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THE END

Nov 28, 2021, 16 tweets

GREY SWAN EVENT
A 'predictable event with very significant impact but PERCEIVED probability is considered small'

'I focus on high probability. Go away.'

Keyword: 'Perceived'

In weather terms, 'What's the Visibilty?'

'Foggy and 100 feet'

'I don't see it. You're seeing things that don't exist'

Member since November 2016

'Always Fresh KEKS'

Watch This Space

DEFENSE of the Republic

DEFENDING the Republic

Jenna Ellis and Sidney Powell and Mike Flynn

DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC

DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC

MyPillow / Flynn Family Branch...

'What's the Visibility outside today, private? I want to go flying.'

'That depends on your ability to PERCEIVE, sir.'

'Huh?'

'Well, are you Instrument rated, sir? With IFR your visibility is unlimited but with VFR visibilty is limited so you'll be flying fucking blind.'

'Don't confuse me with all that mumbo-jumbo, private. I just wanna go flying🛩️. Is it safe or isn't it?'

'Well, sir, if you stay above the clouds everything will be just fine. I'll go pack your lunch 💨'

'MAYDAY! MAYDAY! Where's that fucking private!'

🚶‍♂️.. ... .

Perception, Perceive

To notice - or become aware.

Our perception can evolve as we become aware of things we hadn't noticed before.

Whether we wanted to, or not.
_______________________________

GREY SWAN EVENT
A 'predictable event with very significant impact but PERCEIVED probability is considered small'

Key phrase: 'VERY SIGNIFICANT IMPACT'

The probability of a tornado hitting your home but adding that storm cellar, anyway, vice 'Meh. Odds'.

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