Nate Silver Profile picture
New Book, On The Edge, #5 NYT Bestseller! https://t.co/WeCLEOd4Be

Apr 18, 2021, 5 tweets

What inspired this tweet the other day was an article that said even vaccinated people should double-mask and wear face shields when flying.

Today I'm on my first flight in more than a year. (Thanks, Pfizer!) It's quite full. What's the reality like? How many face shields? 🧵

Zero people wearing face shields or eye protection. One person double-masking (might have missed one or two others). A smattering of N95s.

I'm not judging anyone on their facial coverings... but I think this reveals a disconnect in who is reading these columns.

The people who are so risk-averse as to be reading articles about what precautions they should take *even after vaccination* are probably not getting on flights in the first place. They probably don't need to be told to be more cautious. In many respects they may be too cautious!

OTOH, I assume many people on this flight are unvaccinated. If you're unvaccinated, the case for double-masking etc. is much stronger. No one's doing it though! But people who are flying a leisure route while unvaccinated probably aren't reading advice about COVID precautions.

Anyway, if you calibrate advice toward extreme risk-aversion, one challenge is that will only resonate with extremely risk-averse people, and they're precisely the people who don't need to be taking more precautions. The moderately risk-averse crowd may tune you out, meanwhile.

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