I'm convinced India needs a nationwide shelter-in-place order to minimize devastating loss of life from COVID. This must be implemented with adequate support to the poor. Agree with this article in @scroll_in @Lakshmi_RKG scroll.in/article/993572…
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2/ The first lockdown was harsh. But it showed COVID can be controlled.
The first lockdown had many mistakes. We can avoid repeating them.
The first lockdown had no endgame. Now we have vaccines.
With good support for the poor, shelter in place can save a huge number of lives
3/ India has about 3000 confirmed daily deaths due to COVID. Given the complete breakdown in testing, reporting, and healthcare delivery, the true death count is much higher.
To control COVID quickly and reduce loss of life now a stay at home order & universal masking is needed
4/ Will a lockdown work? Yes.
It worked last year. It is showing signs of working even in the current situation in Maharashtra.
5/ With exponential rise in cases, people are getting COVID while just trying to get medicines and oxygen for their loved ones as they navigate huge lines everywhere.
People are not able to get to the hospitals on time. A planned shelter in place will also help with this.
6/ When hospitals are overwhelmed the mortality of severe COVID increases dramatically. A nationwide shelter in place will help flatten the curve.
When you have >380,000 cases a day, and are 155th rank out of 167 countries in hospital bed capacity— you need to flatten the curve
7/ Shelter in place must be planned and nationwide. Cases are rising exponentially nationwide. What happens in Delhi is a few days before other places in the south. As @samanth_s writes, disorganized rules give pain but no good benefit. @qz qz.com/1999650/would-…
8/ This has to be a nationwide shelter in place which has the benefits of the first lockdown (control of COVID) and avoids its mistakes. This article has the framework of how this can be done. @Lakshmi_RKG @scroll_in scroll.in/article/993572…
9/ The Indian government must act quickly. abc.net.au/radionational/…
10/ Until then people should just take their own initiative and simply stay home unless it's absolutely necessary to go outside.
11/ Control in daily new cases is essential for a safe and effective vaccination campaign.
12/ Here is Dr. Fauci. google.com/amp/s/www.trib…
13/ Here are similar views from members of the governments COVID India task force. @kaunain_s @IndianExpress indianexpress.com/article/india/…
14/ Dr Randeep Guleria, Director, AIIMS on the need for lockdowns in places where the test positivity is >10% in India. @aiims_nd @rishika625 @ndtv google.com/amp/s/www.ndtv…
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