El capitalismo se está osificando.
¿La venganza de la #complejidad?
(~#featuritis) ftp.iza.org/dp12602.pdf
"#Research #productivity for the aggregate U.S. economy has declined by a factor of 41 since the 1930s, an average decrease of more than 5 per cent per year”.
"Economic growth is a “scaling phenomenon” ...
Such scaling brings with it scale advantages, but also disadvantages. The entrepreneurship
literature has generally been oblivious to the possibility of negative scale effects."
#economíasdeescala
"There are three interrelated #complexity brakes on #entrepreneurship in such contexts : (i) negative scale effects , (ii) widening
technological distance between firms, and the phenomeon that (iii) “ideas are getting harder to find”.
#creativity
“All large mature companies have stopped growing. Their #growth curves when corrected for both inflation and the expansion of the market now look just like typical sigmoidal growth curves of organisms in which growth ceases at maturity”
"Individuals with risk-tolerant traits (good for
#entrepreneurship) have an evolutionary advantage at early stages of development whereas at higher levels of development + #complexity it will be individuals with risk-averse traits that have the evolutionary advantage".
#evonomics
Una función que cuantifica la generación de nuevas ideas.
#creativity
"All the “low hanging fruits” of ideas for #innovations have been taken".
Inciso:
"Tasks of production must be executed proficiently together in order for any of them to be of high value. The key feature .. is positive assortative matching, whereby people with similar skill levels work together"
[Donde la #igualdad SÍ importa]
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O-ring_th…
"#Complexity has reached such a state that
current energy is only sufficient for maintenance of the system but not further growth".
[¿Posible analogía con esta orgía de creación de dinero (QE de BCE) que sólo logra mantener un crecimiento anémico y deflacionario?]
"The acceleration of the growth rate contains endogenously its own limit in the shape of a finite-time #singularity to be interpreted as a transition to a qualitatively new behaviour.
... They predict this singularity around 2052 plus or minus 10 years".
[En efecto, todo apunta a alguna transformación brutal del modelo económico y la sociedad en general hacia 2050]
#singularidad
futurism.com/kurzweil-claim…
"Escaping from the #RedQueen phenomenon will entail a new qualitative growth regime, and the decline in entrepreneurship may be part of a long-run transition to such a new qualitative growth regime - one that will be characterized by greater stability and #stagnation".
#degrowth
Abundando en lo explicado en este hilo, veo algo interesante: la complejidad que ha alcanzado ya la atención sanitaria aconseja NO gastar más por habitante, pues el efecto en la longevidad sería nulo.
Con el techo asintótico hemos topado.
@threadreaderapp unroll
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