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TheCableIndex is the data, research, and policy analysis arm of @TheCableng. We tell you everything about Nigeria — one list at a time.

Jun 7, 2022, 8 tweets

The All Progressives Congress (APC) is, on paper, the favourite to win the 2023 presidential election — by virtual of being the ruling party.

TheCable provides a lowdown on the key contenders in the party.

#TheCableIndex
#APCPresidentialPrimaries
#APCSpecialConvention

⏬⏬

1. BOLA TINUBU

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Tinubu will win the APC presidential primary. He enjoys massive support in a number of states with high number of delegates, particularly in the north...

#TheCableIndex
#APCPresidentialPrimaries

2. ROTIMI AMAECHI

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that in an unrestricted contest, Amaechi will pursue Tinubu to the finishing line, although the former governor of Lagos enjoys the advantage of a broader base...

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#APCPresidentialPrimaries

3. OLUYEMI OSINBAJO

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Osinbajo’s best chance of winning is for him to be endorsed by Buhari. He has improved on his support base in the run-down to the primary election but it is not significant enough to swing things his way.
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4. AHMAD LAWAN

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that except he is not imposed as the preferred candidate, he does not stand any chance of winning the ticket. The attempt to impose him has already set the APC on the path of a crisis.

#TheCableIndex
#APCPresidentialPrimaries

5. KAYODE FAYEMI

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that if Tinubu is persuaded to withdraw from the race and there is going to be a compromise candidate from the south-west, Fayemi stands a very good chance, especially as his governor colleagues are on good terms with him.

6. OGBONNAYA ONU

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that if Buhari were to anoint an aspirant from the south-east, Onu and Emeka Nwajiuba would be in strong reckoning. His credentials are sterling and he has always been a faithful member of APP/ANPP/APC.

#TheCableIndex

LOWDOWN: Tinubu projected to win as APC titans slug it out for the presidential ticket

#TheCableIndex
#APCPresidentialPrimaries
thecable.ng/lowdown-tinubu…

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