Thread by @ecovals

Canada’s MoH, PHAC & CPHO: the “new” model fixes nothing. It’s wrong to set your sights on a “slow burn” target. This thread explains.

#Go2Zero ⁦⁩
⁦⁦@CBCNews⁩ : “PHAC officials are aiming for a ‘slow burn’ scenario, in which the number.. 1/ cbc.ca/news/politics/…

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
..of cases remains low enough for the public health care system to keep ahead of the influx of patients.”
“Slow burn” assumes you can control the virus, but you can’t. It’s a pandemic; the virus spreads easily.
#Go2Zero 2/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
It’s a pandemic of a dangerous virus that spreads easily. “Slow burn” so cases won’t overwhelm hospitals is pretty calculating.
Who says how many deaths or long-term illness? There is no acceptable number of cases. #Go2Zero 3/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
It’s a pandemic of a novel virus that grows exponentially. You don’t know all the model parameters and variables with certainty. So an attempt to control to just so many new cases via “slow burn” is doomed to fail.
#Go2Zero 3/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
It’s a pandemic of a novel virus that may be fatal or lead to long-term health damage. You can’t control the course of this pandemic with certainty; to aim for “slow burn” risks a large magnitude, irreversible loss. #Go2Zero 5/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
It’s a pandemic of a novel, dangerous virus.
To aim for “slow burn” is to risk a large magnitude, irreversible loss of lives or impaired health of many Canadians. That’s morally unacceptable. No model can fix that. #Go2Zero 6/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
It’s a pandemic of a virus of which much is uncertain and a large magnitude, irreversible loss is possible. This calls for decision makers to take strong action to prevent harm, applying the precautionary principle. #Go2Zero 6/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong on “slow burn”:
It’s a pandemic of a dangerous virus that’s highly contagious. To aim for “slow burn,” like the UK’s “covid drift” or between herd immunity & zero covid, ignores pandemic dynamics.
You need to aim for zero covid. #Go2Zero 7/

Canada’s MoH, PHAC, & CPHO are wrong:
To aim at “slow burn” ignores pandemic dynamics.
To say “expect outbreaks” is fatalistic.
To blame Canadians for your failed covid response.
Don’t aim at “slow burn”.
Aim to eliminate the virus.
Aim to end covid. @endCOVID19
#Go2Zero /end