Richard 📊📉 Profile picture
Over 20 years experience building, diagnosing and fixing large scale, high performance systems involving the processing + analysing of huge datasets.

Nov 24, 2021, 7 tweets

Latest view on England covid hospital admissions (as of 24-Nov) with 602 reported for 22-Nov.

The 7 day average is now 662, equivalent to around 09-Oct (i.e. 41 days ago), a reduction of 78 (11%) in the last week.

Latest view on England patients with a +ve covid test currently in hospital, with 6,062 reported as of 8am on 24-Nov.

The count is now 6,062, equivalent to around 18-Oct (i.e. 37 days ago), a reduction of 350 (5%) in the last week.

Age ranges of England hospital admissions. Note this age-range data lags a day or so behind the above totals data.

Percentage view of age ranges of England hospital admissions.

Some additional content (mainly variations of the above charts) is available here: …ddatashare.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/Hospital/Hospi…

Chart to compare the Admissions projections from the 8-Sep SPI-M-O consensus statement with actuals.

This are the projections being used as basis for calls for additional restrictions.

The document says the likely trajectory is between green and blue lines.

Selection of models from the 13-Oct SPI-M-O document for Autumn/Winter scenarios with the latest actuals.

Unusually, they have under-estimated but still goes to show how (as stated by the modellers themselves) they are not a reliable indicator of what will actually happen.

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