Karen Cutter Profile picture
Actuary. Australian. Receives no payment for Covid analysis. All views my own.

Jun 9, 2022, 11 tweets

NSW Health has released it's weekly epi report, covering the period to 4 June.
A thread/
#covidAus #covidNSW
You can find the report here
health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/cov…

Cases have fallen by 19% since last week, and this has been pretty much across the board for all age groups.

The data on numbers of people admitted to hospital or ICU has improved since two weeks ago, but there is still the backdating issue with Figure 1 (the latest week is revised upwards in the subsequent week's report).

Looking just at Figure 1, the number admitted to hospital in the week ending 4 June is down 15% on those admitted in the week ending 28 May

But if you compare the data in Table 1 in both weeks, the number admitted to hospital is down only 3%. In these next few graphs, I use data from Table 1 as it is comparing apples with apples.

This shows hospitalisations by age band, and I've left out the week ending 21 May as the data was rubbish. Good to see hospitalisations are generally going down for the oldest age bands

By vax status, they are now reporting on 4th doses and have separated out no dose and unknown (yay!). Ignoring the w/e 21 May, those hospitalised with 3+ doses continues to trend upward

Another 86 deaths this week.

The proportion of deaths from aged care residents has been just over 40% for most of the last two month

ED presentations for flu-like illnesses have surpassed 2019 levels, and much earlier in the year

BA.2 remains dominant, but BA.4 and BA.2 growing rapidly
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