@stevenmosher @B_Bolshevik100 @RushhourP @tracemetalclean @Hji45519156 @Willard1951 @NickMcGinley1 @Jaisans @glinch72 @AristotleMrs @JohnDublin10 @TWTThisIsNow @ammocrypta @FChecker76 @geoguy_usa104 @Stephen90045069 @NonlinearDarren @Climatehope2 @flyonthewall182 @GregTruman4 @GregCoo85844909 @25_cycle @BrknMan @don85375 @ZSRenn @1tsakeeper @LizHersch1 @KCTaz @JustThi30117912 @gregchoat @Anvndarnamn5 @RobMeekel @cieloyla @EthonRaptor @BradPKeyes @JSegor @Mark_A_Lunn @BridgetHolmstro @jwickers @0Sundance @PeterMayfitz @omahas @TonyBoloni8 @TheDisproof @DanCady @dan613 @Keeper_86 @Jamz129 @CallMeBlaise1 @ostinado Steve, why do you post garbage from Tamino's disinformation blog, when real data is so easy to find?
sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php?…
linear trend = 2.21 ±0.18 mm/yr
acceleration = 0.0103 ±0.0118 mm/yr²
(𝘢𝘭𝘮𝘰𝘴𝘵 statistically significant, but nowhere near practical significance)
@stevenmosher @B_Bolshevik100 @RushhourP @tracemetalclean @Hji45519156 @Willard1951 @NickMcGinley1 @Jaisans @glinch72 @AristotleMrs @JohnDublin10 @TWTThisIsNow @ammocrypta @FChecker76 @geoguy_usa104 @Stephen90045069 @NonlinearDarren @Climatehope2 @flyonthewall182 @GregTruman4 @GregCoo85844909 @25_cycle @BrknMan @don85375 @ZSRenn @1tsakeeper @LizHersch1 @KCTaz @JustThi30117912 @gregchoat @Anvndarnamn5 @RobMeekel @cieloyla @EthonRaptor @BradPKeyes @JSegor @Mark_A_Lunn @BridgetHolmstro @jwickers @0Sundance @PeterMayfitz @omahas @TonyBoloni8 @TheDisproof @DanCady @dan613 @Keeper_86 @Jamz129 @CallMeBlaise1 @ostinado You don't have to use to my sealevel.info site. NOAA has a good graph of San Diego's sea-level.
Does NOAA's graph of San Diego sea-level look too obviously linear? Is that why you didn't use it?
tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltre…
@stevenmosher @B_Bolshevik100 @RushhourP @tracemetalclean @Hji45519156 @Willard1951 @NickMcGinley1 @Jaisans @glinch72 @AristotleMrs @JohnDublin10 @TWTThisIsNow @ammocrypta @FChecker76 @geoguy_usa104 @Stephen90045069 @NonlinearDarren @Climatehope2 @flyonthewall182 @GregTruman4 @GregCoo85844909 @25_cycle @BrknMan @don85375 @ZSRenn @1tsakeeper @LizHersch1 @KCTaz @JustThi30117912 @gregchoat @Anvndarnamn5 @RobMeekel @cieloyla @EthonRaptor @BradPKeyes @JSegor @Mark_A_Lunn @BridgetHolmstro @jwickers @0Sundance @PeterMayfitz @omahas @TonyBoloni8 @TheDisproof @DanCady @dan613 @Keeper_86 @Jamz129 @CallMeBlaise1 @ostinado San Diego has an excellent measurement record since 1906, albeit one strongly affected by ENSO. The spikes are El Niños, during which the Pacific "sloshes east," raising sea-level at San Diego.
This graph is a few years out of date:
sealevel.info/1820000_Kwajal…
@stevenmosher @B_Bolshevik100 @RushhourP @tracemetalclean @Hji45519156 @Willard1951 @NickMcGinley1 @Jaisans @glinch72 @AristotleMrs @JohnDublin10 @TWTThisIsNow @ammocrypta @FChecker76 @geoguy_usa104 @Stephen90045069 @NonlinearDarren @Climatehope2 @flyonthewall182 @GregTruman4 @GregCoo85844909 @25_cycle @BrknMan @don85375 @ZSRenn @1tsakeeper @LizHersch1 @KCTaz @JustThi30117912 @gregchoat @Anvndarnamn5 @RobMeekel @cieloyla @EthonRaptor @BradPKeyes @JSegor @Mark_A_Lunn @BridgetHolmstro @jwickers @0Sundance @PeterMayfitz @omahas @TonyBoloni8 @TheDisproof @DanCady @dan613 @Keeper_86 @Jamz129 @CallMeBlaise1 @ostinado The 2015-16 El Niño spike creates an appearance of 𝘢𝘭𝘮𝘰𝘴𝘵 statistically significant acceleration in San Diego sea-level, when quadratic regression is applied.
But 0.01 mm/yr² acceleration would take 100 years to increase trend by 1 mm/yr (4"/century)
@stevenmosher @B_Bolshevik100 @RushhourP @tracemetalclean @Hji45519156 @Willard1951 @NickMcGinley1 @Jaisans @glinch72 @AristotleMrs @JohnDublin10 @TWTThisIsNow @ammocrypta @FChecker76 @geoguy_usa104 @Stephen90045069 @NonlinearDarren @Climatehope2 @flyonthewall182 @GregTruman4 @GregCoo85844909 @25_cycle @BrknMan @don85375 @ZSRenn @1tsakeeper @LizHersch1 @KCTaz @JustThi30117912 @gregchoat @Anvndarnamn5 @RobMeekel @cieloyla @EthonRaptor @BradPKeyes @JSegor @Mark_A_Lunn @BridgetHolmstro @jwickers @0Sundance @PeterMayfitz @omahas @TonyBoloni8 @TheDisproof @DanCady @dan613 @Keeper_86 @Jamz129 @CallMeBlaise1 @ostinado There are a few sites w/ statistically significant acceleration or deceleration in SL trend. (San Diego isn't one of them.) But even there it's of no 𝘱𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 significance.
Accelerate at +0.01 mm/yr² for a century, and in 100 years sea-level will be 2 inches higher. 🥱
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