1. Mail voting generally increases turnout.
2. There's a pandemic.
3. This is victim-blaming wrapped up as a hot take.
Campaign operatives in both parties generally encourage voting by mail. The added convenience is thought to outweigh the small but nonzero additional risk that your ballot won't be counted, producing increased turnout among your voters overall.
So if Democrats were to discourage mail voting when they'd otherwise encourage it, out of fears that Trump will use it as a pretext to steal the election, that itself could make Trump's re-election more likely.
In 2014, about 16% of people that Pew deemed as likely voters — people who said they were nearly certain to vote and met various other fairly stringent criteria — did not wind up voting.
pewresearch.org/methods/2016/0…
Now, 2014 was a low-turnout midterm, so the percentage in a presidential election will be lower (perhaps 5-10%). But generally speaking, you do whatever you can to make sure that someone votes. A lot of people who are quite certain they'll vote don't wind up doing so.
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