Thread by @DoppelMark

1/
i read with interest the new article; @ThePrudentialist responding to Fukuyama's 12 points in methodological and biting form 👍

2/
several excellent points, in particular touching the somewhat counter-intuitive tension between populism and Russian invasion.

3/
my only big gripe with the article: no, China is not self-aware as to its readiness & capability level.

in the same way the authoritarian Russia was not self-aware about the internal weakness & corruption in its military - the information filters at every level of bureaucracy

4/
the same problem is now brewing, *slowly but steadily*, in US and western militaries: two whole classes of people that can't be critiqued or rebuked proportionally to the level of FUBAR have been entrenched.
without solving that, the corruption will take similar root.

5/
neocons' conscience still hurting over having disarmed Ukraine's nukes - hand in hand with neolibs and Russia.

6/
we can only wish a strong & skilled negotiator was in the wings, a *trump card* in this conflict.

7/
to wrap it up: domestic policy & economy matters *a lot*.
the linked discussion stream is well worth watching, here you go:

8/
Overlooked previously:
>the liberal worldview that Russia must be defeated

Quite the opposite: it is Russia's stance of "it's existential to us" - "we will fight to the last". The west "nation-builds" (bad, can stop); Russia "rescues its long-lost people" (bad & can't stop).