In Pennsylvania, registered Democrats have built up an advantage of 835,578 mail ballot requests over Republicans. Donald Trump carried the state by 44,292 votes.
Not every voter requesting a ballot will return it. And yes, more GOPs will vote on Election Day. But the Biden campaign will bank these votes very early, allowing them to focus their resources on a much smaller target universe through November 3rd. That's a huge advantage.
223,612 of these Democrats didn't vote in the 2016 election.
If Dems have a 1 million vote advantage in PA among mail voters, that's 1 million fewer voters to spend money communicating with in the final weeks. That equates to several million dollars in 1 state that can be spent on getting out the Eday vote. Huge tactical advantage.
One vote cast a month before Election Day could free up enough resources to create 3 more votes on Election Day. This is an advantage Republicans have relied on, yet it has completely vanished for them this year.
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