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QPR fan trying to make sense of the numbers. Sometimes serious. All about knowing your Bernoulli’s from your Taarabt’s

Mar 27, 2022, 7 tweets

The value of possession (or otherwise). The chart below shows the rate of chances created vs average possession, so far in this season’s @SkyBetChamp. Top left corner is reserved for the true ‘wasters’ of possession. @QPR are nowhere near @SwansOfficial levels, but of the… #QPR

…other high-possession teams, they are a little more pedestrian in terms of chances created. Chart below shows rates of chances created vs xG (there’s obviously a very strong correlation here). Another chart distorted by @FulhamFC, so let’s illustrate in another way… #QPR

The table below is ranked by the rate of chances created. The xG is colour-coded which makes it easier to show who’s over/under performing. @QPR on the low side of xG based on their rate of chances created, so the inference would be that we’re not creating ‘good’ chances… #QPR

#QPR are actually fairly ordinary in terms of attacking attempts from inside the penalty area. Whilst QPR currently rank 7th for attempts on goal, 40% of these are from outside of the box. Again, I’d link this to the quality of chances which are being created… #QPR

Unsurprisingly, 60% of goal attempts being from inside the penalty area is on the low side in the @SkyBetChamp#QPR

At a time when most of QPR’s forward players are actually overachieving vs their respective cat figures, I’d say it’s harsh to constantly lambast them. For me, the problem begins and ends in the overall creativity of the team, including full backs as well as midfielders #QPR

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