Syed Ali Zia Jaffery Profile picture
Deputy Director, @CSSPR_UOL. Associate Editor, @PoliticoPak. Nukes, strategy, FP. VF 2019,@stimsonCenter. Alum: @MIIS, @TheWilsonCenter, @jamesmartincns.

Jul 21, 2020, 5 tweets

18 pages into this interesting study on DPRK by @PerkovichG and @toby_dalton ,I find this point very logical: "Trading some compliance uncertainty for comprehensiveness up front seems worthwhile to build a
broad foundation for the second stage of verified capping to follow."

“Permitting” ongoing nuclear and missile activities like this would be politically very hard
to swallow in Washington, Seoul, Tokyo, and probably also in Beijing."

Well, a state doesn't require permission from other states to take decisions in its interest.

retaining CD would be
a necessary condition for North Korea to decide to eliminate nuclear
weapons. The DPRK also would likely continue producing and perhaps
even selling ballistic missiles for conventional military use up to some
agreed range and payload limit.

Fair point!

"Any imagined institution or procedure for enforcing nuclear disarmament must either utilize the UN Security Council or devise a plausible path around it."

" The primary onus must be on the nine states that possess nuclear
weapons, and allies that may depend on the nuclear deterrence extended to them."

Without a shadow of doubt. For starters, review the baskets of threats that the US wants to deter through nukes.

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