Andrea Stroppa ๐Ÿบ Claudius Nero's Legion ๐Ÿบ Profile picture
off but do not forget to https://t.co/2ZfOld2dPa

May 23, 2022, 15 tweets

๐ŸงตThis spam acc that compulsively shares and puts likes on porn content is considered an mDAU (monetizable daily active user) by Twitter

But it is not alone. We estimate that false, spam or automated accs could represent 12-14% of current mDAU

It's a long thread, let's start ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿป

/2 Twitter doesn't share info about mDAU. Nor its metrics and methodology.

Twitter defines mDAU as accounts that are logged in and can see ads. Usually, researchers have different ways to analyze accs, but no one seems to help estimate mDAU except oneโ€ฆ

3/ We ran sponsored campaigns.

As the objective of our sponsored campaigns, we picked engagement. Twitter charges when people we target engage with our content. Impressions that donโ€™t generate an engagement are free. We decided to run five campaigns for less than 24 hours.

4/ Targeting and campaign settings.

As demographic preferences, we selected: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ, ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ, ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท (countries with the largest population, excluding ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ).

As targeting features, we decided on 5 KWs related to 5 different topics: from e-commerce to phone accessories and beauty care.

5/ This step is essential.

We created a "hidden tweet," which means that the tweet is only visible as sponsored from accounts that are logged in and eligible to see ads (mDAU). The text of the tweet contained only 5 KWs. The content of the tweet didn't have any sense.

6/ We know that fully-automated or hybrid spam/fake accounts navigate Twitter and engage with tweets containing specific keywords or linked to particular accounts or hashtags.

We were right ๐Ÿงžโ€โ™‚๏ธ

7/ At the end of the sponsored campaign, we had over 500 likes and a couple of retweets.

We downloaded the complete list of users that interacted with our sponsored campaigns with a scraper. We started analyzing them ๐Ÿง๐Ÿ”Ž๐Ÿ•ต๐Ÿผ

8/ We analyzed the dataset. We compared and found similar results even with different methods. We even performed a manual review of the whole dataset.

Botometer Pro API and Botometer Web;
GD;

9/ GD is the software we use to analyze Tiktok/IG, adapted for this analysis;
Botometer is a tool focused on Twitter. Many individuals and Universities developed it arxiv.org/abs/2006.06867

Furthermore, we performed manual reviews relying on our multi-year experience.

10/ Additionally, we set a similar campaign.

We got another 300 interactions and a similar percentage of spam, fake and automated accounts that interacted, but we didn't have time to perform a manual review.

So, we won't include the results. Anywayโ€ฆ

11/ We paid to get interactions from bogus accounts ๐Ÿ˜’๐Ÿ˜ก

Some of these accs with signs of automation liked more than half-million tweets in a couple of yrs and produced just a few tweets. While some compulsively share porn content, others only RT but never make a single tweet

12/ Important notes and considerations ๐Ÿ“

Both humans ๐Ÿง’๐Ÿฟ๐Ÿ‘ฆ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ‘ฉ๐Ÿป and software ๐Ÿค– can spam;
We should consider a more extensive dataset in the future;
Our tweet got the most engagement from non-US countries ๐ŸŒŽ;
The result should be repeated and validated over time โœ…;

13/ Notes/Considera.[2]

The few accounts that RTed our sponsored tweet may have created some noise;
We invite researchers to make similar tests;
We tried to be conservative / our figures might be inaccurate considering the tech challenges.

Sharing is knowledge! โšก๏ธ

14/ Conclusion

Twitter is wrong. Elon Musk @elonmusk is right. Now additional research can assess a more accurate number, but we're sure that 5% of Twitter is far from reality.

15/ Acknowledgments

I want to thank Kirill, Pasha, and Nicola who worked in the past days non-stop. I want to thank hundreds of people that supported me these days.

Again: If you liked the thread, please donate to a charity ๐ŸŒฑโค๏ธ

Ps: Now I'll be off for a while. Ad maiora ๐Ÿ™‹โ€โ™‚๏ธ

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