Derek Thompson Profile picture
Writer @TheAtlantic. "Plain English" podcast host @Ringer. Mondays on NPR's @hereandnow. Co-writing a book about abundance.

Jun 14, 2021, 7 tweets

My latest on how the WFH revolution will change
- the psychology of work
- the relative power of introverts and extroverts in the office
- the aesthetic of the suburbs
- and the most important trend is US politics today: education polarization

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

Some survey data to back up the claims:

nber.org/system/files/w…

WFH isn't going away. The percentage of paid full days worked from home peaked at 60% last spring but is projected to remain above 20%—about 4x higher than before the pandemic.

Why is WFH projected to remain so high?

Because—despite some research claiming that per-hour productivity declined—most white-collar workers said it flat-out worked.

86% of surveyed Americans said WFH met or surpassed their expectations (during a pandemic!)

Like any technology, remote/hybrid work will be unevenly distributed.

High-income workers (black circles) are slightly more likely to say they liked WFH.

But high-earning companies (red triangles) are WAY more likely to say they plan to quickly adopt a hybrid model.

We're so, so early in the WFH tech boom.

The avg remote worker invested “15 hours of time and $561 in home equipment to facilitate WFH” last year—about 0.6% of GDP.

You, emailing from your living room, are holding the iPhone 1 of WFH technology right now.

Finally:

Education polarization is the most important new dividing line in politics today. It's eerie/interesting that it's also the most important dividing line in the future of work.

Share WFH
<High school: 9.7%
4yr college: 45%

A WFH-politics nexus to watch out for:

White-collar workers migrating to remote, in perpetual contact with virtual networks of similar ppl, creating a set of online norms, language and attitudes that pulls them further away from the rest of the country.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

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