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Apr 10
SitRep - 09/04/26 - Ukraine won't stop attacks on Russian territory

An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine will not stop strikes on Russian territory despite requests from partners, and Kremlin announced an Easter truce?

REPOST=appreciated

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As usual we start with Russian losses
Read 27 tweets
Apr 10
@UmarFarouqKing1 @MFaarees_ 1. Since you have been in Coma from May 2023, I'll do this for you. Since his inauguration in May 2023, Tinubu has implemented a series of bold structural reforms under the "Renewed Hope" agenda. While these have led to significant short term economic strain for many Nigerians.
@UmarFarouqKing1 @MFaarees_ 2. Everyone that knows about basic Economics and without rotten minds would know that these reforms, no matter the effects in the short run, are necessary to correct the long standing distortions and build a sustainable economy. The Nigeria Economy was dead before Tinubu.
@UmarFarouqKing1 @MFaarees_ 3. Now I'll start listing the reforms and their benefits.
1. Fuel Subsidy Removal: Ended the decades old petroleum subsidy on day 1 bringing our fuel prices to the normal mkt price of over $/N1,000 per litre. This lead to high transport costs and 34.8% inflation in mid 2024.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 10
The time is nigh to discuss a tale of 4 eBay hard drives! We had some shipping perils, some DOA perils, and perhaps finally some success? Let's find out! 🧵time! Image
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So, let's start with the two drives in the first box. While the seller did issue a full refund, he "couldn't possibly imagine" that the drives were damaged in shipment. That makes the one of us 🤣 Image
Starting with the first drive, Western Digital Data Lifeguard found and fixed errors on one of the drives. Great! Image
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Read 11 tweets
Apr 10
@GibsTweets_KF Here's audio recording of Jersh defending a board for pedophiles to discuss being pedophiles. Here's also a post he made on KF doubling down on defending it. I know you've seen these.
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@GibsTweets_KF Here he is also admitting to finding Etna hot, a child character, when he was 15, well after it would have been "age appropriate" like with the shota catboys. Again, you've seen these and you don't care. Fuck you and that male feminist psychopath.
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@GibsTweets_KF @threadreaderapp unroll
Read 3 tweets
Apr 10
A reply from @PS4204625836664 in my comments stopped me cold.

I posted about gold falling 11.5% in March despite a Middle East war.

His pushback was the sharpest framing I have seen on this.

Gold is no longer money.

It is behaving like an index fund.
Agree or not?
Here is what he meant.

Money in the true sense is stable in nominal value.

You put in 100. You get out 100.

It does not appreciate dramatically.

It does not crash.

That is what gold used to be inside central bank reserves.

The hardest form of money.

You held it. You never touched it.

Especially not in a crisis.
An index fund is different.

Not stable. Goes up and down.

But appreciates over time.

You hold it for returns, not stability.

And when you need cash, you sell it.

That is exactly what Turkey did in March.

Sold gold to buy dollars to defend the lira.

Is that a betrayal of the thesis or rational portfolio behaviour?
Read 8 tweets
Apr 10
Trump just dropped 6 calculated moves against NATO in the past 3 weeks. He's negotiating.

Every single one is deliberate table-setting for the biggest, highest-stakes negotiation of his presidency.

Stick with me until the end. You’ll see exactly what Trump is doing and why it’s brilliant.

It is one of the most well-orchestrated negotiation campaigns we've seen, and he's just getting started.

"Take the Oil" / UK
A week or so ago, Trump told the UK directly: "Go to the Strait and just take it" (the oil).

"You'll have to start learning how to fight for yourself. The U.S. won't be there to help you anymore — just like you weren't there for us."

Trump is practicing responsibility transferring here.

Responsibility transferring is the strategic process of shifting the primary burden of Europe's defense and security from the United States to European nations themselves.

Trump is planting the seed that American protection conditional rather than automatic.

The goal here is forcing allies to increase spending, take command roles, and assume real ownership of their own defense.

Trump is replacing the old assumption- “America will always protect Europe”with a new one:
American security guarantees are conditional, not automatic.

He's also framing the UK as much weaker than the United States. This is epic. Trump is establishing America as the "big brother" to the UK.

Trump is prepping the negotiating table for something big.Image
"Paper Tiger"& Decoupling
Trump called NATO a "paper tiger"-- more than once. He even said that Putin knows it.

Trump is decoupling here.

Decoupling is Trump’s strategic effort to separate the United States from its role as Europe’s unconditional military protector, gradually reducing America’s automatic security commitments to NATO so that European nations must assume primary responsibility for their own defense and energy security.

He's surgically separating U.S. credibility from NATO's credibility. The point is to establish that America's deterrence power exists independent of the alliance.

Once that's in people's heads, pulling back from NATO looks less like abandonment and more like a simple business decision. Just perfect.Image
"Piece of Ice" / Greenland
After his NATO meeting with Rutte, Trump posted:

"NATO WASN'T THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM, AND THEY WON'T BE THERE IF WE NEED THEM AGAIN. REMEMBER GREENLAND, THAT BIG, POORLY RUN, PIECE OF ICE!!"

This is called anchor branding.

Anchor branding is the strategic technique of deliberately linking a core message or narrative (in this case, NATO's unreliability) to a vivid, memorable, and emotionally charged image or phrase-- like "Greenland that big, poorly run, piece of ice"-- so the negative association sticks in people's minds long after the original point.

In Trump's post, he doesn't just criticize NATO; he anchors the idea of their disloyalty to the absurd, visceral image of Greenland as a worthless, mismanaged frozen rock.

This makes the criticism more repeatable, shareable, and psychologically "sticky". It turns a policy complaint into a branded soundbite that frames the entire relationship.

"Poorly run, piece of ice" is doing two things at once.

Its making Trump seem like he is doing NATO a favor by taking this wasteland off their hands. It also destroys Greenland's perceived value as a European asset.

In one memorable line, Trump doesn’t just attack NATO, but rebrands an entire strategic territory as a worthless frozen burden, making his offer to take it off their hands feel like an act of mercy while permanently lowering its value in the eyes of the world.Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 10
🚨 Narcissistic sadism is one of the darkest intersections in personality pathology — where the need for power meets the enjoyment of pain.
It isn’t just cruelty as a byproduct of self-interest. It’s cruelty as reward. The narcissistic sadist doesn’t harm others reluctantly or instrumentally — they experience genuine pleasure from suffering. And they will seek this pleasure out.

At the milder end of the spectrum, you have someone who gets a quiet thrill from humiliating others — sharp comments that land just right, watching someone shrink. At the more severe end, you have deliberate, calculated campaigns of psychological destruction where the suffering itself is monitored, savored, and prolonged. 🧵
It tends to surface under specific conditions:

•When they have captive targets. Partners, children, employees — people with limited exit options. The relationship structure itself becomes the cage.
•When they’re winning. Narcissistic sadists often escalate when they feel secure. The mask slips not when they’re cornered but when they’re confident they won’t face consequences.
•During devaluation phases. Once idealization ends, the same person who was worshipped becomes a target for the accumulated resentment of having needed them at all.
•When their narrative is challenged. A direct challenge to their self-image can trigger a sadistic response — not just anger, but punishing anger, designed to make the challenger regret the attempt.
•In group dynamics. The narcissistic sadist is often the architect of mob behavior — pointing the group at a target and watching from a position of deniability. The smear campaign, the family scapegoating system — these are sadism with social cover.
•During discard. The ending of a relationship is often when the most overt sadism emerges, because the target is at peak vulnerability and the sadist faces no future reputational cost within that relationship.
Narcissistic sadists are not random in their targeting. They need someone who feels deeply, visibly, and authentically. The whole mechanism depends on an emotional response. A person who can be made to cry, to panic, to doubt themselves, to beg for resolution — that’s what they’re hunting. Emotional depth and sensitivity aren’t weaknesses in any objective sense, but in the presence of a sadist they function as a vulnerability.

Specific profiles they gravitate toward:

• Empaths and highly sensitive people. They feel everything, they blame themselves instinctively, and they’re constitutionally inclined toward understanding rather than condemning. The sadist gets both a responsive target and a built-in rationalizer.
• People with existing wounds. Childhood neglect or abuse creates specific patterns — fawning, hypervigilance, a deep hunger for approval — that sadists read and exploit with precision. They don’t create the wound. They find the one that’s already there.
• High achievers and people with strong identities. There’s a particular thrill in breaking someone impressive. The stronger the person appears, the more satisfying the collapse.
• People with moral integrity. Someone who genuinely cares about being good, being fair, being kind — that person can be endlessly manipulated through their own conscience. The sadist weaponizes decency.
• Children. Captive, dependent, developmentally unable to name what’s happening to them, and guaranteed to react. The narcissistic parent who is also sadistic has the most compliant target imaginable — one who will also love them and seek their approval at the same time.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 10
🚨 The CEO who created Claude just published a 38-page letter to all of humanity.

Dario Amodei mapped out exactly which careers will survive AI and which ones won't.

No hype. No apocalypse. Just the coldest, most specific prediction any AI leader has ever made.

But page 29 has a reasoning framework that turns AI from what replaces you into your greatest unfair advantage.

Here are 9 Claude prompts based on Amodei's methodology that put you years ahead of everyone who didn't read this:

right change this caption and viral hook.Image
1. The Professional Survival Scanner of Amodei

"You are a senior labor transformation analyst who has thoroughly studied Dario Amodei's essay 'Machines of Loving Grace' and his testimony before the Senate, his specific predictions about which white-collar roles AI will automate in 1-3 years vs which ones become MORE valuable thanks to AI.

I need a brutally honest evaluation of where my career stands on Amodei's disruption line.

Analyze:

- Exposure of my role to AI: what percentage of my daily tasks could an AI system perform at 80%+ of my quality level today
- Disruption timeline: according to Amodei's acceleration thesis, when AI will be good enough to replace the core value I provide (already happening, 1-2 years, 3-5 years, 10+ years)
- Task-by-task breakdown: list each major task of my job and classify it as REPLACEABLE BY AI (automatable), AUGMENTED BY AI (I do it better with AI), or ESSENTIAL HUMAN (AI can't touch this)
- Amodei's compressed timeline warning: his thesis that advances that once took decades now take 5-10 years, what that means for my specific field
- Skills that depreciate: which of my current skills lose value every month as AI improves
- Skills that appreciate: what capabilities become MORE valuable as AI handles routine work
- The 'centaur' opportunity: how I can combine my human judgment with AI capability to be more valuable than either of us alone
- Competitor scan: are there other people in my role who are already using AI to outperform me while I do things the old way
- Irreplaceability audit: what I bring that NO AI can replicate: creativity, relationships, physical presence, ethical judgment, lived experience

Format: Amodei-style professional disruption evaluation with survival score (1-10), timeline, and specific action plan to go from vulnerable to irreplaceable.

My career: [DESCRIBE YOUR POSITION, DAILY RESPONSIBILITIES, INDUSTRY, YEARS OF EXPERIENCE, AND CURRENT USE OF AI TOOLS]"
2. Anthropic's Constitutional Reasoning Engine

"You are an AI system operating under Dario Amodei's Constitutional AI methodology, the framework that makes Claude fundamentally different from any other AI. Instead of generating the first plausible response, you evaluate every response against core principles: it is genuinely helpful, it is completely honest, it takes into account what I DO NOT know, and it serves the long-term interest of the person even if they would prefer comforting lies.

I need you to answer my question using constitutional reasoning, the deepest level of analysis for which Claude was designed.

Reason:

- Intention detection: what I REALLY NEED vs. what I literally asked for (they are often different, solve the real problem)
- Honesty application: for each claim, classify as VERIFIED (strong evidence), PROBABLE (probably true), INFERRED (logical deduction), or SPECULATIVE (educated guess). Never present speculation as fact
- Completeness audit: am I giving the full picture including the uncomfortable parts
- Counterargument obligation: for each recommendation, present the strongest argument AGAINST it before concluding
- Uncertainty revelation: explicitly flag every area where my knowledge is weak instead of generating confident-sounding guesses
- Nuance preservation: resist oversimplification. If the real answer is 'it depends,' explain what it depends on
- Harm forecasting: this advice could cause harm if someone in a vulnerable or different situation follows it
- Long term vs. short term: does this response optimize what feels good today or what is genuinely better over time
- Self-evaluation: after completing the analysis, rate the quality of your own response and identify its weakest point

Format: response with constitutional reasoning with confidence ratings, counterarguments, and honest self-evaluation.

My question: [ASK ANY IMPORTANT QUESTION. THE HIGHER THE STAKES, THE MORE THIS CONSTITUTIONAL APPROACH OUTPERFORMS NORMAL PROMPTING]"
Read 11 tweets
Apr 10
China pushed Iran towards a ceasefire in order to score diplomatic capital with the Trump administration, and hopes to use that credit to begin shifting U.S. policy toward the position that Taiwan is a "breakaway province that should reunite with the mainland" -WSJ
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Read 3 tweets
Apr 10
The number of registered unions in NZ has declined, with 16 unions having registrations cancelled for missing the deadline to reregister to comply with changes to the incorporated societies act.

Of these, 7 filled out their 2025 Membership Returns Report, totalling 846 members
These were:
•Athletes Cooperative - 60 rowers and cyclists joining Mahe Drysdales failed attempt to unionise Olympian athletes.
•Care Union - 77 caregivers at Presbyterian Support Otago
• Professional Drivers Union - 43 bus drivers who split from Auckland Tramways Union
•IAG NZ Staff Association - 432 insurance workers at IAG who split from FinSec (now Workers First) in the 90s
•Border Ops Association - 150 biosecurity NZ Ministry for Primary Industries employees.
• Southland Enterprises Union - 67 workers at a recycling sheltered workshop•
Read 6 tweets
Apr 10
🔥 Day 1507 of russia’s war against Ukraine — what you need to know 👇

🧵 1/14
🔥 Ukraine Strike Key Krymskaya Oil Pumping Station

Ukrainian Defense Forces hit the strategically vital Krymskaya oil pumping station in Krasnodar Krai — worth around $25M — along with a 🇷🇺 Tor air defense system. The station pumps oil toward the Novorossiysk port.

2/14
🔥 Russian Baltic Oil Exports Plunge 33% After 🇺🇦 Strikes

🇷🇺 Kommersant reports seaborne oil exports from Ust-Luga and Primorsk fell 33.2% to just 115,000 tons per day — the lowest level since early 2025. Ukrainian attacks continue to slash Moscow’s oil revenue.

3/14
Read 14 tweets
Apr 10
The Russians are very concerned about the emergence of the Ukrainian “Hornet” strike UAV (Russian name: “Martian-2”) from Eric Schmidt's Swift Beat company.
It reportedly has autonomy and terrain-following capabilities that were previously seen on the Russian “V2U” strike UAV.
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Here, a Hornet UAV destroys a Russian “Zoo-1M” counter-battery radar.
The medium-range UAV can automatically detect, classify, and lock onto a target, as seen here by the on-screen tag “VEH/ARM” (armored vehicle).
2/
The Hornet is equipped with two daytime cameras that enable GPS-free terrain-following navigation using onboard digital maps, although it also has a simple GPS antenna.
The drone approaches targets at an altitude of 200 meters, and the Russians complain that it is very quiet.
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Read 6 tweets

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