Thread by @ncdave4life

@jimdtweet @Kenneth72712993 @BubbasRanch @MikeDel21893959 @WayneAllanH @mugger124 @Ceist8 @CDMarshall7 @NdabaningiMoyo @RoelofBoer @shicks_sam @NoelTurner194 @Hakimi09966557 @ejwwest @terencedescham1 @EthonRaptor @ChrisBBacon3 @VoiVoi007 @theresphysics @Narvuntien @Anvndarnamn5 @njbtweet @Moderna5G_666 @RealBenabi @peblackstock @dan613 @rln_nelson @JohnHall2946 @Cosmic_Engineer @Veritatem2021 @Michael_D_Crow @Roadshow11235 @keithamccluskey @oakden_wolf @priscian @eric_flesch @RealStoveAdams @robhon_ @SZOMB @GlennCarr6 @Canadianworker2 @fergustp @donnieofthedead @USNA_73 @WindFmAnalytics @dazm229 @IngersolRobert @LofayPeter @Barbarajdurkin @fern_60 That's not correct.

1. Your graph projects a wildly accelerated rate of warming, but a "straight extrapolation" of CO2 trend would yield slowing rate of warming, because CO2's forcing diminishes logarithmically.

@jimdtweet @Kenneth72712993 @BubbasRanch @MikeDel21893959 @WayneAllanH @mugger124 @Ceist8 @CDMarshall7 @NdabaningiMoyo @RoelofBoer @shicks_sam @NoelTurner194 @Hakimi09966557 @ejwwest @terencedescham1 @EthonRaptor @ChrisBBacon3 @VoiVoi007 @theresphysics @Narvuntien @Anvndarnamn5 @njbtweet @Moderna5G_666 @RealBenabi @peblackstock @dan613 @rln_nelson @JohnHall2946 @Cosmic_Engineer @Veritatem2021 @Michael_D_Crow @Roadshow11235 @keithamccluskey @oakden_wolf @priscian @eric_flesch @RealStoveAdams @robhon_ @SZOMB @GlennCarr6 @Canadianworker2 @fergustp @donnieofthedead @USNA_73 @WindFmAnalytics @dazm229 @IngersolRobert @LofayPeter @Barbarajdurkin @fern_60 2. The logarithmically diminishing RF from CO2 means even a merely linear increase in forcing would require an exponential CO2 level climb. But it's long been recognized that resource constraints mean the CO2 emission rate cannot continue to accelerate exponentially.

@jimdtweet @Kenneth72712993 @BubbasRanch @MikeDel21893959 @WayneAllanH @mugger124 @Ceist8 @CDMarshall7 @NdabaningiMoyo @RoelofBoer @shicks_sam @NoelTurner194 @Hakimi09966557 @ejwwest @terencedescham1 @EthonRaptor @ChrisBBacon3 @VoiVoi007 @theresphysics @Narvuntien @Anvndarnamn5 @njbtweet @Moderna5G_666 @RealBenabi @peblackstock @dan613 @rln_nelson @JohnHall2946 @Cosmic_Engineer @Veritatem2021 @Michael_D_Crow @Roadshow11235 @keithamccluskey @oakden_wolf @priscian @eric_flesch @RealStoveAdams @robhon_ @SZOMB @GlennCarr6 @Canadianworker2 @fergustp @donnieofthedead @USNA_73 @WindFmAnalytics @dazm229 @IngersolRobert @LofayPeter @Barbarajdurkin @fern_60 3. Natural CO2 removal rates accelerate as levels rise, a powerful negative (stabilizing) feedback mechanism:
sealevel.info/feedbacks.html

@jimdtweet @Kenneth72712993 @BubbasRanch @MikeDel21893959 @WayneAllanH @mugger124 @Ceist8 @CDMarshall7 @NdabaningiMoyo @RoelofBoer @shicks_sam @NoelTurner194 @Hakimi09966557 @ejwwest @terencedescham1 @EthonRaptor @ChrisBBacon3 @VoiVoi007 @theresphysics @Narvuntien @Anvndarnamn5 @njbtweet @Moderna5G_666 @RealBenabi @peblackstock @dan613 @rln_nelson @JohnHall2946 @Cosmic_Engineer @Veritatem2021 @Michael_D_Crow @Roadshow11235 @keithamccluskey @oakden_wolf @priscian @eric_flesch @RealStoveAdams @robhon_ @SZOMB @GlennCarr6 @Canadianworker2 @fergustp @donnieofthedead @USNA_73 @WindFmAnalytics @dazm229 @IngersolRobert @LofayPeter @Barbarajdurkin @fern_60 4. Due to exponential emissions growth, CO2's forcing has increased roughly linearly for 40 years. That can't continue for 78 more years, yet even implausibly extrapolating that warming trend to 2100 yields only +1.1°C (UAH) or +1.6 °C (HadCRU) — much less than your projection.