Thread by @politico

When you think swing state, you think Florida. It’s a 1-point margin state. @PoliticoCharlie and @Mdixon55 explain why 2020 will likely be the same. #RNCwithPOLITICO pscp.tv/w/chUI9jFvTmps…

This is part of our series of deep dives into the new swing states. Any questions about Florida for @Mdixon55 and @PoliticoCharlie? Let us know in the replies. politico.com/rnc

Florida has always had a robust mail-in early voting system and a lot of people usually vote before election day in the state, @Mdixon55 says #RNCwithPOLITICO

Florida is a global hotspot for Covid-19 and, as it turns out, voters have noticed, says @Mdixon55. Biden has on average a 5 or 6 point lead, but don’t expect him to win by that much. #RNCwithPOLITICO

Florida is the most foreign policy focused state in the country, @Mdixon55 says. 4.5 million Hispanics live in the state, but the subset itself is diverse. #RNCwithPOLITICO

Older white voters play an outsized role in Florida, and Trump is up 14-15 points in recent polls. But if Biden can stay near 40% he’ll be within his margin, @Mdixon55 says. #RNCwithPOLITICO

Florida is an inherent part of the Trump team’s winning strategy, @Mdixon55 says. He doesn’t see a path forward for Trump if the president doesn’t win the state. #RNCwithPOLITICO

To win Florida, Trump needs to tap into his base and peel away at the margins, @Mdixon55 says #RNCwithPOLITICO

If Biden wants to win Florida, he needs to turn out the early vote, @PoliticoCharlie says — and he has to win the independent vote outright #RNCwithPOLITICO