I just came in from my weekly random voter interviews. 4 Floridians calling themselves “independents” all mentioned “maybe Trump” because of this “fear of violence” nonsense.
Low-info voters are impressionable, and team Trump gets this. We’d best take it seriously.
As Dave Weigel pointed out this morning, Trumpist conservatives are in their own bubble-world. They never see the news as Liberals do, and vice versa. But liberals seem to think they are seeing the “inciting of violence,” but they’re not. They just see burning buildings.
And add to this, the problem I predicted months ago. A “BLM fatigue” by the typical (white) voter. While they may be sympathetic to the cause (or pay lip service to it), this may not predict how they’ll vote. I’ve seen no research on this.
The left likes to think … 1/4
that the protests showed an increasingly woke public. And I think that’s certainly true, but to what degree that impacts votes is guesswork.
One thing I’m convinced of: We must be vigilant about false flags. Operatives around Trump are not troubled by morals, or … 2/4
conscience. They will do what it takes. If that means inciting militias, or planting agitators to set fire to “private property,” they have the networks of fanatics eager to please. It may have already happened, but it’s surely something a desperate campaign may … 3/4
try in the final weeks. The broader public won’t blame Trump for responding to what looks like lawlessness on TV, unless we’ve talked-up the false-flag narrative often enough that press mentions that possibility reflexively. 4/4
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