After a long time, I am talking about models. covid19-projections.com/india Dr Youyang Gu @youyanggu projections indicate yesterday as the peak for deaths and peak for cases was a day before India’s Independence Day. 1 of N
Levitt projections for India have gone awry due to vast state & population variation. India predictions page updated by Professor Bhaskaran Raman, IIT-Bombay.
docs.google.com/document/d/1I4…
Also watch @MLevitt_NP2013 about misinterpretations in this 2 of N
In this empirical Model: Peak number
of active cases is expected to be around 75,000, after which the cases with outcome (recovery or
death) will be more than the number if new cases. Now, we have more than 75,000 new cases (not active cases) medrxiv.org/content/10.110… 3 of N
In the CCDEP model results widely shared in the media, any of the three scenarios should have hit the near bottom by now. I am sure they must have revised their model. Anyone who has access to their recent updates, please share. cddep.org/publications/c… 4 of N
In these projections of Prof. Sashikumaar Ganesan and Prof. Deepak Subramani CDS, @iiscbangalore , three scenarios are presented for India. Their latest projections indicated that worst case scenario will have 46.5 lakh cases at peak by December. cmg.cds.iisc.ac.in/covid/covid-20… 5 of N
Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.
A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.