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May 23
A campaign longer than Vietnam. A toast with raw milk from the Amish cartel. A two-page bill that took down the CEO of the World Economic Forum.

Thomas Massie's concession speech wasn't a goodbye.

It was a filing of the record.

Here's what @RepThomasMassie put into evidence.
🧵👇Image
First — who is Thomas Massie and why did it cost $35 million to remove him?

14 years in Congress. MIT engineer. Builds his own house off the grid in rural Kentucky.

Zero ethics complaints. Zero foreign aid votes. Never once voted for a blank check.

He was the one who said no when everyone else said yes.

That made him the most dangerous man in a very comfortable room.

"Why Rep. Thomas Massie prefers living off the grid" youtube.com/watch?v=0pssNC…Image
His first words on election night — after losing the most expensive congressional primary in 250 years of American history:

"I would have come out sooner — but I had to find Ed Gallrein. In Tel Aviv."

No self-pity. No tears. No gracious platitudes.
Just a man who knew exactly where his opponent was.

And exactly what that meant.
Read 10 tweets
May 23
My statin thread reached over 460,000 people. Thousands of you asked the same question.

"If cholesterol does not cause heart disease, then what does?"

The answer has been published for years. In the largest risk factor study ever conducted. 27,939 women. 21 years. Published in JAMA Cardiology.

Here is what they found. And here is why nobody told you.

🧵Image
The pharmaceutical industry spent billions of dollars trying to prove that lowering cholesterol saves lives.

60 clinical trials. 323,950 patients. Statins. PCSK9 inhibitors. Ezetimibe. Every drug class. Every dose.

Look at the chart. The x-axis is how much they lowered LDL. Some trials dropped it by 20%. Some by 60%. Some by 80%.

The y-axis is mortality benefit. How many lives were saved.

Every single dot is clustered around zero. Some are below zero. Below zero means more people died.

They reduced LDL by up to 80%. Nobody was saved.Image
So how do you take those results and turn them into the best-selling drug class in the history of medicine?

You change the language.

Instead of saying "1 in 200 people benefit," you say "36% risk reduction." Same data. Different framing. One sounds useless. The other sounds like a miracle.

The absolute risk reduction is 1.1%. For every 200 people who take a statin, 1 avoids a heart attack. 199 get no benefit.

Abramson and Wright. BMJ. 2007. 83,000 patients.

With those results you would think this drug would disappear. Instead it became a $200 billion industry. 250 million prescriptions worldwide.

That is not science. That is the greatest marketing campaign in pharmaceutical history. And 250 million people fell for it.Image
Read 14 tweets
May 23
The repossession of City of London by the Monarch happened when League of Augsburg William of Orange took over in the interim between the Stuart line's end and the HRE Hanoverian-Wittelsbach-Stuart line began.
They'll say Charles II did it- he made it dormant.
Interesting, no? Image
The founding of the German-modeled Central bank, Bank of England in 1694, was a direct consequence of the 1690 restoration of the City of London’s freedoms, and it fundamentally altered global finance... Image
Image
When the City of London Corporation regained its independent charter, its wealthy merchant elite suddenly had the legal protection and political security to strike an unprecedented deal with the Crown.
Prior, the Corporation was dissolved and lost all its power. Funny that. Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
May 23
1/ Some things I've learned recently running coding agents on large-scale projects. Most of this contradicts advice from 6 months ago!
2/ Think bigger. This is the most common mistake I see: tasks scoped too small. At this point you want to be aiming for work that would take a good engineer multiple weeks.
3/ Try using one long-running implementer session for the entire project. Mine routinely run for days or even weeks continuously, compacting many, many times. Compaction works now. Long sessions remember your conventions and patterns and you stop needing to re-explain things.
Read 9 tweets
May 23
Last week I reported that Carlos Espina was paid $100K by Tom Steyer through his LLC and wasn't disclosing the payment in social media posts.

Yesterday, hours before Steyer was set to release his May expenditures, Espina posted on Substack that Steyer was paying him $400,000. Image
Sure enough, the new disclosures from Steyer show another $200K being budged to pay Espina, via his LLC, in May. Presumably another $100K will come in the June report. Image
Steyer's disclosure is packed with $ to influencers who haven't disclosed that they were paid.

Some, like Espina, claim they don't have to because they're being paid as consultants. But does Steyer want a consultant or the 14.5M TikTok followers?

Read 4 tweets
May 23
#jiangcheng #jinling

jin ling was one today.

he'd figured out how to pull himself up on the coffee table two months ago and had not sat still since. jiang cheng had spent the first week following him around the apartment with his arms out, which jin ling found extremely funny.
everything jiang cheng did, jin ling found extremely funny. jiang cheng had not yet decided how he felt about this.

this morning jin ling had woken up at six, pulled himself up on the crib rail, and yelled until jiang cheng came to get him. jiang cheng had gotten him, changed
him, brought him to the couch while it was still dark out.

jin ling had grabbed jiang cheng's thumb in both hands and examined it with great seriousness, like it was new, like he hadn't done this exact thing a hundred times before. then he looked up and said, very clearly, "ah."
Read 27 tweets
May 22
In 1936, John Maynard Keynes published The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. It became the most influential economics book of the 20th century.

The only man intellectually equipped to refute it decided not to respond.

He spent the rest of his life regretting that decision. 🧵Image
The man was Friedrich Hayek.

Five years earlier, in 1931, Lionel Robbins had brought him to the London School of Economics specifically to provide a serious intellectual counterweight to Cambridge.

He had then spent more than a year writing a line-by-line dissection of Keynes's previous book, A Treatise on Money, published in two parts in Economica in 1931 and 1932. In that moment, he was the most credible critic Keynes had in the English-speaking world.Image
Hayek and Keynes were also friends.

They corresponded warmly through the late 1930s and through the war. When the LSE was evacuated to Cambridge during the Blitz, it was Keynes who arranged rooms for Hayek at King's College. In the summer of 1942, the two of them stood fire watch together on the roof of King's College Chapel, scanning the sky for German incendiaries during the Baedeker raids.

They disagreed about almost everything in economics. They worried about each other anyway.Image
Read 11 tweets
May 22
I know it’s not cool these days to think of Day 2 consequences of military action, but let me take you on a journey that could unfold in Cuba where life is difficult and resources are scarce. Cuba is not a threat. Cuba in chaos is. #massmigration 1/
Mass migrations, the historical data shows, more likely occur during political destabilization rather than mere deprivation. Not always but more often. Cubans have been known, if you know history, to seek access to the US by water. 2/
It is a dangerous journey. People will die. I don’t know what resources we have put behind stopping it. A Navy ship isn’t as effective as smaller Coast Guard assets. So look for that in days to come. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 22
It’s quite weird to see how so many humans feel that machines are somehow the solution to everything or something that must be depended upon in it’s entirety or be rejected completely. Machines can never replace humans or carry humanity forward.
Human emotions, Art, Soul and their creativity, the uniqueness in which they try to express their consciousness and feelings, and most of all human connections, how can a machine ever carry something forward that it can never ever experience or create?
Can a machine ever become a substitute for a wife, a psychologist or even a friend? It may mimic them but can it ever become them? Can it ever carry the same depth and meaning these roles and relationships carry? No, it can not even substitute for these and yet
Read 12 tweets
May 22
The iconic 'shark's tooth' peaks of Moorea like Mou'aroa (L below) and Mou'aputa (R below) are basaltic remnants of the caldera of the ancient shield volcano that formed the island. Image
Image
When the northern part of the island including the caldera's crater rim collapsed about 1.6M years ago, the caldera was flooded with 2 beautiful bays, and the vistas got even better. Sail-ins to Opunohu Bay (L) and Cook's Bay (R) are as beautiful as any in the world. Image
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The collapse occurred relatively early in this young island's life, giving the island its distinctive heart-shaped contour. What a beauty. Image
Read 3 tweets
May 22
Bolton: Ukrainian strikes inside Russia undercut Kremlin propaganda.

They show ordinary Russians the war is not going well — not only by causing real military damage, but by making the reality of the war visible on Russian territory. 1/
Bolton: Russia expected significant territorial gains this spring, and that has not happened.

If anything, Russia has lost territory in Ukraine. By August or September, Putin may need another plan because the current strategy is not working. 2/
Bolton: Putin would like to keep U.S. attention focused on Iran or China because that buys him more time to decide what to do next in Ukraine.

Moscow may think Trump is so diverted by Iran that Ukraine will not catch his attention. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 22
Kasparov: Russians are not angry because Russia committed a crime against Ukraine. They are angry because Putin cannot win.

They do not criticize him for killing Ukrainians — they criticize him for killing too few and too slowly. 1/
Kasparov: Russian history forgives tsars and dictators for war, repression and violence as long as the state looks strong.

But a war that starts and is not won always leads to shocks. Eventually comes the phrase: the tsar is not real. 2/
Kasparov: Putin will not use nuclear weapons without China’s permission — and he will not get it.

Beijing does not want nukes becoming a geopolitical tool, because then Taiwan, Japan and South Korea could go nuclear too. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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