Thread by @WILLisms

46 days ago, Texas opened "100%" with no statewide mask mandate, 8 days after @GregAbbott_TX announced the new policy.

Blue checkmarks predicted the apocalypse.

It's now undeniably been long enough to declare that the apocalypse did not arrive. Instead, everything is better.

Since March 10th, when Texas reopened 100% with no statewide mask mandate...
✅Cases: DOWN 25.4%
✅Hospitalizations: DOWN 39.1%
✅% of beds used by COVID patients: DOWN 36.6%
✅% of patients that are COVID+: DOWN 35.2%
✅COVID ICU: DOWN 38.8%
✅Deaths through April 11: DOWN 70.4%

Cases (7-day statewide average per day) are:

✅Down 25.4% since Texas reopened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 50.6% since @GovAbbott made his announcement.

✅Down 88.2% since the January peak.

Latitudinal seasonality, folks.

Zooming out to the entirety of 2021, it's clear that "cases" are substantially down and have remained down for several weeks.

Today, Texas reported the fewest number of hospital patients testing positive for COVID-19 since June 15, 2020.

✅Down 39.1% since Texas reopened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 51.3% since @GovAbbott made his announcement.

✅Down 81.1% since the January peak.

Today, Texas reported the lowest percentage of hospital beds in use by COVID-19 positive patients (4.14%) since June 13, 2020.

✅Down 36.6% since Texas reopened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 49.3% since @GovAbbott's announcement.

✅Down 81% since January 14.

The 7-day statewide average shows that hospitals are perfectly fine. COVID-19 positive patients as a percentage of all hospital beds:

✅Down 37.1% since Texas reopened 100% with no statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 49.9% since March 2nd.

✅Down 79.4% since the January 14th peak.

As a proportion of all hospital patients, COVID-19 positive patients are at the lowest level (5.67%) since June 13, 2020.

✅Down 35.2% since Texas reopened 100% with no statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 47.6% since @GregAbbott_TX's announcement.

✅Down 80.5% since January.

Using a 7-day average, COVID-19 positive patients as a percentage of all hospitalized are at a lower level (5.98%) than anytime since June 17, 2020.

✅Down 36.8% since the 100% reopening of Texas.

✅Down 48.6% since @GregAbbott_TX's announcement.

✅Down 78.5% since January.

Today, Texas reported the lowest number of ICU patients testing positive for COVID-19 since June 13, 2020.

✅Down 38.8% since Texas reopened 100% with no statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 51.2% since @GregAbbott_TX's announcement.

✅Down 76.9% since January.

Today's 7-day average in Texas was the lowest average of ICU patients testing positive for COVID-19 since June 16, 2020.

✅Down 39.9% since Texas reopened 100% with no statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 52.2% since @GregAbbott_TX's announcement.

✅Down 75.3% since January.

Texas COVID-19 deaths (daily #, through April 11th) continue their steep decline.

✅Down 70.4% since Texas "reopened 100%" without a statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 71% since @GregAbbott_TX's announcement.

✅Down 91.9% since the apex in January.

Today, Texas COVID-19 deaths (7-day average, through April 11th) reached their lowest level since June 13, 2020.

✅Down 63.8% since Texas "reopened 100%" without a statewide mask mandate.

✅Down 72.9% since @GregAbbott_TX's announcement.

✅Down 90.5% since the January peak.

Today, Texas reached various lows dating to Summer 2020.
✅Hospitalized: June 15
✅Patients to Beds: June 13
✅COVID Patients to All Patients: June 13
✅COVID Patients to All Patients ( 7 day avg.): June 17
✅ICU: June 13
✅ICU (7-day avg.): June 16
✅Deaths (7-day avg.): June 13

46 days is plenty of time for blue-checkmark predicted doom to arrive.

It did not arrive.

COVID's future reemergence in Texas, or lack thereof, will have zero to do with mandates, rules, regulations, plexiglass, masks, or stickers on the ground that tell you where to stand.