PSA: “Earthquake prediction” is 100% bullshit in every possible way. That account “warning” of a dangerous swarm is fear-mongering to exploit your anxiety.
Block and ignore.
We CAN NOT predict what size quake will happen when & where. Wish we could, but real-life rocks are complicated.
We CAN forecast probabilities and understand how stress fields interact. For example, the Salton Sea swarm is unrelated to the San Andreas Fault:
The darkly funny part is this not even a feasible guess.
Normal charlatans can hope chance is on their side (gizmodo.com/a-quick-guide-…), but all the faults close enough to be part of this swarm are too tiny to produce anything bigger than an M5.
Whoopsie.
Seismologists are not shy about sharing news & our seismometers live-broadcast. You can check the data. 🤷🏻♀️
That all the legit seismologists are silent or tiredly debunking (thank u Lucy Jones) is a good indicator nothing ominous is happening.
Actual scientifically-based probabilities:
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