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WHY WRONG ANSWERS DOMINATE THE MEDIA LANDSCAPE
Most people who come looking for answers on beauty, finance, housing policy, or even interior decorating aren't TRYING to get it wrong. So why does the market serve THEM wrong answers? Differential CAGR might be the explanation...
Most people who come looking for answers on beauty, finance, housing policy, or even interior decorating aren't TRYING to get it wrong. So why does the market serve THEM wrong answers? Differential CAGR might be the explanation...
Let's take fear for an example. Scaring people about losses gets more attention then encouraging them about gains. Psychologically, fear of loss triggers us.
This doesn't completely override our reason, but it changes the media landscape more than you might think. Suppose pundits who scare the public about oncoming doom have a compound annual follower growth rate that's modestly higher than those who don't. Let's just say 5% vs 3%.
Michael Chertoff - 2nd DHS Sec. - Zionist🧵
We basically let an israeli run US HOMELAND SECURITY ... at the same time the DHS Twitter account was created.
Michael Chertoff was appointed to head the 9/11 criminal investigation by Bush. He let the Dancing Israelis go. His father was a rabbi and Talmud teacher. His mother Livia Eisen was the first "hostess" of Israel Mossad El Al airlines.
Chertoff also co-authored the Patriot Act
He now sits on the advisory board for Carbyne
We basically let an israeli run US HOMELAND SECURITY ... at the same time the DHS Twitter account was created.
Michael Chertoff was appointed to head the 9/11 criminal investigation by Bush. He let the Dancing Israelis go. His father was a rabbi and Talmud teacher. His mother Livia Eisen was the first "hostess" of Israel Mossad El Al airlines.
Chertoff also co-authored the Patriot Act
He now sits on the advisory board for Carbyne
1/8
Following @deanbaker and @ezraklein ...
Homeowners will not tolerate a "fix" that will lower prices. So, nothing will get done about affordability.
=
What is housing?
* Affordable shelter?
* Piggy bank that funds retirement?
Both cannot be true at the same time.
Following @deanbaker and @ezraklein ...
Homeowners will not tolerate a "fix" that will lower prices. So, nothing will get done about affordability.
=
What is housing?
* Affordable shelter?
* Piggy bank that funds retirement?
Both cannot be true at the same time.
2/8
For the 50 years following WWII (box), home price gains kept pace with inflation ("real" prices), making housing affordable.
Starting in the late 90s, housing went into wild boom-bust cycles.
This is when housing started to be viewed as a piggy bank to fund retirement.
For the 50 years following WWII (box), home price gains kept pace with inflation ("real" prices), making housing affordable.
Starting in the late 90s, housing went into wild boom-bust cycles.
This is when housing started to be viewed as a piggy bank to fund retirement.
3/8
400 years of real (inflation-adjusted) home prices in Amsterdam show that housing has remained affordable for centuries.
This view began to break down in the late 1990s, as housing became the piggy bank for retirement.
400 years of real (inflation-adjusted) home prices in Amsterdam show that housing has remained affordable for centuries.
This view began to break down in the late 1990s, as housing became the piggy bank for retirement.
Extremely rare leak of a phone call transcript between Putin's senior foreign policy-adviser and Steve Witkoff via Bloomberg. Witkoff advises Putin's aid on how to pitch Trump on backing a Gaza-style peace plan for Ukraine
The purpose of the Steve Witkoff effort seems to be to get Trump to provide Witkoff maximum room to negotiate. As if ... Trump won't give that to him unless Putin tees it up and references the promise of Witkoff's work
Also notable that Bloomberg reviewed a second call involving Putin aide Ushakov, this time instead of speaking to Witkoff, Ushakov talks to Putin adviser Kirill Dmitriev. Interestingly, they are also concerned about the peace plan being viewed as the Russian position
Controlled Rebellion
By Carli B. Frueh
In the digital shadows of X, where hashtags ignite and influencers reign, a sinister game unfolds…
Dive into a world where rebellion is just another algorithm.
By Carli B. Frueh
In the digital shadows of X, where hashtags ignite and influencers reign, a sinister game unfolds…
Dive into a world where rebellion is just another algorithm.
Carli B. Frueh’s gripping sequel to the Anomaly in the Construct series exposes the puppet strings behind the screen: fake influencers amplified by bot armies, shadow-bans that silence true dissent, and viral outcries engineered to burn bright—but never hot enough to topple the
empire.
What if your favorite “truth-teller” is the ultimate controlled opposition? A once-verified voice cries against the machine, only to be dimmed under Elon Musk’s watchful eye—or unleashed as a calculated distraction. In this labyrinth of likes,
What if your favorite “truth-teller” is the ultimate controlled opposition? A once-verified voice cries against the machine, only to be dimmed under Elon Musk’s watchful eye—or unleashed as a calculated distraction. In this labyrinth of likes,
This video by Nick Norwitz on the sugar diet is worth watching for those who don't understand my switch to a high carb, low fat, low protein diet. youtu.be/IAc_7r_hVI8?si…
I have the genetic variation rs838133 (A;A) that Nick talks about in his video which means I have naturally higher FGF21 but LOWER sensitivity, and so that changes things.
So I'm making some changes to my diet experiment, where I'll be cycling carbs and low protein days with moderate protein days, keeping fat and carbs separated and still doing one day a week of high protein and higher fat (carnivore day) to better suit my genetics (hopefully). This way of eating is basically what my intuition has been telling me all along! (Surprise...).
I'll add to the comments some of the info that ChatGPT has given me about my genetic variations in this situation...
I have the genetic variation rs838133 (A;A) that Nick talks about in his video which means I have naturally higher FGF21 but LOWER sensitivity, and so that changes things.
So I'm making some changes to my diet experiment, where I'll be cycling carbs and low protein days with moderate protein days, keeping fat and carbs separated and still doing one day a week of high protein and higher fat (carnivore day) to better suit my genetics (hopefully). This way of eating is basically what my intuition has been telling me all along! (Surprise...).
I'll add to the comments some of the info that ChatGPT has given me about my genetic variations in this situation...
rs838133 — FGF21 gene
Genotype: A (reported T) → you are A/A
✔ High FGF21 production
✔ Lower FGF21 sensitivity (“FGF21 resistance”)
✔ Higher sweet preference / stronger reaction to sugar
✔ Tendency to store more fat with carbs
This matches everything we discussed earlier.
Genotype: A (reported T) → you are A/A
✔ High FGF21 production
✔ Lower FGF21 sensitivity (“FGF21 resistance”)
✔ Higher sweet preference / stronger reaction to sugar
✔ Tendency to store more fat with carbs
This matches everything we discussed earlier.
rs3812316 — MLXIPL (ChREBP, carb → fat gene)
Genotype: C/C (normal, full activity)
✔ Stronger metabolic response to carbs
✔ More FGF21 release after sugar/fructose
✔ More conversion of carbs → fat (lipogenesis)
✔ Carbs + fat together = worst combo for you
✔ Fruit at night spikes glucose more
Pairs with your FGF21 genotype to create:
➡ High FGF21 production + low sensitivity
➡ Higher carb sensitivity
Genotype: C/C (normal, full activity)
✔ Stronger metabolic response to carbs
✔ More FGF21 release after sugar/fructose
✔ More conversion of carbs → fat (lipogenesis)
✔ Carbs + fat together = worst combo for you
✔ Fruit at night spikes glucose more
Pairs with your FGF21 genotype to create:
➡ High FGF21 production + low sensitivity
➡ Higher carb sensitivity
There's absolutely zero doubt in my mind that things have changed.
But *how*?
I've been sharing a lot of these graphs over the last month, but each chart looks at the *small* picture.
I have a big picture brain.
So here's a thread about the *big* picture.
But *how*?
I've been sharing a lot of these graphs over the last month, but each chart looks at the *small* picture.
I have a big picture brain.
So here's a thread about the *big* picture.
You can see in this image charts with loads of different *shapes*.
They all chart the same time span.
They're all from the same geographical area and age range.
They all chart the same type of data - 'hospital episodes'.
They all chart the same time span.
They're all from the same geographical area and age range.
They all chart the same type of data - 'hospital episodes'.
That last bit is important.
These are *hospital episodes*.
That's the number of episodes of *hospital treatment or consultation*.
These are *hospital episodes*.
That's the number of episodes of *hospital treatment or consultation*.
In addition they have contacted the @CIA and now @Blockstream the shadow devs behind Bitcoin are being investigated.
The new Congress class is calling for the us to confiscated all asic miners which are running in US territory. That is bad news for the Trump family who is heaving invested in Bitcoin mining.
What do you all think? Was trump a foreign agent designed to say American first while sabotaging the American economy! ? What is his plans for us next @NSAGov if he is allowed to be involved in the federal reserve. We want to here from the @FBI and @fred
The new Congress class is calling for the us to confiscated all asic miners which are running in US territory. That is bad news for the Trump family who is heaving invested in Bitcoin mining.
What do you all think? Was trump a foreign agent designed to say American first while sabotaging the American economy! ? What is his plans for us next @NSAGov if he is allowed to be involved in the federal reserve. We want to here from the @FBI and @fred
In addition they have contacted the @CIA and now @Blockstream the shadow devs behind Bitcoin are being investigated.
The new Congress class is calling for the us to confiscated all asic miners which are running in US territory. That is bad news for the Trump family who is heaving invested in Bitcoin mining.
What do you all think? Was trump a foreign agent designed to say American first while sabotaging the American economy! ? What is his plans for us next @NSAGov if he is allowed to be involved in the federal reserve. We want to here from the @FBI and @dotkrueger on this. Key image 👇 in comments
The new Congress class is calling for the us to confiscated all asic miners which are running in US territory. That is bad news for the Trump family who is heaving invested in Bitcoin mining.
What do you all think? Was trump a foreign agent designed to say American first while sabotaging the American economy! ? What is his plans for us next @NSAGov if he is allowed to be involved in the federal reserve. We want to here from the @FBI and @dotkrueger on this. Key image 👇 in comments
@CIA @Blockstream @TheView we would love to come on the show to tell you all what we know.
and now, @business's incredible scoop: "[Kirill] Dmitriev suggested sharing [with Witkoff] a paper informally and said he was confident *that even if the US didn’t completely take Russia’s version they would at least do something very close to it.*".
"LET THEM DO, LIKE, THEIR OWN"
"We will do everything neatly"
NEW PAPER w/ @CSElmendorf & @j_kalla:
An under-appreciated reason why voters oppose dense new housing, especially in less-dense neighborhoods: they think it looks ugly and want to prevent that, even in other neighborhoods.
Some of what we think is NIMBYism might not be!
🧵
An under-appreciated reason why voters oppose dense new housing, especially in less-dense neighborhoods: they think it looks ugly and want to prevent that, even in other neighborhoods.
Some of what we think is NIMBYism might not be!
🧵
The US housing shortage is acute & driven by policy. The prevailing explanations for why voters oppose new supply focus on two things:
"Homevoters": Homeowners protecting property values.
"NIMBYism": Neighbors fearing local nuisances (traffic, parking) in their "backyard."
"Homevoters": Homeowners protecting property values.
"NIMBYism": Neighbors fearing local nuisances (traffic, parking) in their "backyard."
These theories have clear merits, but also gaps:
Difference between homeowners & renters often aren't large.
& noting that NIMBYism is real leaves open the question of the content of NIMBY concerns and how they can be mitigated.
Difference between homeowners & renters often aren't large.
& noting that NIMBYism is real leaves open the question of the content of NIMBY concerns and how they can be mitigated.
I want to present another take on the issue of private healthcare.
In the end I'm going to suggest that gov is bringing the free market to bear on the wrong problem, but stay with me as I try to get us there.
The first question is what is the problem we are trying to fix? /1
In the end I'm going to suggest that gov is bringing the free market to bear on the wrong problem, but stay with me as I try to get us there.
The first question is what is the problem we are trying to fix? /1
My understanding is that it is the issue of people who have to wait exorbitant times for low acuity surgery (hips/knees, cataracts, etc).
We all agree many wait too long.
So government is proposing to allow people who are waiting to purchase an "upgrade". /2
We all agree many wait too long.
So government is proposing to allow people who are waiting to purchase an "upgrade". /2
They will get surgery quickly and relinquish their spot in line for someone else who now gets better access.
In theory this sounds great.
The problem with it is that we don't have enough anesthetists. They can't be in 2 places at once.
If they are doing the paying hip pt - /3
In theory this sounds great.
The problem with it is that we don't have enough anesthetists. They can't be in 2 places at once.
If they are doing the paying hip pt - /3
Plan Mode is the most slept-on feature in Claude Code – and we just made it a lot better.
It dramatically improves your one-shot success rate. Fewer iterations, less hand-holding, better final results.
Shift + Tab twice to try it.
It dramatically improves your one-shot success rate. Fewer iterations, less hand-holding, better final results.
Shift + Tab twice to try it.
Plan Mode now spins up multiple subagents in parallel to explore your codebase and generate plans from different perspectives. Then it asks clarifying questions before committing to an approach.
The result: more comprehensive, better thought-out plans before Claude writes a single line of code.
The result: more comprehensive, better thought-out plans before Claude writes a single line of code.
For example: when I was building the multi-subagent UX you see in the video, Claude generated plans from two perspectives – one hacky and fast, one architecturally sound. The main agent balanced the two based on my intent and gave me something that worked really well.
This is Plan Mode at its best.
This is Plan Mode at its best.
