Thread by @jenny_brix

It's important to keep watching the Trump presidential campaign and the deranged incumbent's pronouncements. In his Twitter feed, there is an ever-increasing emphasis on the fact that any election result cannot be trusted and that the result may never be clear. 1/7

2/7 I think the calculation in the Trump camp is that the election is already lost because of Covid and the economic slump. They must have a lot of private polling from the swing states suggesting that scraping a win in the electoral college is now a real long shot.

3/7 They'll throw all they can at Biden. He's Sleepy Joe, who's never let out of the basement. He's in the grip of the hard left. Harris is the real power behind the throne. And a vote for the Democrats is a vote for Antifa and anarchy. But they know it won't be enough.

4/7 So the plan is as follows. Relentlessly pursue a campaign to discredit the voting system prior to the election. Find examples of people being mailed more than one ballot. Of voting papers being dumped or discarded. Sow confusion and doubt.

5/7 I expect this to become more and more intense in coming weeks and for there to be an element of chaos surrounding the in-person voting on November 3. People claiming they were unable to vote or alleging irregularities. Perhaps the provocation of more violence and disorder.

6/7 As the results start to emerge, the line will be that the picture is very unclear and that nothing can be relied upon. Pressure will mount on state electors who are nominated to participate in the Electoral College. Should they proceed with so much uncertainty and confusion?

7/X We will see rallies and mobilisations of Trump supporters and the dangers of clashes with rival factions. It is going to be as messy as hell. Whereas Al Gore v George W Bush was fought out in the Supreme Court 20 years ago, Trump intends this battle to fought in the streets.