The captaincy cheat sheet results are in for #GW23 and there's a few surprises:
Chance of at least one return:
Mané 67%
Salah 66%
Vardy 64%
KDB 63%
Ings 59%
Abraham 58%
Who are you picking this GW and why? #FPLCommunity
Mané and Salah has poor records against Man U historically. But Salah has scored more returns vs top 6 opposition this season.
As soon as Mané's bookie odds probability of scoring reaches the 45% mark (which is does this time) he almost always gets the job done.
Vardy's away record is ridiculous and even though he had a pretty tough game vs Burnley in the reverse fixture, this game suits his current form.
KDB's xGI has dropped significantly last couple of games. We'll see what it means for this game. WhoScored expects Man City to score 3 goals which usually means KDB will get his goal involvement.
Ings and Abraham has the clear worst underlying stats among these assets. Ings has a decent record vs Wolves. The Bookies thinks Ings has a chance of 46% to score a goal but the spreadsheet rates him higher.
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