I can't wait to get the rest of this Kentucky data lined out for the last 20 years of elections.
The trends are REALLY fucked up for the last 4 years -- but out of the last 6 Presidential Election cycles - this one is the weirdest.
If I didn't need sleep -
#MoreToCome
Let's just say that I find it VERY hard to believe that rural Democrat turnout would drop by 30%+ in Kentucky for the first time in what appears to be decades during a General Election - let alone a Presidential.
Dems turned out higher to evict Bevin than they did Trump.
OI - dug a little deeper into Maine's numbers this year and they REALLY look weird now.
Mitchie-boy - I'm getting close enough to this wall I'm gonna find the cracks.
This is a "summary total" of votes cast in Maine's 2020 data, via @bangordailynews website.
Dems outperformed R's "in summary" statewide - except in one race.
-- so I'm just going to leave this here.
⬇️⬇⬇️ 👀👀👀 ⬇⬇️⬇
@bangordailynews That summary data includes statewide races for the Maine House and Senate -- and even there - Democrats "in summary" threw down more votes than Republicans.
#Kentucky, I haven't forgot about you - but we're going back a few years on your numbers -- because the game is different there...
Tacking on this thread, that addresses more "anomalies" throughout multiple states.
Adding for peer-review ->
DATA AVAILABLE FOR BROWSE:
I posted a Google Sheets item - it is the numbers from 1990-2020** for Kentucky Election results - data sourced from state website - stats include POTUS / US SENATE / US CONGRESS.
See next tweet for notes.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
THIS IS AN IMPORTANT NOTE:
Kentucky voter registrations (PARTY AFFILIATION) is set IF YOU VOTE IN THE PRIMARY ONLY - or if you EXPLICITLY CHANGE IT at your County Clerk's Office.
If a voter DOES NOT vote in a Kentucky Primary, their "party affiliation" MAY NOT BE ACCURATE.
There are some interesting stats in those numbers - such as weird alignments between primary vote turnout and general election turnout - as well as party shifts over the years in districts.
This is just raw data. I hate making charts -- maybe someone else wants to tinker...
At some point I will go back an additional 10 years into the 80's (to cover the Reagan numbers and years before Mitch McConnell was in office.
NOTES ON KENTUCKY VOTER REGISTRATIONS AND HOW IT AFFECTS VOTING DEMOGRAPHICS:
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