pothu Profile picture
Jun 17 31 tweets 9 min read
a16z published their state of crypto report last month.

It’s a 50+ slide presentation that outlines where we are in Crypto’s lifecycle and what the future holds.

The presentation is long, but I read through it so you don’t have to.

Here are my takeaways.

A thread 🧵
1. NFTs are becoming mainstream and that’s great for creators.

NFTs were a huge narrative in 2021. We saw pictures of Apes selling for millions of dollars.

A lot of what went on in the NFT space is unsustainable. Most projects that exist now will inevitably go to 0.
But NFTs are more that just monkey pictures.

They have countless applications, and they’re going to play a key role in the creator economy. Image
Web3 is much better for creators that web2 already. Take a look at Web2 vs Web3 take rates: Image
Creators are already making more with NFTs than they did with Web2 platforms. Image
2. Crypto will have a huge impact on financial systems

1.7 billion people don’t have bank accounts.

Demand for decentralized finance or DeFi and digital dollars has increased dramatically.

DeFi has the potential to solve these issues. Image
Crypto has already had a huge impact. DeFi is huge on a global scale. Image
There are a lot of potential use cases, but DeFi is still really early. Lending protocols and token exchanges are the most common use cases. Image
The use cases aren’t limited to the broken financial system. Web3 can do so much more.

Crypto is addressing other broken marketplaces, too. Image
3. Ethereum is the leading blockchain, but competition is catching up

Ethereum was the first to introduce smart contracts. Being early has allowed it to create a huge network affect.

Ethereum has far and away the most builders, but other platforms are starting to emerge. Image
Ethereum’s popularity is a double-edged sword. Ethereum prioritized decentralization over scaling.

This opened the door for other blockchains to swoop in and attract users with lower fees and better performance. Image
4. The Future is Cross-chain

Bridges and cross-chain infrastructure is taking off. It's clear that one single chain cannot accomplish everything we want to be able to in Web3. Image
5. L2s could be the answer to Ethereum’s scaling issues

Rollups are growing in popularity. They’re cheaper and more efficient than writing directly to the blockchain.

@VitalikButerin is one person that believes that L2s are going to be key to the future of crypto. Image
ZK rollups have a lot of use cases related to privacy and security, and they’re on the rise Image
6. Web3 gaming could be huge

We haven’t seen many good Web3 games yet. Most of them have sucked.

That’s because it takes time to build a good game.

There was a lot of money being pumped into crypto, and teams were under pressure to put out products. Image
This led to underdeveloped games that were not thought out well

We’re going to see people invest more time and money into creating good Web3 games and that opens a treasure trove of opportunities.
7. DAOs could be the biggest entities we see in the future

They give people the ability and freedom to create things make collective financial decisions

There are already some huge DAOs and some great stories. @Uniswap, @OlympusDAO, and @GnosisDAO to name a few. Image
Remember Constitution DAO. We’re going to see a lot more similar stories over the next few years.
8. We’re in the middle of the fourth crypto market cycle

Crypto can be volatile and its cycles seem chaotic, but there appears to be some underlying logic. Image
@cdixon and @eddylazzarin wrote a great article about the Crypto Price-Innovation Cycle:
a16z.com/2020/05/15/the…
Essentially, prices are a hook. As prices rise, crypto interest rises. This drives ideas and activity, leading to innovation. Image
Benjamin Graham once said “It’s best to pay no mind to “Mr. Market”, who frequently boomerangs from exuberance and euphoria to despair and depression.”

Don’t step away if you believe in Web3. You could miss out on the opportunity of a lifetime.
Imagine if people swore off the internet after the dotcom crash.

So much great technology has emerged since then. We wouldn’t have streaming, cloud services, or social media.
For some further context, Amazon shares traded below 10 dollars following the dotcom crash.

Even with the market down right now, that share would be worth over $2000 today.

Web3 could be a very similar story.
9. We’re Still Early

@a16z estimate there are somewhere between 7 million and 50 million active Ethereum, based on various on-chain metrics.

We’re around where the internet was in 1995, in terms of adoption. Image
That is extremely early. We’re yet to hit mainstream adoption.

Most people have hear of crypto but don’t use it. Fewer make use of DeFi and dApps.
Web3 has so much potential. It could help creators, solve systematic issues in finance, and change the way we make decisions collectively.

Web3 has the potential to change the world. The technology is still extremely nascent, and we’re just beginning to scratch the surface.
And those were my takeaways. The report has a lot of useful insights, and I recommend taking a look at the full report:

a16zcrypto.com/wp-content/upl…
I hope you found this useful. If you did please retweet and share the top tweet:
Also checkout my substack for more great content:
pothu.substack.com
I realize this thread is almost as long as the deck 😅.

I got caught up in adding my insights.

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More from @cryptoPothu

Jun 13
On-chain analysis is a great skill to learn.

The most successful traders know how to find and analyze information on-chain.

Here’s a collections of threads to learn how to become an on-chain expert.

A thread 🧵
2. Identify Whale Wallets and Analyzing their Trades:

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Jun 9
Do you ever feel one step behind the crypto market?

On-chain analysis could be the answer. Everyone’s heard of it, but few are experts

On-chain analysis is one of the best sources of alpha.

Here’s you're intro guide 🧵
On-chain data includes the information of every transaction that has occurred on a network.

On public blockchains like Ethereum and Bitcoin, everyone can view these transactions.

/2
On-chain metrics turn blockchain-based transaction data into actionable crypto market insights.

We can pair indicators with fundamental and technical analysis to be better informed.

We can follow smart money an capitalize on whale movements as well.

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May 31
I spend a lot of time on Crypto Twitter.

I’ve been reading a lot and trying to learn as much as I can.

Here are 11 of my favorite threads that you need to read to find alpha.
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May 24
This bear market has hit all of us hard.

People have lost money, jobs, and more.

I’ve been saying this for a while, but bear markets are huge opportunities. They’re the perfect time to build and accumulate.

Here’s what I’m going to do during the bear market.

A thread🧵
CT has become a huge part of my life and daily routine. It hasn’t been nearly as active for the past few weeks.

I, along with other creators, have experienced sizeable engagement drops.

CT was understandably negative following the UST depeg and LUNA crash.

/2
The engagement drop and the negativity definitely got to me and I started to lose motivation.

This past week, I’ve taken a step back. I wasn’t as active because I wasn’t sure where to go from here.

/3
Read 11 tweets
May 23
What's the secret to maximizing your gains and minimizing losses?

Risk Management.

The best traders are great at minimizing their risk, maximizing their rewards.

There are a few key principles you can follow to improve as a trader.

A thread🧵
The most important things when you manage risk are:

• Defining your portfolio size and risk appetite
• Portfolio allocation
• Entering and exiting positions
• Managing your emotions

/2
Defining your portfolio size

This is going to vary from individual to individual. Think about how much money you’re ready to lose.

Crypto is risky. There’s no getting around it.

/3
Read 19 tweets
May 22
If you’re reading this you’re early.

Web3 is growing like crazy though.

It’s only a matter of time before it’s a regular part of everyone’s lives — not just degens like you and me.

It’s important to take advantage of the opportunity. 🧵
The biggest people in Web3 right now only have around 200k followers right now. @Darrenlautf, @Zeneca_33, @thedefiedge, @Route2FI, @NFTLlama are all around 200k.

These guys are thought leaders. 200k sounds like a lot, but in the grand scheme of things this is miniscule.

/2
@Darrenlautf @Zeneca_33 @thedefiedge @Route2FI @NFTLlama In most industries, 200k is nothing, but in Web3 you’re a thought leader.

This isn’t to take away from any of these legends, but I just wanted to illustrate how much room there is to grow.

/3
Read 14 tweets

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