Here are the Covid-19 updates for today.
Cases going up again, but not at an especially fast rate & rising only in some regions. Zoe data up, but NHS triage down.
Deaths, hospitalisations, ICU continue up
Few points to note:
1. 4% rise in positive tests (from 15th to 16th Sept) would mean doubling in about 18 days, not even close to the 7 days used in the briefing earlier to arrive at 49k cases per day by 13 October.
2. These are recent daily admissions numbers. Not much change at all in past few days. We will have to see if that pattern continues.
11th 135
12th 143
13th 153
14th 172
15th 194
16th 183
17th 199
18th 205
19th 204
3. Regional differences are very striking. Positive tests trending down in London, SE, E, E Mids & SW.
Could be partly due to testing capacity issues, but there really must be a question mark over the need for new national measures.
4. The reduction in cases in L, SE, E, EM & SW started around 10th or before, i.e. well before the national law of 6 was imposed.
Even if you think this will be effective (there is little evidence in favour), strong case for the Govt to revisit it as a national measure.
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