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May 26
🧐 KY 4th Congressional District
-21 Counties
-423 Precincts
-625k+ Registered Voters (300k+ Rep)

2024 General:
-Massie beats Trump by 27k; wins precincts (417-6), counties (20-1).

2026 Primary:
-Gallrein beats Massie by 10k; wins precincts (325-81), counties (19-2). Image
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KY 4th Congressional District Voting Equipment: Image
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KY 4th Congressional District ~ 2026 Primary

Like schools of fish, people voted with extreme consistency by county. Odd how Election Day/Absentee/Early Voting % were so close in each county, even though a wide spread in # of votes. Big differences county to county. Image
Read 5 tweets
May 26
@gold_hadas Music moves. And it can move anywhere. When it is stops, it is no longer music, it is just noise. Because music is inherently meant to move—across borders, connect with foreign listeners, and travel through their culture—any attempt to counterfeit that movement through fraud.
@gold_hadas Music moves. And it can move anywhere. When the forward momentum—the very pulse and drive—of a piece of music stops, it ceases to be a living, breathing experience and instead crystallizes into a memory. In that state of absolute stillness, the active energy is entirely gone.
@gold_hadas Music moves. And it can move anywhere. When there is fraud involved, there is no movement, and it is not real. When a piece of music loses that forward drive and falls into absolute stillness, its energy dissipates, transforming from an active experience into a suspended memory.
Read 8 tweets
May 26
@HispanistaRD @sighing_sadly @xMikeAlbert We really don't. If you want to say that we have plenty of Gender Studies degree recipients, I'll definitely agree with you. Plenty of sociologists, I'll probably agree with you. But plenty of PhDs qualified to do research in Engineering or the hard sciences?

No.
@HispanistaRD @sighing_sadly @xMikeAlbert No country has that. At most, what we had for a while was the illusion of a glut, because gatekeepers in HR were behaving in an obstructionist manner and tossing out applications from highly qualified candidates, for reasons perhaps best left to a psychiatrist to explain.
@HispanistaRD @sighing_sadly @xMikeAlbert But in real life, such researchers were never present in great numbers, and there were always far too many things for them to do, for all of those things to get done.

In real terms, the shortage never went away. There was merely a prolonged bout of fashionable irrationality.
Read 22 tweets
May 25
We remember the fallen.
We honor their sacrifice.
We cherish the freedom they paid for with their lives.

Memorial Day 2026 | Arlington National Cemetery 🇺🇸 Image
Memorial Day 2026 | Arlington National Cemetery 🇺🇸 Image
Memorial Day 2026 | Arlington National Cemetery 🇺🇸 Image
Read 5 tweets
May 25
One of the tragic things about Revenge of the Sith is that they cut out half of the entire reason Anakin turned to the dark side.

He turns on the jedi because he wants to save Padme, but in that moment he is still doing what he believes is necessary to save his wife from certain death.

What actually seals his fate and *causes him to turn away from everyone, even those he loves* is seeing Obi-wan arrive on the ship with Padme, because to him, it confirms that they are having an affair.

But why? Is that really all it took to get him to doubt his wife loves him? Showing up on a ship together?

No, the reason he calls her a liar and shouts "YOU'RE WITH HIM!" before nearly killing her is that there's an entire subplot of the film that was cut.

In this subplot, Padme is secretly setting up the beginnings of the rebel alliance. She has figured out that Palpatine is an evil dictator and wants to remove him from office. She doesn't tell Anakin about this, aside from vaguely hinting at it when she says "have you ever considered that we may be on the wrong side".

Palpatine figures out what Padme is up to, but instead of directly cracking down on the rebels, he uses the fact that Padme is keeping a secret from Anakin to drive a wedge between them. Anakin knows *something* is up with her, but not exactly what. Palpatine exploits this by implying on multiple occasions that Padme is having an affair with Obi-wan. He tells Anakin that this is why he was kept off of the council.

From Anakin's POV, Obi-wan is keeping him down, stealing his girl, preventing his ascent to Master (and from accessing secret info that only masters are allowed to read), and even stealing his valor by taking on General Grievous alone despite being the less powerful jedi. And the Jedi Order is enabling him to do so.

So, when Obi-wan shows up on Mustafar with Padme, Anakin "realizes" that he has betrayed and killed children to protect someone who didn't even love him. He's lost everything and been played a fool.

Palpatine seemed to be the only person in the universe who wasn't lying to him and trying to keep him down. Or so he thought.
I think it's a good lesson in how manipulative people win. Everybody lies, not just villains. Padme was indeed keeping secrets from him. Obi-wan was in some ways a poor friend to him. But they were still overall good people. True villains don't just lie, they twist other peoples' white lies and secrets into total betrayals.
I love The Clone Wars animated series but IMO it does kind of make Anakin's turn less believable by making Obi-wan more openly accepting of Anakin and Padme's relationship, plus giving Obi-wan a relationship of his own.
Read 3 tweets
May 25
The Kremlin has a plan for the Armenian NGOs left stranded after USAID's collapse: take them over.

Leaked documents obtained by @dossier_center show it's just one piece of Moscow's effort to derail Armenia's pivot to the West 🧵[1/21] Image
Dossier Center has obtained internal Kremlin-linked strategy documents showing how Russian political consultants have been trying to influence Armenia's election by building, from nothing, an entire ecosystem of opposition to Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.

[2/21]
Publicly, Putin claims (of course) Moscow doesn't interfere in Armenian politics. Privately, Kremlin-linked consultants coordinated polling, messaging, coalition planning, media operations, and campaign strategy to weaken Pashinyan and halt Armenia's pivot to the West.

[3/21]
Read 21 tweets
May 25
🧵 THREAD: ATR Extension - From Heuristic to Empirical P

1/ Backtested @jfsrev 8x ATR heuristic for the 50 SMA across ~2,700 tickers with nearly 5 years of data.

The result? It's not just a rule of thumb. It's statistically correct.

Here's what the data says 👇 Image
2/ Also calculated the 3-sigma extension levels for the other key moving averages too.

Here's where each one sits:
• 10 EMA → 2.7x ATR
• 21 EMA → 4.2x ATR
• 200 SMA → 16x ATR
• 50 SMA → ~7.5–8x ATR

When you're beyond these levels, you're in statistically rare territory. Image
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3/ Knowing the number is useful. Seeing it is better.

Built an extension cloud that plots the stretch across all four anchors — 10 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA — directly on the chart.

Instead of checking a column of numbers, you can watch how price moves through the bands in real time.Image
Read 6 tweets
May 25
I’m craving more roommate stories. One time our cable was out for a day and I was complaining and I said, “Do you think they’ll give people their money back for the time they weren’t providing the service we paid for?” And my roommate said, “Well, I mean we’re not actually paying
paying for it.” I said, “What do you mean?” And she said, “I mean we’re have it but we’re not paying for it.” I had to tell her that before we moved in I had called and set up each of our utilities as well as our cable. We split the rent but I paid for all of the utilities
because I got a lot more help from my parents than she did. We’d lived in the dorms the previous year so she didn’t know you gad to set up and pay for utilities. She called me and said thank you for doing that when she moved in with other people who were even more clueless about
Read 8 tweets
May 25
I really love it when Chinese propaganda-ish accounts get worked up about Japan.

There is probably no bigger gap between the way Chinese nationalists see the world and the way most "anti-American imperialism" types see the world than on this question.
It does not resonate anywhere except in China and a little bit in South Korea. The Taiwanese love Japan. The southeast Asians love Japan. No one in the developing world feels offended by or threatened by Japan. No one in the developed world does either.
Every single time a Chinese nationalist account tries to convince their readers or viewers of Japan's dark and twisted nature they simply come across as unhinged. There is no audience for this. I love it.
Read 3 tweets
May 25
With renewed scrutiny over the background of ACP International Sec. Christopher Helali, we felt inclined to take a closer look at the time he embezzled thousands from the IWW to “fight ISIS” in the 1st ever “LGBT unit” in the Middle East. Image
Back in mid-2016, Helali (freshly elected Secretary-Treasurer during a chapter dispute) made out 6 checks from the Boston IWW General Membership account, gifting himself more than $3,000. These transactions weren’t discovered until early 2017, by which time Helali was overseas. Image
The full statement by the Boston IWW, which goes into greater detail, can be found here:

archive.iww.org/content/2017-g…
Read 9 tweets
May 25
9 books to understand the global economy:

1) Globalizing Capital by Barry Eichengreen Image
2) The Great Rebalancing by Michael Pettis Image
3) How Asia Works by Joe Studwell Image
Read 11 tweets
May 25
I think on a personal level, the most interesting and also depressing aspect of very detailed study of WW2 administration of defence and industry in Britain, is seeing how exceptionally competent almost all of Britains administrators were.

You almost get cognitive dissonance just reading half the files, trying to work out how its even the same country we live in now which once produced these kinds of reports.

There is no doubt there has been a progressive, and disastrous collapse in the all round general collective intellectual capability of the civil service and defence administration in Britain over the last few decades.

Its possible to argue this is inevitable after the system was optimised by the white heat of war, and the dead wood was scattered to the four winds by virtue of necessity, but it doesnt change the fact that its almost impossible to reconcile the standards which were once taken for granted as a matter of national survival, with those we see today.

You can see it at every level, and even in my small town, talking to retired councillors, they cant believe the desperately poor standard of those currently doing the jobs they did 30 years ago.

How do you keep the best of your systems intact passing from wartime to peacetime ? Has anyone solved this question ?

Perhaps, as far as I can see from a brief search (this is not my specific area of historical study) Singapore is one example of the most valiant attempt, with some measure of sucess.

This has been discussed in "Meritocracy and the Singapore Political System." Asian Journal of Political Science. (link in comments), which describes the strict measures taken post independance in Singapore to introduce performance based merit in the Civil Service, and intensely rigid anti corruption laws.

Letter below from 21st November 1935, Defence Requirements Sub-Comittee of the Committee of Imperial Defence - the CID, (Chamberlain presiding)

A year before, on the 8th October 1934, Chamberlain had been lambasted by Lord Hankey, for expanding the RAF by ten squadrons over and above that even recommended by the Defence Requirements committee.

Chamberlain suceeded in his push to expand the RAF at home as rapidly as possible. These meetings were however, all secret, and were not declassified until the 1970`s. The push for re-armament was not fully revealed to Germany, because the CID had agreed in 1934, that it would need five years to prepare for war with Germany, and that every diplomatic measure possible was to be taken until that date (1939) to avoid the outbreak of war with Germany.

It was then, after Chamberlains withdrawl from politics and death, taken as the established narrative that Britain had NOT begun large scale and direct preparations to defeat Germany before the beginning of Churchills tenure.

Only after the Committee of Imperial Defence files were declassified, covering what was really happening in British war planning in the 1930`s, that the truth became apparent. The established story of British stupidly and appeasement of totalitarianism before Churchill was Prime Minister, were utter nonsense - but, had been important to maintain the illusion of until 1939.Image
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Read 6 tweets

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