Reichsmarine Profile picture
I post shit post. Military history nerd. Battleship enthusiast

Feb 22, 2022, 10 tweets

A summary of what is happening between Ukraine and Russia :
Basically Ukraine wants to join NATO, but president Putin doesn't like this because if Ukraine were to join NATO, they would be able to put missiles and military bases right next to Russia doorstep. It will take only few

minutes for a nuclear warhead to reaches Moscow. This is extremely alarming especially when we consider the fact that the tensions between NATO and Russia had not cooled down since the cold war. The old scar from past conflicts still remain between these 2 superpowers.

NATO is a military alliance formed in 1949 by 12 countries, including the US, Canada, the UK and France. During the cold war, there were 2 opposing sides : NATO (most Western countries) against the Soviet alliances. That's why even today these 2 superpowers are still rivals.

The situation now is kinda similar to the Cuban missile crisis of 1962 (cold war era) during which the US placed ballistic missiles in Italy and Turkey, alarmingly near Russia so they retaliated by placing missiles in Cuba. This confrontation almost led to a full scale nuke war.

Unfortunately history is repeating itself. NATO is expanding nearer and nearer to Russia by which Putin feels threatened so he responded by placing troops near Ukraine border to prevent it from joining NATO. Up until now no diplomatic efforts have worked so it's a stalemate.

Wait wtf I haven't finished my thread yet chill chill

Don't panic this is just false alarm, no guns have been fired, Putin just sent troops to the separatist regions of Luhansk and Donetsk but no casualties yet. Anyway as I was saying, I don't think war will happen anytime soon. There will be heavy economical issues if it happened.

Not just for Russia but for all Europe. Also, a successful war requires public support, there are lots of Russian relatives in Ukraine because Russian historically originated from Ukraine. A war without the people's agreement is a war destined to fail so why risk ?

If NATO stop expanding (like hell they would), Russia will recall their troops, just like what happened during Cuban missile crisis, both sides agreed to remove their missiles and negotiate for peace. Unfortunately the current US president Biden doesn't want to negotiate yet.

So in conclusion the situation is still very intense. Chance of war : low but never zero
Will there be peace ? : That's hard to say, we don't know what's going to happen next, best we can do is prepare.
I will make a thread on how to survive a nuclear war next. Have a nice day

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