Ben Cowling Profile picture
Helen and Francis Zimmern Professor in Population Health, Chair of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong

Sep 17, 2020, 5 tweets

Our work on superspreading has just been published nature.com/articles/s4159…, the preprint was posted a few months ago.

Key finding - between 23 January and 28 April 2020 in Hong Kong, we analysed contact tracing data and estimated that 19% of cases seeded 80% of all local transmission. For those interested in the dispersion parameter k it was 0.33 (95% CI: 0.14–0.98). nature.com/articles/s4159…

Placing close contacts of cases in mandatory government quarantine was very effective at terminating chains of transmission. nature.com/articles/s4159…

The same work was also earlier described in an article in New York Times with @DillonCAdam nytimes.com/2020/06/02/opi…

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