and the vertical of power, and has repeatedly demonstrated skill in political repositioning. The true signal of crisis would be the collapse of his parliamentary majority or a vote of no confidence in the government.

Nevertheless, Zelensky’s situation remains perilous, and the possibility of his departure cannot be ruled out.

External Factor: Trump or Biden’s Inertia?
The widely circulated notion that Donald Trump is behind the campaign against Zelensky does not reflect reality.
• The anti-corruption initiative under which investigations are being conducted was launched by the Biden administration in 2023; since Trump’s victory, it has simply continued moving on inertia.
• Trump clearly has no interest in preserving the “democratic clientelist” infrastructure—NABU, SAPO, and the grant-funded sector.
• Following Zelensky’s summer attempt to curtail the powers of anti-corruption agencies, Washington did not intervene. However, Europe reacted sharply, effectively becoming the new “backstop” for these institutions.

The attacks on Zelensky are neither Trump’s game nor a process he actively opposes.

Who Could Seize Power?
If Zelensky loses power, three major forces emerge as potential successors:

A. The “Soros Party”
Structures previously aligned with the U.S. Democratic Party, now pivoting toward Europe.
Their goals:
• Take control of Ukraine’s economy, security structures, and judicial mechanisms.
• Believe the country should be governed not by factions like Zelensky’s or business clans, but by globalist networks and transnational capital.

Resources:
• Backing from Europe—the primary donor to Ukraine.
• Control over NABU and SAPO, as well as the selection procedures for international experts who influence judicial and security appointments.
• A large media pool (the Tomas Fiala holding, grant-funded media).
• A “ready-made candidate”: Valerii Zaluzhnyi, whom this milieu is actively promoting—but his true level of loyalty to them remains an open question.

The strength of the “Soros Party” lies in its organizational cohesion and external backing.

B. Ukraine’s Traditional Elite
Large business interests, political clans, regional power groups, security officials, the judiciary, and segments of criminal structures—the very forces that governed Ukraine from the late 1990s until 2022.

After the war’s outbreak, this elite faced intense pressure from Zelensky: oligarchic influence was curtailed, and some were placed under sanctions or imprisoned.

Their attitude toward Zelensky is negative—but their attitude toward the “Soros Party” is even worse: the globalist governance model envisions the complete elimination of this elite from power.

Resources:
• Control over a significant portion of the current composition of the Verkhovna Rada (the “Soros Party” holds only a limited number of votes there).
• Deep-rooted influence over security structures, courts, and major media outlets.

Weakness: Lack of unity and a coordinated strategy; traditional elites continue to fight among themselves.Image
🧵2/2

C. The Military
Not politicized figures like Zaluzhnyi, but the active military high command.

Currently, the Presidential Office actively prevents the politicization of the armed forces, monitors disloyalty, and fragments command structures.

But if Zelensky departs and a power vacuum emerges, a logic may arise: “The state holds together because of us—why should we submit to politicians?”

Within the military, there is no consensus on the form of governance (dictatorship or a façade of democracy) or on the question of peace versus war.

How would Ukraine’s policy on the war change?
Much of the subsequent policy will be dictated by objective conditions:
• The situation on the frontlines;
• The level of European support;
• The stance of the United States;
• Ukraine’s internal stability.

If we consider the “inertial” scenario—war of attrition, reliance on Europe—the following positions emerge:

Position of the “Soros Party”
Closely aligned with Zelensky’s current policy:
• Armistice only along the current front line, or continuation of the war until victory;
• Demands for ironclad security guarantees;
• Hardline anti-Russian stance.

Within Ukraine, this could entail:
• Strict mobilization policies;
• Increased repression against draft evaders;
• Accelerated marginalization of the Russian language;
• Pressure on the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (UOC).

Position of the Traditional Elite
More inclined toward compromise with Russia and ideas akin to “Arestovich’s doctrine”:
• Abandonment of an aggressively anti-Russian posture;
• Neutrality;
• Concessions on Donbas and language policy.

Among segments of the elite, there is a widespread belief that post-Zelensky peace conditions could be more favorable than those currently on offer.

However, a key question remains: Is the Kremlin prepared for such arrangements—or, like the “Soros Party,” does it aim to completely eliminate Ukraine’s current elite?

Position of the Military
The most unpredictable scenario:
• Some may demand war until the restoration of Ukraine’s 1991 borders;
• Others may accept a freeze along the current front line;
• A portion may even entertain broader compromises with Russia.

It is also unclear whether the military could maintain control—or whether the country would descend into chaos.

Possible Scenarios Following Zelensky’s Departure
1) Victory of one of the three forces, followed by suppression of competitors.
2) Prolonged internal conflict and destabilization—potentially escalating to “Makhnovshchina”-style fragmentation and loss of centralized control.
3) A coalition model, in which different groups divide spheres of influence—effectively returning Ukraine to its pre-Zelensky era.Image
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Read 3 tweets
Nov 13
CoreWeave’s Warning: When AI Demand Meets Infrastructure Reality
The AI boom of 2025 reshaped markets. But the next phase won’t be about capital—it’s about concrete.
We’ve entered a supply-constrained revolution.
🧵👇
1/ Today I published a paper for 22V on CRWV and why for me this was an important inflection point in the AI trade. Image
2/ For three years, the trade was simple: bet on AI demand and capex.
Now, that demand is colliding with physical limits.
CoreWeave’s update showed the constraint has moved from capital to execution.
They cut 2025 capex by 40%, not for lack of demand, but because data-center builders missed deadlines.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 13
1/2 One of the big problems for the always-punching-left Democratic consultants is that they are waging ideological battles in public that actually *reinforce* the left-wing image of the party they are trying to fight. That is a risk they have decided
substack.com/@lakshyajain/n…Image
to take, and a product of people in the media getting involved in these fights.
Back when the Dems competed everywhere, the party kept much of the fight from spilling over into a daily public drumbeat of "the party has moved too far left." Naive to think that doesn't have impacts
.@lxeagle17 just ask yourself, is the circular firing squad helping or hurting my cause? very rarely is it helping
Read 3 tweets
Nov 13
1/
"For them, this is the best finale": in Donetsk region, Azov fighters captured two dozen occupiers. Video
war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/dlya-nih-t…Image
2/
The Azov

fighters have once again replenished the exchange fund.

This time they captured 21 Russian occupiers in the Dobropol and Konstantinov directions . As the military noted, some of them surrendered voluntarily, while others had to be forced to lay down their arms.obozrevatel.com/ukr/entity/azo…
3/
This was reported by the press service of the 1st Corps of the Azov Naval University.
t.me/azov_media/7561

The military also showed a corresponding video

"The video shows 21 Russians captured by the fighters of the Defense Forces of Ukraine in the defense zone of the brigades of the 1st Corps of the Azov National Guard in the Dobropol and Konstantinov directions," the report says.

Some of the occupiers realized that there was no point in resisting and surrendered. Others had to be persuaded with weapons.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 13
Anarchist militants have waged terror campaigns in the United States and Europe, conspiring to undermine the foundations of Western Civilization through their brutal attacks.

The State Department will designate these four Antifa groups as Foreign Terror Organizations:
Antifa Ost is a terrorist organization based in Germany that is infamous for wielding hammers in premeditated attacks against unsuspecting victims.

This Antifa group was named a terrorist organization by Hungary after it attacked nine victims in Budapest. Image
The International Revolutionary Front is an Italy-based coalition of violent anarchists.

The group claimed responsibility for the shooting of an engineering executive in Genoa and sent a series of bombs to politicians, embassies, and civilian targets, injuring several people.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 13
Everyone flexes steps, calories, and heart rate.

But the ONE metric that actually predicts stress resilience and recovery?

Almost nobody tracks it.

Here’s how to use HRV to turn your body into a recovery machine: 🧵 Image
Everyone tracks heart rate.

No one tracks the number that actually matters.

Heart Rate Variability (HRV) is the real king of health metrics, yet 98% of people get it wrong.
Unlike heart rate, which counts beats per minute, HRV measures the length of time between beats.

A healthy heart doesn't constantly beat the same:
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13
THREAD🧵: Key Revelations from the Newly Released Epstein Emails Yesterday: (Dems are going to hate this)

The release of over 20,000 pages of documents from Jeffrey Epstein's estate by the House Oversight Committee on November 12, 2025, has shed new light on Epstein's private views and relationships, particularly with Donald Trump. While Democrats highlighted select emails suggesting Trump's awareness of Epstein's activities, Republicans countered by releasing the full trove, which paints a more clear—and often hostile—picture of Epstein's sentiments toward Trump.
1. Epstein's Clear hatred Toward Trump:
- Epstein repeatedly expressed disdain for Trump in private correspondence, dating back to 2011 and continuing through 2019. In one email to author Michael Wolff, Epstein mocked Trump's character, writing that he "didn’t have one decent cell in his body."
2. No Evidence of a Close Friendship:
- The emails confirm that Epstein and Trump were not friends by the mid-2010s, following a well-documented falling out. Epstein noted Trump's decision to ban him from Mar-a-Lago around 2007 after Epstein allegedly pursued underage staff there—a detail Trump himself has cited publicly.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 13
1/5
Good Setser piece on rising global imbalances. Thanks in part to his work, central bankers and mainstream economists are slowly beginning to acknowledge that rising global imbalances can be a problem for the global economy.

Eventually they all will.
@Brad_Setser
cfr.org/blog/chinas-ma…
2/5
Most mainstream economists know that every country's internal imbalances are always perfectly consistent with its external imbalances, just as its external imbalances are always perfectly consistent with the external imbalances of its trade partners.
3/5
But they are rarely able to understand the implications. When each country's external economy is linked through nearly-frictionless trade and capital flows, each country's domestic economy is also linked through the same mechanism. A country with deep internal imbalances...
Read 5 tweets
Nov 13
Alright so it turns out the recent 'Hitler had Kallmann Syndrome 'genetic study' is very easily debunked as almost certain scientific fraud.

So let's do a thread to explain why.
1) The 'bit of cloth from the sofa that Hitler killed himself on' being acquired by a US soldier - remember the Red Army took Berlin and SMERSH/NVKD went through the bunker with a fine tooth comb for Hitler material - is already dubious which Channel 4 knew was a big problem
2) So Channel 4 contacted Jean-Paul Mulders - the originator of 'Hitler was genetically jewish' claim for his sample of alleged Hitler DNA from the Patrick Hitler line which he provided to them.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13
Want to build muscle and get strong but don't know where to start? READ THIS 👉

I'm going to break down what you need to focus on so you don't waste your time on stuff that doesn't matter

To build muscle & get strong you must force it to adapt

✅ You must force adaptation → via progressive overload

✅ But Progressive “Overload” isn’t always just adding weight. (PMID: 36199287)
There is more than one way to progressively overload and force adaptation:

✅ Add weight or do more reps with the same weight

❌ But you can’t add weight/reps forever.

✅ You can however, Increase the number of hard sets (quality volume) for progressive overload

✅ Volume (hard sets) becomes the lever. (PMID: 35873210)
What counts as a hard set?

✅ A set taken within a few reps of volitional failure (when you couldn’t complete another rep with good form without assistance)

Higher proximity to failure tends to support hypertrophy. (PMID 30747900)

❌ Going to absolute failure every time is not required, you just need to get close (within a few reps) & training to failure can be very fatiguing
Read 11 tweets
Nov 13
Trump needs better enemies, a 🧵about why the Democrats smoking 🔫 is really just smoke, and all the Epstein stuff is an internet illusion. I have been through the Epstein files, I built a tool to browse them by keyword, and they're a nothing 🍔, with a side of 🐂💩.
The first thing to know about Epstein is that he couldn't actually have sex except on rare occasions. So the best he could do is the Louis CK thing, I'll masterbate while you 👀. Aka, he was a cuck. Even cucks know that no one respects a cuck, so he kept that quiet. Nowadays, he'd just have a large OnlyF*ns bill.
So the timeline doesn't add up. Yes, he was a fancy person, who had fancy friends, and like other fancy people who pay to keep a private jet around, he would loan it out to people, just like us non-fancy people might loan a car out. But once people found out he was a cuck, they cut him off.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 13
Another "conspiracy theory" becomes factoid.

The current "news cycle" seems to be crafted by CATEGORICALLY validating every "conspiracy theory" from the last 65 years...one by one

the cartels were always just someone's "geopolitical chess piece". Image
Image
for another example of the same pattern SEE ALSO:
and:

-END MINI THREAD- infogrenades.com/posts/c31d5d5a…Image
Read 3 tweets

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