Saw some head-scratching data? 🤔
Understanding the Base Rate Fallacy can help you avoid jumping to the wrong conclusions. 👇
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#ScienceUpFirst
How we communicate data influences how others will perceive it.
And let’s just say some graphs are better than others 👀
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For example, the pie chart above only gives raw hospitalization numbers, but does not give the base rate data (i.e. the number of people vaccinated in the whole population).
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When the data is appropriately adjusted for population and age, it’s clear that 2 doses of the vaccine make you WAY less likely to be hospitalized.
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Want some more examples of the Base Rate Fallacy? Sarah Treit, PhD (@ figures.first on IG) has a great breakdown using B.C. data: instagram.com/p/CZADDNCJ6ee/
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#ScienceUpFirst
Questions about COVID-19 data?
Send us a DM or leave a reply below!
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